*****New Football Thread*****
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All I feel comfortable with today is lay under 1.5 Bromley
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Oops missed some of the list:
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Todays Selections:
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Full House yesterday:
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Just these today. Lay under 1.5:
1/2 and another small loss
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high guys I got this photo from the racing post football edition last Tuesday... It just shows the most consistent scorelines in England and Scotland... Do you know where i could find the same for La Liga and Serie A.... when i search online it comes with totalitys and generic (footballstats.com)
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Just these today. Lay under 1.5:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Hey @Everyone
We've added a bunch of women's leagues to the software on the request of a few people. These are the ones we've added so far (these are the league names on Betfair, they're basically the top women's leagues for each country):
"Australian A-League Women"
"Danish Women's Matches"
"English FA Women's Super League 1"
"French Women's Matches"
"Italian Serie A (W)"
"Scottish Women's Matches"
"Spanish Women's Matches"We have match history going back to 2019 for these, so a good few seasons. We've had to import a couple of thousand matches into the DB so there's a bit of a delay to the upload today, but the latest stats should be up this morning including these new leagues.
Enjoy!
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Todays selections
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Got an overnighter. Lay under 1.5:
Arse, but for someone being so careful these days I still missed one glaringly obvious thing in hindsight. I won't go into it because the extent to which I analyse my data and my losses doesn't quite compute with all.
Wouldn't do that one again though and sorry if anyone did happen to follow.
January is slow going!
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No selections today..
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Meatloaf yesterday..
Although didn't do the Tel Aviv match as odds were a bit dodgy, 2.68 for the over 3.5, too low.
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@Richard-Latimer yes, same, there is a bunch of data I filtered out my main filter early last year and I now wish I didn’t. Live and learn as they say. I haven’t used smart filters, I’ll look into it. Nice one
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@Nick-Segura said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Simon-Bates This is the kind of question your database will answer once you have a sufficient amount of data - a few thousand results or more in that instance - few seasons. I personally only rely on my own data to answer questions of that specific nature and I wouldn't change anything that I am doing based on what other people do - too many variables. So my answer to your question would be, gather more data and be super consistent with your current approach for at least 6 months to a year, do not change anything until then, do not remove losing trades, leagues or anything from your master sheet (if you want to apply filters, start a new sheet with the filtered data and keep collecting data on the master), review your data every 6 months and the answer to your question will come to you. You might find out that while your strike rate was lower in December, the market was mispriced more often and value was greater for example (just a random example btw) or maybe December is a month worth avoiding in certain leagues....Who knows!
I have definitely made it harder for myself removing things in a blanket before realisng I could have tracked things in a different way. Now I collect everything I think I might use and like you said just filter it out. Same sheet but with smart filters I don't need to include on streamlined data agaIn until I'm sure I should. Just a case of filling cells with a different colour for me.
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Got an overnighter. Lay under 1.5:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@Simon-Bates This is the kind of question your database will answer once you have a sufficient amount of data - a few thousand results or more in that instance - few seasons. I personally only rely on my own data to answer questions of that specific nature and I wouldn't change anything that I am doing based on what other people do - too many variables. So my answer to your question would be, gather more data and be super consistent with your current approach for at least 6 months to a year, do not change anything until then, do not remove losing trades, leagues or anything from your master sheet (if you want to apply filters, start a new sheet with the filtered data and keep collecting data on the master), review your data every 6 months and the answer to your question will come to you. You might find out that while your strike rate was lower in December, the market was mispriced more often and value was greater for example (just a random example btw) or maybe December is a month worth avoiding in certain leagues....Who knows!
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Watched the Bristol City v West Ham match last night. West Ham didn't look interested, but Benrahma is a f*****g disgrace. I'll be livid if I was a West Ham supporter
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(Updated) Now three selections:
