*****New Football Thread*****

Greg Mitchell

Yesterdays outcome:

Mark Maguire

A few for me today including:

LTD if price gets reasonable

Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor
St Gilloise vs St Truiden
Leeds vs Preston

01.5 Split Stake out after 70 mins if no goal

Leeds vs Preston
Volos vs PAOK
Bayern vs Bremen

02.5 Split Stake out after 60 mins if no goal

Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor
Volos vs PAOK
Bayern vs Bremen
Utrecht vs PSV

NB on all my overs strategies if there is an early goal I green up to free bet then exit if second goal .. for goals after 30 mins I simply take green unless match action is crazy or underdog is scorer in which case I will leave some green in.

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Blackburn v Huddersfield match. 1-1 at HT

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

All I feel comfortable with today is lay under 1.5 Bromley

1-1

Richard Latimer

All I feel comfortable with today is lay under 1.5 Bromley

Greg Mitchell

Oops missed some of the list:

Greg Mitchell

Todays Selections:

Greg Mitchell

Full House yesterday:

Martin

Betfair being slow to load for anyone else?

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Just these today. Lay under 1.5:

1/2 and another small loss

GREGORIOS KARASHIALIS

high guys I got this photo from the racing post football edition last Tuesday... It just shows the most consistent scorelines in England and Scotland... Do you know where i could find the same for La Liga and Serie A.... when i search online it comes with totalitys and generic (footballstats.com)![AB9B145F-B97E-4EA6-A80F-0B686B39E913.heic](Input file contains unsupported image format)

Richard Latimer

Just these today. Lay under 1.5:

Chris King

Thanks @Adam noticed a couple of matches early this morning on my selections for a LTD filter. Nice addition.

Adam

Hey @Everyone

We've added a bunch of women's leagues to the software on the request of a few people. These are the ones we've added so far (these are the league names on Betfair, they're basically the top women's leagues for each country):

"Australian A-League Women"
"Danish Women's Matches"
"English FA Women's Super League 1"
"French Women's Matches"
"Italian Serie A (W)"
"Scottish Women's Matches"
"Spanish Women's Matches"

We have match history going back to 2019 for these, so a good few seasons. We've had to import a couple of thousand matches into the DB so there's a bit of a delay to the upload today, but the latest stats should be up this morning including these new leagues.

Enjoy!

Greg Mitchell

Todays selections

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Got an overnighter. Lay under 1.5:

Arse, but for someone being so careful these days I still missed one glaringly obvious thing in hindsight. I won't go into it because the extent to which I analyse my data and my losses doesn't quite compute with all.

Wouldn't do that one again though and sorry if anyone did happen to follow.

January is slow going!

Greg Mitchell

No selections today..

Greg Mitchell

Meatloaf yesterday..

Although didn't do the Tel Aviv match as odds were a bit dodgy, 2.68 for the over 3.5, too low.

? Offline

@Richard-Latimer yes, same, there is a bunch of data I filtered out my main filter early last year and I now wish I didn’t. Live and learn as they say. I haven’t used smart filters, I’ll look into it. Nice one

Richard Latimer

@Nick-Segura said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Simon-Bates This is the kind of question your database will answer once you have a sufficient amount of data - a few thousand results or more in that instance - few seasons. I personally only rely on my own data to answer questions of that specific nature and I wouldn't change anything that I am doing based on what other people do - too many variables. So my answer to your question would be, gather more data and be super consistent with your current approach for at least 6 months to a year, do not change anything until then, do not remove losing trades, leagues or anything from your master sheet (if you want to apply filters, start a new sheet with the filtered data and keep collecting data on the master), review your data every 6 months and the answer to your question will come to you. You might find out that while your strike rate was lower in December, the market was mispriced more often and value was greater for example (just a random example btw) or maybe December is a month worth avoiding in certain leagues....Who knows!

I have definitely made it harder for myself removing things in a blanket before realisng I could have tracked things in a different way. Now I collect everything I think I might use and like you said just filter it out. Same sheet but with smart filters I don't need to include on streamlined data agaIn until I'm sure I should. Just a case of filling cells with a different colour for me.