*****New Football Thread*****
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Hmmm not the easiest of nights .. goals came too late in Switzerland and at Villa.. it happens !!!
LTD
St Gallen vs Yverdon
Celtic vs Hibs01.5 split stake out after 70 mins if no goal
Sheff Utd vs Liverpool
Young Boys vs Lausanne Ouchy
02.5 Split stake green up or out after 60 mins if no goal
Sheff Utd vs Liverpool
Aston Vill vs Man City -
@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
For Wed though:
Lay under 1.5
2/2 and the good start to Dec continues
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A couple of trades tonight:
LTD
St Gallen vs Yverdon
Celtic vs Hibs (if odds get decent)01.5 split stake out after 70 mins if no goal
Sheff Utd vs Liverpool
Young Boys vs Lausanne Ouchy02.5 Split stake green up or out after 60 mins if no goal
Sheff Utd vs Liverpool
Aston Vill vs Man City -
The following are SHG candidates tonight:
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@Mark-Maguire ahahah true! They do love to miss that T out!
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@Ryan I think you'll find its pronounced Lu-un ...as in their famous chant "Com on Lu-un, Com on Lu-un" its a silent T
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For Wed though:
Lay under 1.5
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Lay under 1.5 Jong PSV for tomorrow
0-2 now, nothing tomorrow
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@Tony-Hastie good question - depending on the strength of feeling I have about the trade really .. I calculate the per centage chance of 01.5 and of the result based on ELO ratings.
I won't trade less than 1.2 to 1.3 based on the fact that for example on my o1.5 trades I have a SR of 90% then anything above 1.19 (the real odds of 90% probability when including the bookmakers round) is value - I will take this into account along with the probability of the 01.5 and team news, home or away favourite, league position etc. If I feel really strongly that there's an early goal I will lay under 1.5 for more liability in confidence I'll get a return .. hope that all makes sense?
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Yesterday was a day for arguing that the LTD should be either not S&F or should be green up after 89 mins.. I did but if anyone left it in there sorry about the late goals.. marked as a win and loss below.. otherwise from my point of view a really pleasing day across the board..
LTD
Fiorentina vs Salernitana
Brondby vs Hvidovre
Molde vs Ham Kam but 90th minute equaliser
Man City vs Tottenham but 90th minute equaliser01.5 split out after 70 mins if no goal
Braga vs Estoril
Molde vs Ham Kam:
Bodo vs Sarpsborg02.5 split out after 60 mins if no goal
Nijmegen vs Ajax
Viking vs Rosenborg
Bodo vs Sarpsborg
Leverkusen vs Dortmund -
Lay under 1.5 Jong PSV for tomorrow
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
4/4 for the day and I'm green for the year. Just have to stay that way.
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Lay under 1.5 Cobresal
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Lay under 1.5 Augsburg
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@Mark-Maguire What is the lowest odds youll take on your split stake strategies? Had the chance to look through a few of your selections today and one of them was a 1.07 or something. You wouldnt get in from the start at that would you?
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Running very late, very busy
Lay under 1.5:
Rangers
Slask (Poland) -
Some of todays :
LTD
Fiorentina vs Salernitana
Brondby vs Hvidovre
Molde vs Ham Kam
Man City vs Tottenham01.5 split out after 70 mins if no goal
Braga vs Estoril
Molde vs Ham Kam
Bodo vs Sarpsborg02.5 split out after 60 mins if no goal
Nijmegen vs Ajax
Viking vs Rosenborg
Bodo vs Sarpsborg
Leverkusen vs Dortmund (caution because big game - maybe tighter so staking will reflect this and monitor in play) -
Rookie mistake costs me today, I had no business entering for a SHG on the Antwerp match, stats did not look good and I had already taken some good green from a late FHG. The league performs well when the scoreline is 1-0 and 2 disallowed did not help but I could have avoided the red quite easily - teams that do not perform well in second half. Was hoping for a late SHG. Let's move on! Frustrating when the day ends like this.
