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*****New Football Thread*****

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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4.8k Posts 104 Posters 68.2k Views
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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    wrote on last edited by
    #1981

    A couple tonight:

    01.5 split stake out after 70 if no goal

    Jong PSV vs Gronigen

    91% SR greening up or wait for 1.3 if set and forget

    02.5 split stake out after 60 if no goal

    Den Haag vs Dordrecht
    Jong PSV vs Gronigen
    Chelsea vs Newcastle

    Green up on goal (if in first 15-20 mins green to free bet and then take profit after 2nd goal)

    B 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to mick mcmahon on last edited by
    #1982

    @mick-mcmahon Amazing, that's great feedback!

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    wrote on last edited by
    #1983

    And todays picks

    63be6b68-8f7d-4cd9-8b88-2d35b0e10d0e-image.png

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    wrote on last edited by
    #1984

    Yesterdays results:

    f997682c-6bcc-4526-ad2f-787efae05f58-image.png

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    replied to Ben Dobie on last edited by
    #1985

    @Ben-Dobie That's correct...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • B Offline
    B Offline
    Ben Dobie
    replied to Greg Mitchell on last edited by
    #1986

    @Greg-Mitchell oh so you have all the historical XG etc since July ?

    Greg MitchellG 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    replied to Ben Dobie on last edited by
    #1987

    @Ben-Dobie I have spreadsheet that has all my filter selections, football ratings and match scores HT and FT since July.

    Have it set up so I can change parameters e.g. XG, Goal Supremacy etc..

    B 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • B Offline
    B Offline
    Ben Dobie
    replied to Greg Mitchell on last edited by
    #1988

    @Greg-Mitchell How are you back testing mate ?

    Greg MitchellG 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    andrew page
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1989

    @nick said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    @andrew-page Have you looked at using the filter to lay over 1.5 half time goals, 18 of those picks would of come in?

    if i have the time i mess around with halftime correct scores i had so much on yesterday with racing and football to be fair those results was for the set forget challenge doing, its basic a challenge starting with 100 1% bank per selection had hoped to double it within a season but getting odd horror day

    But ye often try laying u2.5 FHG AT 1.05 just weekends theres a lot on had 40 selections on horses yesterday im a manual trader so cant really fully concentrate on both

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • T Offline
    T Offline
    Trevor H
    replied to Greg Mitchell on last edited by
    #1990

    @Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    An interesting Stat came to me this morning whilst I was updating the scores from yesterday, so I had a look back at my records.

    I have the results recorded for 13,265 matches going back to July, of those 9,165 had at least 1 goal in the First Half

    of those 9,165

    7,281 had a SHG. Thats a strike rate of 80%. If you could back all of those at 1.31 or above, you'd be in the money..

    I'm experimenting with something similar myself. The problem is, of course, that you often won't get to 1.31 until well into the second half, so you'll miss some earlier winners while all the losers will get matched. I think the FHG could well be a useful SHG indicator, but it needs to be combined with something else, such as SHGs or an overs stat (+ev) or unders stat (-ve).

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    replied to Trevor H on last edited by
    #1991

    @Trevor-H

    Yes when the new xg ratings were introduced by Adam, had a thorough review of my filters and calculations and back tested them back to July..

    B 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • T Offline
    T Offline
    Trevor H
    replied to Greg Mitchell on last edited by
    #1992

    @Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Happy with that for a Saturday:

    You seem to be on a good run of late. Have you tightened up your filters?

    Greg MitchellG 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    wrote on last edited by
    #1993

    An interesting Stat came to me this morning whilst I was updating the scores from yesterday, so I had a look back at my records.

    I have the results recorded for 13,265 matches going back to July, of those 9,165 had at least 1 goal in the First Half

    of those 9,165

    7,281 had a SHG. Thats a strike rate of 80%. If you could back all of those at 1.31 or above, you'd be in the money..

    T 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to andrew page on last edited by
    #1994

    @andrew-page Have you looked at using the filter to lay over 1.5 half time goals, 18 of those picks would of come in?

    A 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    andrew page
    replied to Alastair Todd on last edited by
    #1995

    @Alastair-Todd said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Yesterday was a shocker for my 1.5 filter. 7 out of 12 lost - luckily I wasn't on all of them.

    333d747d-45e0-44ea-b841-72edf281cce7-image.png

    Better than mine lol
    Nigh on perfect storm everything unmatched hits virtually all matched lost

    on a side note one of my favourite goal leagues has restarted Faroe Islands

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • A Online
    A Online
    Alastair Todd
    wrote on last edited by
    #1996

    Yesterday was a shocker for my 1.5 filter. 7 out of 12 lost - luckily I wasn't on all of them.

    A 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    andrew page
    replied to Greg Mitchell on last edited by
    #1997

    @Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Happy with that for a Saturday:

    2f9325be-647e-47c2-8a04-ac46816d6697-image.png

    Well done had my worst set of results

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    wrote on last edited by
    #1998

    Another Busy Day...

    85fd84f4-3355-49b2-9783-0b32201559c8-image.png

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    mick mcmahon
    replied to Greg Mitchell on last edited by
    #1999

    @Greg-Mitchell kudos with that sir. That's good going. My 2 strategies have collapsed over the past 2 weekends...

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    wrote on last edited by
    #2000

    Happy with that for a Saturday:

    2f9325be-647e-47c2-8a04-ac46816d6697-image.png

    M A T 3 Replies Last reply
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    2

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