*****New Football Thread*****
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Bit late today, been for a heart op, all good.
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@Richard-Latimer
Weekend onwards been good was flicked switch soon as weather improved
Selection criteria pretty tight for over 1.5 goals9 consecutive games over 1.5 goals (away or home team)
with 4/5 h2h games over 1.5home teams 5 games consecutive over 1.5
away teams 5 games consecutive over 1.5
4/5 h2h games over 1.5
xg 1.8 -
Nothing tonight so I'm just over 2pts (£19.00) down for a very slow January.
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@Ben-Dobie slightly adapted version 3.7-5.8 odds and league filtering filter-settings.txt
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What an end to Jan for Set and forget aye?
Dropped off a cliff the last 2 week for me. Looks like others feel the same? I have a back over 2.5 goals that's dropped and a lay over 1.5 FHG filter that's nose diving! You couldn't write it. (starts deep breathing ready for Feb upswing) -
@Greg-Mitchell funny you mention that game because I actually found the same thing and didn't lay it.
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@Shannon-Townsend I never thought to check the value there, I'll start tracking those odds in my sheet to see how it looks
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@Arran-Shackell I'm still testing the strategy with my criteria so no restrictions at this point. However I am taking the total number of games for the home and away team that finished the 1st half at 0-0 and then dividing it by the total number of games to give me a percentage and converting this to odds to compare against what the 1st half correct score market has. I am using this to gauge the value and only laying if the lay odds offered are less than what I calculated.
I've only done 82 trades this month but have a strike rate of 80% and an ROI at the moment of 7%. My average lay odds are 3.96.
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@Arran-Shackell I avoided the O1.5 trade today but thought that between the 22 millionaires on the pitch, they might scratch out 1 goal in the second half. 46 goal attempts and 9 shots on goal, and still no-one could hit a barn door. What's that all about?!!!
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An annoying Fulham Everton 0-0 finish. Oh well!
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
SHG in the Coventry City v Bristol City match. 1-1 at HT
Thank f**k! Needed that!
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SHG in the Coventry City v Bristol City match. 1-1 at HT
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@Rudra-Radasandaran also worth checking the lay under 0.5 goals in 1st half if laying the hal time 0-0 as every now and then i notice you can get slightly better odds for what is the same situation and over time every tick counts...
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@Akiva-Anderson yep a tough weekend for me too spent half the time refreshing the screen to check the live goals services weren't broken
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@Rudra-Radasandaran I will have a look into it, but at first glance on the Brugge game tonight as the odds stand, backing FHG is better than laying 0-0 at HT. 1.2 v 6.6
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@Rudra-Radasandaran
What sort of odds are you laying at out of interest?
