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*****New Football Thread*****

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    wrote on last edited by Martin
    #1

    Welcome to the new football trading main thread!

    Keep all of your football trading discussion in here!

    Not sure where to start with football trading? Take a look at our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide

    We have written a guide on what to consider before following any trades, this is a must read before following any trades below: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials

    FHG = First Half Goal
    SHG = Second Half Goal
    LTD = Lay The Draw
    LCS = Lay Current Score

    My testing sheet for 2025: Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0

    M ? S MartinM Rick WatsonR 140 Replies Last reply
    👍
    4
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote last edited by
    #2

    Premier League
    For the 2025/2026 Premier League season, live TV rights in the UK are held by Sky Sports and TNT Sports. Sky Sports will broadcast a minimum of 215 matches, including slots like 32 matches on Saturdays at 17:30, 24 on Sundays at 14:00, and various other times. TNT Sports will show 52 matches, covering 32 Saturday 12:30 kick-offs, plus additional midweek and bank holiday games. This represents an increase in live coverage compared to previous seasons, with no involvement from Amazon Prime Video, whose rights expired after 2024/2025. The BBC will continue to provide highlights via Match of the Day until 2029. 15
    English Football League (EFL)
    Sky Sports holds the primary live rights for the EFL, including the Championship, League One, and League Two. They will broadcast 328 Championship matches, 248 League One matches, 248 League Two matches, and all 15 play-off matches across Sky Sports channels and the new Sky Sports+ streaming service, under a deal running from 2024/2025 to 2028/2029. ITV will air highlights until 2027 and will also show 10 live matches in both the 2025/2026 and 2026/2027 seasons. 15
    FA Cup
    The FA Cup rights are shared between the BBC and TNT Sports. The BBC will broadcast 14 live matches per season, including the final, from 2025 to 2029. TNT Sports will show at least 40 matches per season, also including the final, over the same period. S4C will provide coverage of selected matches involving Welsh clubs. 15
    UEFA Club Competitions
    • Champions League: TNT Sports has extensive rights, broadcasting 533 matches live. Amazon Prime will show 17 matches exclusively on Tuesday nights. The BBC will air highlights on Wednesday nights until 2027, and finals will be available free-to-view on the Discovery+ app. Additional coverage includes S4C for Welsh teams and Premier Sports.
    • Europa League and Conference League: TNT Sports will broadcast all live matches until 2026, with the BBC providing highlights.
    • UEFA Super Cup: Live on TNT Sports until 2026, with BBC highlights.
    • Women’s Champions League: DAZN holds the main rights until 2025, with TNT Sports showing one match per week.
    • UEFA Youth League: All matches on TNT Sports and the BBC. 15
    Scottish Football
    • Scottish Professional Football League (SPFL): Sky Sports will show 60 live matches per season until 2028/2029. The BBC will provide highlights for Scottish Premiership games on BBC One Scotland and BBC Scotland, plus 30 live SPFL Championship matches on BBC Scotland. Premier Sports will broadcast 22 live matches per season starting from 2025/2026.
    • Scottish Cup: The BBC will show 8 live matches, including the final, until 2029. Premier Sports will broadcast 10 live matches, including the final, until 2029.
    • Scottish League Cup: Premier Sports holds the rights for live matches, with an additional 25 available via streaming, until 2030/2031. 15
    International Football
    • FIFA World Cup (Men’s and Women’s): All matches live on BBC and ITV, with finals on both, until 2030 for men’s and 2027 for women’s.
    • UEFA European Championship: All matches live on BBC and ITV, with finals on both, until Euro 2028.
    • England National Teams: All men’s and women’s qualifiers, Nations League matches, and friendlies live on ITV until 2027 for men and 2029 for women.
    • Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland: The BBC will cover all men’s qualifiers and friendlies live from March 2025 to June 2026, with S4C also covering Wales until 2028. Women’s matches for Scotland and Wales are on BBC until 2027, and Northern Ireland women’s until 2026 (selected on BBC iPlayer and BBC NI TV). 15
    Major Foreign Leagues
    • La Liga (Spain): Premier Sports will broadcast 340 games per season until 2027/2028, with Disney+ showing one game each Saturday evening.
    • Serie A (Italy): TNT Sports will show 2 live games per round, while DAZN will broadcast all games live until 2026/2027.
    • Bundesliga (Germany): Sky Sports holds the rights to show matches live on TV and online. 20
    • Ligue 1 (France): Available via the Ligue 1 Pass streaming service from 2024/2025 to 2028/2029. 15
    This breakdown focuses on live TV and streaming rights for key competitions broadcast in the UK. Note that some deals span multiple seasons, and availability may include streaming platforms tied to the broadcasters (e.g., Sky Go, Discovery+ for TNT). For niche or women’s leagues not listed, rights may vary or be covered under broader packages.

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to sam ratcliffe last edited by
    #3

    @sam-ratcliffe no date yet but hopefully not too far off having a beta ready

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    sam ratcliffe
    wrote last edited by
    #4

    Just wondering any update on when the football back testing will be available?

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    wrote last edited by
    #5

    What's with all the 0-0 results in Argentina yesterday according to Flashscore? Seems suss or an error.

    Screenshot (175).png

    1 Reply Last reply
    😲
    0
  • T Offline
    T Offline
    Tony Hastie
    replied to Akiva Anderson last edited by
    #6

    @Akiva-Anderson they dont dive as much as the men do😁

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Akiva Anderson last edited by
    #7

    @Akiva-Anderson all I think is imagine if the men's England team showed half the heart the women's team do! We wouldn't have won nothing since 1966...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen Hancox
    replied to Akiva Anderson last edited by Stephen Hancox
    #8

    @Akiva-Anderson some decent points there. Cricket uses smaller and lighter balls and the boundaries are shorter. But I suppose the overriding factor for women's football might be how many goals per game, at the end of the day maybe that's what people want to see.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote last edited by
    #9

    Don’t want to get into a sexist argument here, but men and women’s football is vastly different. I’m not a lover of the women’s game, but I’ve watched the euros and my local women’s team too (Glentoran)

    I’ve enjoyed the Euros and been grateful for the trading opportunities. The men’s game is vastly superior though.

    I think women’s football could be improved, they certainly need the finance to help them, but there should also be rule changes.

    I’d recommend making the pitches smaller. They can’t kick it as far as the men (look at the goal kicks, they struggle to meet the halfway line). Any shot from over 20 yards generally lacks pace.

    I’d also make the nets smaller. Male goalkeepers are always around 6 foot or over. The female keepers are a lot smaller. They struggle to cover the net. They look tiny in goal

    Anyone else have an opinion?

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    Stephen HancoxS MartinM T 3 Replies Last reply
    0
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Shannon Townsend
    replied to Akiva Anderson last edited by
    #10

    @Akiva-Anderson i agree, my thinking is they have a good start the market overreacts and i get the hell out... they could flop though with the games they have played over the last year... that said they do have about 200 players in their 1st team...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Shannon Townsend last edited by
    #11

    @Shannon-Townsend said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    I have been looking at the outright markets for next year and so far my shortlist consists of -

    Premier League - Chelsea - 9.4 - could go either way but hoping the momentum from the summer carries on for a few weeks and can take a small profit.

    Top Goalscorer - Joao Pedro - 22 - see above really, he looks the real deal so a few early goals will see odds drop.

    Relegation - Lay Burnley - 1.4 - they are a really solid side and will be hard to beat, Parker is not exciting but his football will pick up points and at such lower liability im happy to go with them.

    Champions League - Napoli - 44 (hopefully) - they were brilliant last season and should give most teams a good game so think they will cruise through group stage and that should be enough to get a nice green.

    Thoughts?

    Think Chelsea may struggle. They’ll have practically played two seasons back-to-back by the end of next season. They look a solid side defensively though, they? Though I reckon they’ll start the season well, so plenty of opportunity to trade out.

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    S 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Shannon Townsend
    wrote last edited by
    #12

    I have been looking at the outright markets for next year and so far my shortlist consists of -

    Premier League - Chelsea - 9.4 - could go either way but hoping the momentum from the summer carries on for a few weeks and can take a small profit.

    Top Goalscorer - Joao Pedro - 22 - see above really, he looks the real deal so a few early goals will see odds drop.

    Relegation - Lay Burnley - 1.4 - they are a really solid side and will be hard to beat, Parker is not exciting but his football will pick up points and at such lower liability im happy to go with them.

    Champions League - Napoli - 44 (hopefully) - they were brilliant last season and should give most teams a good game so think they will cruise through group stage and that should be enough to get a nice green.

    Thoughts?

    Akiva AndersonA 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote last edited by
    #13

    Wednesday, 16th July:

    Over 1.5 Goals (Value Bets):

    17:00 - Fredrikstad vs Bodo / Glimt

    Implied Odds: 1.23
    Actual Odds: 1.25
    Value: 1.63%

    20:00 - Norway Women vs Italy Women

    Implied Odds: 1.28
    Actual Odds: 1.36
    Value: 6.25%

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Andy Donnelly last edited by
    #14

    @Andy-Donnelly said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Wow didn’t see that coming. Great performance from Chelsea.

    PSG need to show a bit of humility as well at the end there. Why are donnaruma and Enrique getting involved

    That's why we like trading isn't it! You traded it very well all round.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • N Offline
    N Offline
    Nikki HALSALL
    replied to Andy Donnelly last edited by
    #15

    @Andy-Donnelly me neither, well deserved and yes PSG need to learn how to lose!

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Andy Donnelly
    wrote last edited by
    #16

    Wow didn’t see that coming. Great performance from Chelsea.

    PSG need to show a bit of humility as well at the end there. Why are donnaruma and Enrique getting involved

    N MartinM 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Andy Donnelly on last edited by
    #17

    @Andy-Donnelly said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    @Akiva-Anderson have you done well on the club World Cup?

    Agree with one of your comments previously that there have been easy trading angles at times.

    Prior to team news yesterday I was leaning to laying PSG but when I saw team news I immediately swung the other way. Real team was all over the place, didn’t think they’d have a chance and so it proved.

    Midfield in particular was a mismatch. Personally think tchoameni and Bellingham are overrated and in current form nowhere near the quality of the PSG midfield three

    Yeah, some great prices in that. Chelsea around EVENS every match. Prices have been great. SHG prices have be okay too.

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #18

    @Akiva-Anderson Its unreal! lol I love it.

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Andy Donnelly
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #19

    @Akiva-Anderson have you done well on the club World Cup?

    Agree with one of your comments previously that there have been easy trading angles at times.

    Prior to team news yesterday I was leaning to laying PSG but when I saw team news I immediately swung the other way. Real team was all over the place, didn’t think they’d have a chance and so it proved.

    Midfield in particular was a mismatch. Personally think tchoameni and Bellingham are overrated and in current form nowhere near the quality of the PSG midfield three

    Akiva AndersonA 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #20

    Anyone else done really well trading this summer?

    Think it's been the best trading summer for me

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    A 1 Reply Last reply
    1

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