*****New Football Thread*****
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@Greg-Mitchell women's football will be fascinating, want to test it a while to see how it holds up but it's a great addition
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First loser of the week last night, updated table with todays picks, no doubt the Saturday hoodoo will strike:
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@Martin All of my picks are based on Stats, I only use the odds to restrict my Liability, so will have a maximum odds for lay bets and a minimum odds for back bets based on the Strike Rate.
So, this automatically picks up the value as in your example.
A couple of recent ones from yesterday/this morning for example:
Samsunspor v Galatasaray - Over 3.5 Stats % was 9%, odds were 2.92
Western United (W) v Central Coast Mariners W - Over 3.5 Stats was 9%, odds were 2.7
Admittedly both would have given you a bit of stress, as Galatasaray were 2 up after 11 minutes and the other was 2-1 after 28 mins (1-1 after 6). But both came in at Under 3.5 at Full Time.
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Forgot to post that I'd laid under 1.5 in Breda.
Not looking great at present.
0-0 and not the start I wanted for Feb. Onwards...
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Forgot to post that I'd laid under 1.5 in Breda.
Not looking great at present.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Interested does anyone trade based on stats that stick out compared to odds? Just looking at the games manually.
For example stats were saying around 80% chance of first half goal in Lecce v Fiorentina but odds were 1.54 for a first half goal.
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@Chris-King said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@andrew-page interesting, not quite an unders though? So basically getting matched with as little liability as possible and allowing the match to play out to hopefully take a profit when there are goals? Could also work on lower goals markets. Thanks.
lay low for big reward yep
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@andrew-page interesting, not quite an unders though? So basically getting matched with as little liability as possible and allowing the match to play out to hopefully take a profit when there are goals? Could also work on lower goals markets. Thanks.
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@Chris-King said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Out of interest, which market would people recommend for an unders strategy?
Trading from KO to 10 mins exit for a profit if no goal (if there’s a goal exiting trade when market settles).
lay u6.5 @1.01 not many matched not many hit when match but get odd pearler and some decent trade out options
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@Akiva-Anderson speaks too quickly I agree ... but I might forgive .. her and Rio though .. leave each other alone..
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Out of interest, which market would people recommend for an unders strategy?
Trading from KO to 10 mins exit for a profit if no goal (if there’s a goal exiting trade when market settles).
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@Akiva-Anderson I feel like her personality is a big part of the attractiveness
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@Akiva-Anderson Big fan!!!
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@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Laura Woods
I know @Ryan is a big fan!
It's not only that she's great looking (even though she is), but can you imagine being with a woman that wants to talk about football?! How great would that be?!
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
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Just two for today added to list
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Laura Woods
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...
