*****New Football Thread*****
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Lay Under 1.5 Newport County
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@Chris-King said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Greg-Mitchell Ah great, thanks. How’s it performed in your opinion? I’m interested to compare the stats to some of my own on SHG.
Managed to dig out before I go for pre-match drinks..
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@Greg-Mitchell Ah great, thanks. How’s it performed in your opinion? I’m interested to compare the stats to some of my own on SHG.
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@Chris-King said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Has anyone got past stats for the BTC SHG Members Filter, todays selections;
I will have them back to July (I think) can dig em out for you tomorrow.
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Has anyone got past stats for the BTC SHG Members Filter, todays selections;
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@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Greg-Mitchell women's football will be fascinating, want to test it a while to see how it holds up but it's a great addition
Yes, I'm trusting my calculations that I use for the rest of football and no testing, but so far so good, have 100% strike rate so far in the few women's games I've done.
Thats put the mockers on it..
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@Greg-Mitchell women's football will be fascinating, want to test it a while to see how it holds up but it's a great addition
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First loser of the week last night, updated table with todays picks, no doubt the Saturday hoodoo will strike:
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@Martin All of my picks are based on Stats, I only use the odds to restrict my Liability, so will have a maximum odds for lay bets and a minimum odds for back bets based on the Strike Rate.
So, this automatically picks up the value as in your example.
A couple of recent ones from yesterday/this morning for example:
Samsunspor v Galatasaray - Over 3.5 Stats % was 9%, odds were 2.92
Western United (W) v Central Coast Mariners W - Over 3.5 Stats was 9%, odds were 2.7
Admittedly both would have given you a bit of stress, as Galatasaray were 2 up after 11 minutes and the other was 2-1 after 28 mins (1-1 after 6). But both came in at Under 3.5 at Full Time.
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Forgot to post that I'd laid under 1.5 in Breda.
Not looking great at present.
0-0 and not the start I wanted for Feb. Onwards...
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Forgot to post that I'd laid under 1.5 in Breda.
Not looking great at present.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Interested does anyone trade based on stats that stick out compared to odds? Just looking at the games manually.
For example stats were saying around 80% chance of first half goal in Lecce v Fiorentina but odds were 1.54 for a first half goal.
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@Chris-King said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@andrew-page interesting, not quite an unders though? So basically getting matched with as little liability as possible and allowing the match to play out to hopefully take a profit when there are goals? Could also work on lower goals markets. Thanks.
lay low for big reward yep
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@andrew-page interesting, not quite an unders though? So basically getting matched with as little liability as possible and allowing the match to play out to hopefully take a profit when there are goals? Could also work on lower goals markets. Thanks.
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@Chris-King said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Out of interest, which market would people recommend for an unders strategy?
Trading from KO to 10 mins exit for a profit if no goal (if there’s a goal exiting trade when market settles).
lay u6.5 @1.01 not many matched not many hit when match but get odd pearler and some decent trade out options
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@Akiva-Anderson speaks too quickly I agree ... but I might forgive .. her and Rio though .. leave each other alone..
