*****New Football Thread*****
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A few to consider today amongst them:
01.5 split stake out after 70 if no goal
Darmstadt vs Bayern - if odds get reasonable
Braga vs Gil Vicente
Frosinone vs Lazio02.5 Split Stake out after 60 if no goal
Port Vale vs Oxford
Fulham vs Tottenham
FerlpiSal vs Parma
Luton vs Forest -
@Greg-Mitchell @Adam replied to your message saying the rest of the fixtures were populated, so when it updates it caculates the most recent games (so for example on a Friday the midweek results will be uploaded)
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Dunno what was going on with the Ratings, but @Adam seems to have fixed it, which has caused an update in my selections to the following. Yellows were not on my previous list and reds were but should not of been, so ignore those.
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@Trevor-H said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:
And just a random question, but has anybody else's Flash Score stopped showing the HT score?
@Greg-Mitchell It's a policy decision. If you think it's a bad one (as I do), please write to [email protected] and let them know why. If they get enough negative feedback, they might change their minds. The only site I've managed to find that gives HT scores (in a graphic) without having to click on game detais is Total Corner, so I'll be going there for now.
Bizarre decision that!
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@Ben-Dobie no prob .. good luck with it
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@Mark-Maguire You're a star Mark, I thought there was a way to do it I just couldn't get my head around what it was. Cheers for taking the time to come back I appreciate it
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@Ben-Dobie I did that and essentially its an either/or - As well as three other criteria I look for home team ELO to be 125 more than away team, Away team to be 135 more than home (thats on one specific filter but is an example) then I set the filter to match 4 of 5 criteria (otherwise it would be looking to match both the above if that makes sense?)
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@Mark-Maguire thanks very much mate that's really helpful... there is something missing from my parameters and I'm leaning towards it being something to do with this ... I'm trying to put in a parameter on my filter whereby there is an ELO difference between the teams (haven't decided on figure yet) in favor of either team do you know if this is possible ? Will tag @Adam as it's a software Q
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@Ben-Dobie In short yes I do look at this.. the following is some analysis I did a few weeks ago (needs updating) but gives you an idea .. based on 1500 plus games.. the per centages are relative strike rates
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@Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:
I'm going back to XScores, although they can be a little behind in updating some of the more obscure leagues..
That looks decent. I'd not seen that one before.
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@Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:
And just a random question, but has anybody else's Flash Score stopped showing the HT score?
@Greg-Mitchell It's a policy decision. If you think it's a bad one (as I do), please write to [email protected] and let them know why. If they get enough negative feedback, they might change their minds. The only site I've managed to find that gives HT scores (in a graphic) without having to click on game detais is Total Corner, so I'll be going there for now.
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And just a random question, but has anybody else's Flash Score stopped showing the HT score?
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Morning gang, today's selections below. Have added 3 new strategies, Lay Home, Lay Away and Trade Over 1.5.
I have backtested all 3 back to July 2023, signs are promising, but just be wary.
The two Lays at the moment are Set & Forget, but could eventually become trades. The Over 1.5 is a trade, Back Over 1.5, out after 1st goal if green.
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@Matt-Wood let me know when you set the filter up
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@Matt-Wood I'm in the position where without any drilling down into determining factors (i.e. ELO's, O1.5 Probability, FHG Probability0 I'm getting 78% of goals in the first half across my filters - it feels like there's an opportunity to identify how I can tweak that up a few per cent and nail down an opportunity
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@Matt-Wood
Currently in testing I'm looking at SR of 83% and starting odds of around 1.3I plan to track the goal times and might look to record which time segment of the match they fall into 0-10 / 10-20 etc.
My thought process is that if you equally drip into the market every 5 mins and there are lot's of early goals it's going to kill your bank build when you get a few that go against you and it will wipe out your wins from the early goals.
If I was to put say 50% of my stake on at the start or at 5mins then 25% at 15mins and 25% at 25 mins that might help cover early goals but will lead to a smaller return if that happen consistently.
My other approach is to create a strategy along side this one and add an extra rule that says 0-15mins 50% (or maybe even higher) chance of no goals - then you would expect the majority of your selections to to be 0-0 at 15 mins and you could start dripping in money for higher returns.
Not sure if I am overthinking it or not.
