*****New Football Thread*****
-
Welcome to the new football trading main thread!
Keep all of your football trading discussion in here!
Not sure where to start with football trading? Take a look at our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide
We have written a guide on what to consider before following any trades, this is a must read before following any trades below: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials
FHG = First Half Goal
SHG = Second Half Goal
LTD = Lay The Draw
LCS = Lay Current ScoreMy testing sheet for 2025: Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0
-
@GREGORIOS-KARASHIALIS Yep I did, I used the CSV at the weekend and it worked but it didnt work today so used copy and paste.
-
I put the ratings into ChatGPT at the weekend and asked it to find me the games for each day which had the best chance of a first half goal and then rank them in order of probability for a FHG.
I then narrowed down manually to 5 selections with odds of 1.45 or more, it hit 4/5 lol
Another one I tried yesterday was to give me a list of 100 bets which there was a high probability of under 4.5 goals, I wanted to see if it could create a list of 100 bets to follow with £10 stake all rolling to the next one, it did create me a list. I haven't tested many yet mind.
Those ratings Adam created are amazing, even better if you get ChatGPT to give you some ideas and angles.
-
Shame I picked this league for a SHG in two of the games... -
A few to narrow down today but amongst my 02.5 split stake will be:
Wolfsburg vs Leverkusen
Freiburg vs Heidenheim
Bolton vs Crawley
TNS vs Penybont
Benfica vs Moreirense -
@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Alastair-Todd I always think with those leagues it must be tough to have a day job then go and play a match at your best.
Agreed Martin, especially when many of the multi-millionaire professionals in the PL can't even hit the back of the net!
-
@Alastair-Todd I always think with those leagues it must be tough to have a day job then go and play a match at your best.
-
@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Alastair-Todd be very careful in small leagues like that, from what I understand most teams aren't even fully professional.
They were certainly amateurs last night Martin!
-
@Alastair-Todd be very careful in small leagues like that, from what I understand most teams aren't even fully professional.
-
@Alastair-Todd said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Wow, just wow!
Coleraine v Cliftonville: "100% of their match history had over 1.5 goals" in the stats e-mail.
Today: 5 goal attempts and not a single shot on goal - IN THE WHOLE MATCH!!!
What a nonsense.
NI is another league which for me has really poor results in the overs.
-
@Alastair-Todd, I had it too, got in at 1.5, was feeling pleased with myself oh well there's always India
-
Wow, just wow!
Coleraine v Cliftonville: "100% of their match history had over 1.5 goals" in the stats e-mail.
Today: 5 goal attempts and not a single shot on goal - IN THE WHOLE MATCH!!!
What a nonsense.
-
@ross-love they aren't mine they are @Mark-Maguire's I think he has shared the filter on here if you scroll enough, if you can't find it let me know
-
January Results for Strategies I am testing here £10 stakes: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0
Lay Home Team 2.0: £39.40
Back Home Team 1.0: -£30.34
Back Away: -£67.29
Lay Away 2025: -£149.90
Over 2.5 Split Stake: £35.99 -
@Alex-Rendell just checked again. It's back now.
-
@Richard-Latimer yeah I had a message pop up saying they cant display settled bets at the moment but are working on fixing it ASAP