Skins
  • Light
  • Cerulean
  • Cosmo
  • Flatly
  • Journal
  • Litera
  • Lumen
  • Lux
  • Materia
  • Minty
  • Morph
  • Pulse
  • Sandstone
  • Simplex
  • Sketchy
  • Spacelab
  • United
  • Yeti
  • Zephyr
  • Dark
  • Cyborg
  • Darkly
  • Quartz
  • Slate
  • Solar
  • Superhero
  • Vapor

  • Default (Yeti)
  • No Skin
Collapse

*****New Football Thread*****

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
important
4.9k Posts 104 Posters 68.6k Views
    • Oldest to Newest
    • Newest to Oldest
    • Most Votes
Reply
  • Reply as topic
Log in to reply
This topic has been deleted. Only users with topic management privileges can see it.
  • Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon Bates
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1661

    As of the time of this message, my O1.5 goals strategy today, 57 out of 65 wins, in them wins I had a 29 trade win streak, still got 15 to go before the end of the day.
    Screenshot_20240421_171807_Google.jpg

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex Rule
    wrote on last edited by
    #1662

    Might be worth a small lay on Man U and green up if Cov give them a tough time 👀

    5388f3d7-3d6e-493b-90e9-d7147e1307ff-image.png

    Simon BatesS MartinM 2 Replies Last reply
    2
  • Chris KingC Offline
    Chris KingC Offline
    Chris King
    replied to Martin on last edited by Chris King
    #1663

    @Martin I have found on a one of my set and forgets tests (FHG) that i just wait for odds 2.0 or i don’t trade it even though the stats had shown it was profitable entering from KO. SR is about 62-64% and staying in profit.

    So it’s now turned in to a strategy i trade you could say. Just not many selections so may need to look at de-restricting the filter as it were to try to get more and see how it goes.

    I have also thought of a lay over 4.5 goals strategy for matches with early goals on matches with short priced goals since tracking the BTC SHG filter which could be very good.

    You had a recent pod about value and the timing of that with my current trading situation seems to have hit home. Although i always knew value was imperative i’m focusing far more on it than before.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Online
    MartinM Online
    Martin btc team
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1664

    Does anyone try to get better odds on their strategies in play? Had a couple today where home teams I would have layed went 1-0 up and got quickly pegged back, both times I could have layed at odds on (Dnipro game went from 6.6-1.96 after an early goal!).

    Think this could be a good strategy for those that set up alerts and have time to place trades in play.

    Chris KingC 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    andrew page
    wrote on last edited by
    #1665

    a0b39539-d327-44f7-ab72-0e8757a51e40-image.png

    Just never panned out this weekend
    Dropped 7 points

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Online
    MartinM Online
    Martin btc team
    replied to Greg Mitchell on last edited by
    #1666

    @Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    @Richard-Latimer Think there goalkeeper and star striker can only play until halftime, then they have a plumbing job to do..

    haha love this!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Greg Mitchell on last edited by
    #1667

    @Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    @Richard-Latimer Think there goalkeeper and star striker can only play until halftime, then they have a plumbing job to do..

    It's annoying because I wanted to lay them. Then the price shot up so I waited....but it just kept going up until they fell behind.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #1668

    @Richard-Latimer Think there goalkeeper and star striker can only play until halftime, then they have a plumbing job to do..

    Richard LatimerR MartinM 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1669

    Anyone trade non league? See the odds on Chippenham flew up just before kick off and they're only going higher despite Chippenham being on the attack.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Greg MitchellG 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon Bates
    replied to andrew page on last edited by
    #1670

    @andrew-page my O1.5 nearly mirrors yours, yesterday was a good day for me, I was trading my selections from after filtering out the worst performing leagues for my strategy, hoping today follows suit, I'm on 6 out of 6 this morning.
    Screenshot_20240420_094958_Sheets.jpg

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    mick mcmahon
    replied to Alex Rule on last edited by
    #1671

    @Alex-Rule back testing... droooool please... Soon...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex Rule
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1672

    @Martin Yes, and I also find it hard to go all in on with a strat that often gets less than 30 selections a month. Back testing will answer the question once and for all if it's worth sticking with.

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    mick mcmahon
    replied to andrew page on last edited by
    #1673

    @andrew-page now that's a list and half!!
    Are those your final bets or your starting point?

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    andrew page
    wrote on last edited by
    #1674

    FREE TIPS.PNG

    Lets see if come out today unscathed

    Cruch end of a the winter leagues

    M Simon BatesS 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Online
    MartinM Online
    Martin btc team
    replied to mick mcmahon on last edited by
    #1675

    @mick-mcmahon https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/3286/set-forget-football-strategies/2 it's in the OP here

    1 Reply Last reply
    👍
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    mick mcmahon
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1676

    @Martin Thanks, but when I click the link I get the not found message and not the json data. Does it work if you click it?

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Online
    MartinM Online
    Martin btc team
    replied to mick mcmahon on last edited by Martin
    #1677

    @mick-mcmahon said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    @Martin Getting a not found when clicking on that link

    How to Download & Upload a Strategy:

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    mick mcmahon
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1678

    @Martin Getting a not found when clicking on that link 73a4370a-6f4f-4bfb-9364-3b79e3794cac-image.png

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Online
    MartinM Online
    Martin btc team
    replied to Alex Rule on last edited by
    #1679

    @Alex-Rule my concern with that strategy is the covid effect, it started really well in covid and dropped off after covid

    Alex RuleA 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex Rule
    replied to mick mcmahon on last edited by
    #1680

    @mick-mcmahon Tomaz Lay 1.5 strat has been doing well in the long term. Over a years worth of data now as well.

    Hang on in there - once the footy update happens it's going to be like opening Pandora's box. The world will never be the same again. You'll be able to back test and then forward test just leaving the strats live in the software (as I understand it). Meaning you can run several strats and collect data at once and not touch them. 🤯

    Then you will be able to link those to BFBM and and in just a few clicks in the morning your set and forget as well as inplay strats will do done for you!!!!

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    3

  • Login

  • Login or register to search.
  • First post
    Last post
0
  • Login

  • Login or register to search.