*****New Football Thread*****
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@Shannon-Townsend I never thought to check the value there, I'll start tracking those odds in my sheet to see how it looks
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@Arran-Shackell I'm still testing the strategy with my criteria so no restrictions at this point. However I am taking the total number of games for the home and away team that finished the 1st half at 0-0 and then dividing it by the total number of games to give me a percentage and converting this to odds to compare against what the 1st half correct score market has. I am using this to gauge the value and only laying if the lay odds offered are less than what I calculated.
I've only done 82 trades this month but have a strike rate of 80% and an ROI at the moment of 7%. My average lay odds are 3.96.
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@Arran-Shackell I avoided the O1.5 trade today but thought that between the 22 millionaires on the pitch, they might scratch out 1 goal in the second half. 46 goal attempts and 9 shots on goal, and still no-one could hit a barn door. What's that all about?!!!
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An annoying Fulham Everton 0-0 finish. Oh well!
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
SHG in the Coventry City v Bristol City match. 1-1 at HT
Thank f**k! Needed that!
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SHG in the Coventry City v Bristol City match. 1-1 at HT
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@Rudra-Radasandaran also worth checking the lay under 0.5 goals in 1st half if laying the hal time 0-0 as every now and then i notice you can get slightly better odds for what is the same situation and over time every tick counts...
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@Akiva-Anderson yep a tough weekend for me too spent half the time refreshing the screen to check the live goals services weren't broken
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@Rudra-Radasandaran I will have a look into it, but at first glance on the Brugge game tonight as the odds stand, backing FHG is better than laying 0-0 at HT. 1.2 v 6.6
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@Rudra-Radasandaran
What sort of odds are you laying at out of interest?
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Awful weekend of trading. I think I hit every 0-0 available!
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@Greg-Mitchell have you thought about doing a lay 0-0 half time score? I've got a first half goal criteria I created this month and have been using to back 0.5G first half and also lay 0-0. I've found the ROI on the lay 0-0 is much better than backing 0.5G.
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Week so far and 3 for today.
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Great to see plucky underdogs Blackburn fighting back against Bigger Budget Media Darlings Wrexham .. magic of the cup is alive and well
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@Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Scrap that Jong Ajax game tonight, although its bound to come in now...
Was nailed on...
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@Alastair-Todd said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Just looking at the comments below about how rubbish the weekend trading was for many. I must admit that because my O1.5 filter has been throwing up some howlers recently, I slightly lost my bottle with it and decided to track it without trading. The net result yesterday would have been -17 pts, so I'm very glad I sat it out. Having said all that, I was trading the SHG when 0-0 at HT market (thanks Martin) and that is still going great guns - perhaps I feel I have a little more control over the trade than with a simple set and forget at KO. Not sure. I'm sitting out the three Turkish games on my filter today as Turkey has been a bit unpredictable - now watch them put in 12 goals between them!
Silly me - it was only 10 goals between them!
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Lay under 1.5:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@Alastair-Todd you make a good point and the set and forget variance won't be for everyone!
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Just looking at the comments below about how rubbish the weekend trading was for many. I must admit that because my O1.5 filter has been throwing up some howlers recently, I slightly lost my bottle with it and decided to track it without trading. The net result yesterday would have been -17 pts, so I'm very glad I sat it out. Having said all that, I was trading the SHG when 0-0 at HT market (thanks Martin) and that is still going great guns - perhaps I feel I have a little more control over the trade than with a simple set and forget at KO. Not sure. I'm sitting out the three Turkish games on my filter today as Turkey has been a bit unpredictable - now watch them put in 12 goals between them!
