*****New Football Thread*****
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@Alex-Rule lower league football in the UK
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I don't think they even noticed until late in the 2nd half as well as price was suspended @1.01 I think
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@Akiva-Anderson Yeah I got that one. You confirm the home team and you don't think to double check the biggest betting exchange in the world hasn't fucked up and offered odds on a fixture that doesn't exist
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How can we possibly be International football again?!
This batch of matches are really s**t too. Most of them are friendlies.
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
So today betfair offered odds on a match which wasn't even happening as it turns out.
Sometimes names on Israeli clubs change and appear differently so when I confirmed the home team I thought good to go.
But no. Now cancelled/voided when I thought it had won.
Hapoel Nazareth supposed to be playing against Hapoel Akko but they had odds against Hapoel Afula.
Wait until you learn that Hapoel Akko are normally Hapoel Acre...
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
@Arran-Shackell nope you can't win them all! We go again!
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@Andy-Donnelly Hi Andy, I tend to look at 2nd half 0-0% for both teams at home and away. I will also look at SOT and dangerous attacks sometimes to see if the game is lively or not.
It's still early days and I'm testing a few different versions of a SHG filter to see what works - I will report back when I know more. I think it's a case of everyone just sharing insights and progress and we can create a decent filter
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@Greg-Mitchell ok, no problem.
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Hi, it's difficult for me to share my filters because they are not one-dimensional. I use a combination of multiple filters and calculations on the Football Ratings.
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@Mark-Maguire nice one…. Keep them coming.
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Not this time unfortunately!
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I find the turkish names the hardest to match up.
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So today betfair offered odds on a match which wasn't even happening as it turns out.
Sometimes names on Israeli clubs change and appear differently so when I confirmed the home team I thought good to go.
But no. Now cancelled/voided when I thought it had won.
Hapoel Nazareth supposed to be playing against Hapoel Akko but they had odds against Hapoel Afula.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@Alex-Rule Yeh I saw this one too, looking along similar lines.
How did you get on with these over the weekend just gone? I had been doing pretty well but was a bloodbath this weekend. Interested to see if I should be looking at more than just percentage of FT 0-0s. What other factors do you consider?
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@Arran-Shackell said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Was this the one where you back a goal if they have a history of all matches having at least 1 goal by FT - If so, how are you getting on with this?
@Arran-Shackell Yes, although you need to refine it a bit more than just 100% O0.5. I've found that FHGs and O1.5 values can be useful filters. I'm still experimenting, but it's running at 85% S/R from 57 matched selections, 5.5% RoI on a fixed stake in its current iteration, so it's not setting the world alight, but it's at least not losing. If it maintains that level, it could be useful as one strat among several.
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@Mark-Maguire absolutely smashing it mate
