*****New Football Thread*****
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A few today including:
LTD
Lille vs Lorient
Parma vs Ascoli
Feyenoord vs Nijmegen if odds come in01.5 Split Stake out after 70 if no goal (green up on a goal - to free bet if its in first 30 mins)
Almeria vs Girona
Feyenoord vs Nijmegen02.5 Split Stake out after 60 mins if no goal (green up after goal, to free bet if its in first 30 mins then out on second goal)
Feyenoord vs Nijmegen
Man Utd vs Tottenham
Almeria vs Girona
Moenchengladbach vs Stuttgart ( will be careful on staking because stats are marginal.. am arguing with myself over this one) -
@Martin going in the right direction but only because:
- I watched all your videos in the training Course (taking notes like I was in school)
- the advice you gave
- the advice and mentoring and ideas of Ryan
- the stats and technical help from Adam
Without the boyband I would be floundering with stupid ideas and would have given up what I'm hoping will now be my livelihood so will always be grateful to you lot (and I have to say the established traders on here who have always been generous with their advice).
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@Greg-Mitchell good work mate!
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Todays selections (Amended) - Apologies, posted wrong table
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Quite a good day yesterday, 5 pts profit
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@Mark-Maguire you are smashing it a new one!
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Can't avoid a losing weekend now but will be just over 1pt if this comes in. My only trade for Sunday. Lay under 1.5:
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@Trevor-H I'm still very much learning this and have my horrible moments too.. I often over think which is why I bang on about my stats stuff because that helps me personally narrow things down.. there are professionals/more established traders on here who don't need that and I think its important to get to a point of confidence in what works for you personally - different people will succeed in trading in very different ways. Personally I post what I do on here to hold myself accountable and then on the occasion that I go and trade something stupid out of boredom or restlessness I give myself a proper telling off
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All greens for me on these today - pleased with discipline with exception of the free bet I left in on Leipzig (thought they'd score but I suppose 50p green is still green.
LTD
Darmstadt vs Dortmund
PSV vs Excelsior
Monza vs inter01.5 split stake out after 70 mins if no goal
Leipzig vs Frankfurt Strictly a tiny green- cashed out to free bet
Newry vs Cliftonville
TNS vs Newtown
PSV vs Excelsior02.5 split stake out after 60 mins if no goal
Blackpool vs Exeter
Tranmere vs MK Dons
TNS vs Newtown
Raith vs Queens Park
PSV vs Excelsior -
@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Things not going great in Leverkusen.
Adding these 2 final ones to the mix for lay under 1.5:
Just the one loss so 3/4 and a little more than a 2pt loss (£19)
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Things not going great in Leverkusen.
Adding these 2 final ones to the mix for lay under 1.5:
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Couple more to look at but start with these:
Lay under 1.5 Augsburg
Lay under 1.5 Queen of the South -
@Mark-Maguire You're good at this, arent you? Thanks for the insight.
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@Trevor-H the way I traded Dordtrecht was that I greened to a free bet after the very early goal, then based on action dripped a bit more in - I would have exited on 70 mins if no second goal, but as it was took decent green with the second goal on 57 mins.
For the Hull game I actually just took the green on 36 mins but admit I had a little dabble later on because I expected another goal but consider that a separate trade (which happily was green - albeit very late)
For Bayern - I greened to free bet and then added more at 60 mins because I felt sure Bayern would score again. Then further green to free bet and Harry Kane rewarded me late on.
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Usual challenge on a Saturday is narrowing selections down, interesting today on my LTD picks that's taken longer than usual as I am concerned about a couple...
For example Bolton vs Cheltenham a week or two back would be easy based on stats but with Bolton's FA Cup involvement and Cheltenham picking up a few results under their new manager its one to keep an eye on rather than dive in to for me - likewise Napoli vs Salernitana .. Nap seem to be finding new ways to lose this season .. Leverkusen first game back away at Augsburg .. so I have spent time talking myself out of trades
Anyway of those that remain:
LTD
Darmstadt vs Dortmund
PSV vs Excelsior (only if odds come in - this game is on all filters)
Monza vs inter01.5 split stake out after 70 mins if no goal
Leipzig vs Frankfurt
Newry vs Cliftonville
TNS vs Newtown (may wait for odds)
PSV vs Excelsior (may wait for odds)02.5 split stake out after 60 mins if no goal
Blackpool vs Exeter
Tranmere vs MK Dons
TNS vs Newtown
Raith vs Queens Park
PSV vs Excelsior -
@Mark-Maguire said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Full house for me tonight .. to be enjoyed when they happen
LTD
Bayern vs Hoffenheim
01.5 Split stake out after 70 mins if no goal
Bayern vs Hoffenheim
O2.5 Split stake out after 60 mins if no goal
Bayern vs Hoffenheim
Dordrecht vs Helmond
Hull vs NorwichWell done @Mark-Maguire. I'm following with interest. So I guess you greened up when Dordrecht scored but hung on when it stayed 1-0 at Hull and Bayern? I find that picking the right exit point is one of the hardest things to get right. (Sometimes entry too: not sure what the Bayern LTD came down to, but it was certainly higher than I'd have felt comfortable with when the goal went in.)
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Well, I need to stop myself messing about with calculations, statistics, formulas etc etc, so I'm gonna see if posting my selections on here helps with my formula OCD.. Maybe it will, maybe it won't, only one way to find out:
So here goes, todays selections:
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@Mark-Maguire a common theme well done mate!
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@Mark-Maguire a common theme well done mate!
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Full house for me tonight .. to be enjoyed when they happen
LTD
Bayern vs Hoffenheim
01.5 Split stake out after 70 mins if no goal
Bayern vs Hoffenheim
O2.5 Split stake out after 60 mins if no goal
Bayern vs Hoffenheim
Dordrecht vs Helmond
Hull vs Norwich