*****New Football Thread*****
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Wow, my SHG 0.5 goal trades have taken a hammering over the last week. Seems HT is the watershed and teams run out of steam afterwards.
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@Simon-Bates no not changed the settings, it never really got many per week
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@Martin I've done lay away 2.0 since I joined, but I had so much data collecting for my own strategies I completely missed out March, only just started doing Aprils, also can I ask, have you changed your filter settings for your lay over 3.5 goals strategy because there hasn't been many selections for it of late, so was wondering if it was down to that or just games that haven't met your criteria.
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@GREGORIOS-KARASHIALIS it's a set and forget strategy, still paper trading it with £1 back and £2 lay bets, results so far are, games 1062/869 wins, £45.22/£253.18
Feb, games 278/239 wins
£22.83/£140.08
Mar, games 584/461 wins
£9.34/£21.08
Apr, games 200/169 wins
£13.05/£92.02
Average back/lay odds 1.27/5.2Going to continue testing it till end of April at least just to see if strike rate of 81% stays and to make sure it just isn't a fluke of results.
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@Simon-Bates that's excellent, lay away 2.0 had a rough month for me hopefully just a bit of variance as it had been doing well, the 1.0 has tanked big time!
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@Simon-Bates do you just set them in from the start or you wait for the odds to get to 1.5 (give or take ) or wait untill 25/30th minute?
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It's a nightmare @andrew-page lol, I have to record all the odds for early games the night before, then when I get up the next day I continue recording the odds for the other games, I need to find a way of reducing the games so I haven't got so many to do, I dread the weekends lol.
These were my games yesterday.
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Brilliant match in Glasgow. There is no bigger derby in British football than Rangers v Celtic.
Steel city Derby is bigger than Gers v Celtic
Sheffield the Home of Football !!! -
@Simon-Bates said in *****New Football Thread*****:
I'm into my 3rd month of testing my over 1.5 goals strategy, overall I've tested 1550 games, won 1215, strikerate 78%.
I went through all the odds I've recorded for each game and took out the odds ranges where more losses happened which whittled it down to 1072 games with 879 wins, strikerate 82%, my next thing is to look through the leagues and work out which ones are no good for my strategy and see if by removing these I can up my strike rate any more.
I'm glad March is over, ended in profit but the losses that month were terrible, first week of April is going great though, 210 games, 179 wins, yesterday alone was 74/66.
74 matches man thats enough to fry my brain before 1st game kicks off lol
paltry 4 over 1.5's for me today -
I'm into my 3rd month of testing my over 1.5 goals strategy, overall I've tested 1550 games, won 1215, strikerate 78%.
I went through all the odds I've recorded for each game and took out the odds ranges where more losses happened which whittled it down to 1062 games with 879 wins, strikerate 82%, my next thing is to look through the leagues and work out which ones are no good for my strategy and see if by removing these I can up my strike rate any more.
I'm glad March is over, ended in profit but the losses that month were terrible, first week of April is going great though, 200 games, 169 wins, yesterday alone was 64/56.
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Brilliant match in Glasgow. There is no bigger derby in British football than Rangers v Celtic.
good afternoon of football today wasn't it!
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Was collecting my data from my over 1.5 selections this morning and this games odds weren't the usual that I collect for my selections, that's what made me check the game, layed under 4.5 goals @ 1.81, was in the green from the 8th minute, 3 goals by 23rd, 5th goal was a penalty that won my whole trade.
Screenshot_20240407_154212_Exchange.jpg -
Brilliant match in Glasgow. There is no bigger derby in British football than Rangers v Celtic.
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
Not having a massively great weekend either. Seems like teams are running out of steam.
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@Alex-Rule said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Anyone else have a shocker yesterday?
Set and forget LTD might be the worst single day since recording! 10 points down in a single Saturday! Offffff
- 3 points just doing over 1.5 goals refreshingly good saturday bonus was had a lull in Place lays between 3pm -4.30 so could pay attention a bit more to football
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Going through my filter selections today and noticed one game where the odds were not what I was expecting, checked out the Turkish game, Eyupspor v Altay and realised its top v bottom, best att v worst att and def in the league, just thought I'd bring it to the attention for anyone trading the over and unders markets if they're looking for goals.
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Put mine up
Aussie games done n dusted -
@Akiva-Anderson cheers for sharing!
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My Picks for Sunday:
Over 1.5 Goals:
00:30 - Inter Miami vs Colorado Rapids
06:00 - Newcastle Jets vs Sydney
08:00 - Perth Glory vs Adelaide United
11:30 - Frosinone vs Bologna
12:00 - Rangers vs Celtic
14:30 - TSG Hoffenheim vs FC Augsburg
17:30 - Sheffield United vs Chelsea
18:00 - Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest
18:45 - Sporting KC vs Portland Timbers
19:00 - Toluca vs AtlasSHG:
06:00 - Newcastle Jets vs Sydney
06:00 - Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare
07:00 - Urawa Reds vs Sagan Tosu
11:30 - Frosinone vs Bologna
12:00 - Utsikten vs Gefle
12:00 – Brest v Metz
12:30 - Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge
13:00 - Malmö FF vs Hammarby
14:00 – Monza v Napoli
14:00 – Montpellier v Lorient
15:30 – Manchester United v Liverpool
16:00 - Sarpsborg 08 vs Odd
16:05 – Monaco v Rennes
17:00 - Cagliari vs Atalanta
17:00 - Sparta Praha vs Mladá Boleslav
17:30 - Sheffield United vs Chelsea
18:00 - Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest
18:15 - Brann vs Fredrikstad
19:45 – Juventus v Fiorentina
20:30 - Porto vs Vitória SCHome Wins:
06:00 - Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare (1.48)
07:00 - Urawa Reds vs Sagan Tosu (1.62)
12:30 - Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge (1.75)
17:00 - Sparta Praha vs Mladá Boleslav (1.33)
18:00 - Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest (1.41)
20:30 - Porto vs Vitória SC (1.37)
