*****New Football Thread*****

Arran Shackell

Yeah i know what you mean - I guess the only way is to test both methods. If it’s working well just S&F in time we should all switch over.

Trevor H

@Alex-Rule said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Trevor-H said in *****New Football Thread*****:

13:30 Fleetwood U21 v Sheff Utd U21
15:00 Mafra U23 v Farense U23
18:00 CC Riadi Salmi v MAS Maghrib A Fes
19:30 Manchester City v Brentford
19:45 AFC Wimbledon v Crawley Town
19:45 Bromley v Dagenham & Red.
19:45 Cardiff v Blackburn
19:45 Cliftonville v Linfield
19:45 Farnborough v Torquay
19:45 Plymouth v West Brom
Odds not reached elsewhere

Awful! Might have to go back to the drawing board with this one. Still up a bit overall, so I'll give it another day or two.

One overnighter: 01:00 Puebla v Pachuca

How have the youth games gone overall? May be ones to sack off

I find the Youth games have no real value on goals - they are expected so you often struggle to get over 1.2 at half time.

Well, exactly. I wasn't really expecting any to be matched. And I certainly wasn't expecting any 0-0s! They're usually cricket scores.

Trevor H

@Arran-Shackell said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Trevor-H

Do you check your in play stats before entering? I understand the appeal for S&F but I only tend to go in with at least 8 shots and 3 to 4 on target. I think the Cardiff game was just short of that at HT.

No, I'm trying for a set-and-forget system (see above). I know what you mean about in-play stats, but the number of times I've seen a game look dead and then they score with their only shot ...

Arran Shackell

@Richard-Latimer

Possibly just variance Richard?

Arran Shackell

@Trevor-H

Do you check your in play stats before entering? I understand the appeal for S&F but I only tend to go in with at least 8 shots and 3 to 4 on target. I think the Cardiff game was just short of that at HT.

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Laying Under 1.5 in Aldershot this evening

That really must be it for now as I don't want to undo all the good work from last year.

Is it possible a system can have too many filters and combinations of filters in the end?

Maybe my system is inherently flawed because of it. I still have a huge amount of data to work from but if my overcomplicate strive for perfection is not to be. So be it.

On top of that the away lays are still going strong and I have been careful not to overcomplicated or over filter.

I'm desperate to throw the baby out with the bath water here. In the cold light of day how foolish would it be to give up on something I've put almost 2 yrs into now because of a few rogue results well overdue. I'm simply not going to post them until I can be sure the finished product looks as good as I hoped it would be and I'm not going to put anything on them myself either. Data collection only.

Arran Shackell

@Akiva-Anderson

I had the latter two as well

Alex Rule

@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Trevor-H said in *****New Football Thread*****:

13:30 Fleetwood U21 v Sheff Utd U21
15:00 Mafra U23 v Farense U23
18:00 CC Riadi Salmi v MAS Maghrib A Fes
19:30 Manchester City v Brentford
19:45 AFC Wimbledon v Crawley Town
19:45 Bromley v Dagenham & Red.
19:45 Cardiff v Blackburn
19:45 Cliftonville v Linfield
19:45 Farnborough v Torquay
19:45 Plymouth v West Brom
Odds not reached elsewhere

Awful! Might have to go back to the drawing board with this one. Still up a bit overall, so I'll give it another day or two.

One overnighter: 01:00 Puebla v Pachuca

How have the youth games gone overall? May be ones to sack off

I find the Youth games have no real value on goals - they are expected so you often struggle to get over 1.2 at half time.

Martin

@Trevor-H said in *****New Football Thread*****:

13:30 Fleetwood U21 v Sheff Utd U21
15:00 Mafra U23 v Farense U23
18:00 CC Riadi Salmi v MAS Maghrib A Fes
19:30 Manchester City v Brentford
19:45 AFC Wimbledon v Crawley Town
19:45 Bromley v Dagenham & Red.
19:45 Cardiff v Blackburn
19:45 Cliftonville v Linfield
19:45 Farnborough v Torquay
19:45 Plymouth v West Brom
Odds not reached elsewhere

Awful! Might have to go back to the drawing board with this one. Still up a bit overall, so I'll give it another day or two.

One overnighter: 01:00 Puebla v Pachuca

How have the youth games gone overall? May be ones to sack off

Trevor H

13:30 Fleetwood U21 v Sheff Utd U21
15:00 Mafra U23 v Farense U23
18:00 CC Riadi Salmi v MAS Maghrib A Fes
19:30 Manchester City v Brentford
19:45 AFC Wimbledon v Crawley Town
19:45 Bromley v Dagenham & Red.
19:45 Cardiff v Blackburn
19:45 Cliftonville v Linfield
19:45 Farnborough v Torquay
19:45 Plymouth v West Brom
Odds not reached elsewhere

Awful! Might have to go back to the drawing board with this one. Still up a bit overall, so I'll give it another day or two.

One overnighter: 01:00 Puebla v Pachuca

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Laying Under 1.5 in Aldershot this evening

That really must be it for now as I don't want to undo all the good work from last year.

Is it possible a system can have too many filters and combinations of filters in the end?

Maybe my system is inherently flawed because of it. I still have a huge amount of data to work from but if my overcomplicate strive for perfection is not to be. So be it.

On top of that the away lays are still going strong and I have been careful not to overcomplicated or over filter.

Akiva Anderson

@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:

SHG in the following matches. Heading to bed here, got a headache!!

Oxford United vs Northampton Town
Reading v Port Vale
AFC Wimbledon vs Crawley Town

Wow! 20 minutes left and it looks like it’s gonna be a s**t night!

Never in doubt!

Akiva Anderson

@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:

SHG in the following matches. Heading to bed here, got a headache!!

Oxford United vs Northampton Town
Reading v Port Vale
AFC Wimbledon vs Crawley Town

Wow! 20 minutes left and it looks like it’s gonna be a s**t night!

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the following matches. Heading to bed here, got a headache!!

Oxford United vs Northampton Town
Reading v Port Vale
AFC Wimbledon vs Crawley Town

Alex Rule

Some big prices for SHG this eve in the English leagues

Shannon Townsend

@Trevor-H i like the concept as i have an O 0.5 1st half set and forget which is basically breaking even at the minute and often odds are around 1.3 so might try and track what would have happened with some of the losing trades on that had i of gone down your route.

Trevor H

@Shannon-Townsend said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Trevor-H are you placing these bets at your set price pre match and just seeing which ones get matched as/if and when the clock ticks round or you keeping an eye on each game?

The former, mostly. I was monitoring at the weekend, just to avoid posting dead games, but the idea is set and forget. Work in progress, as you can tell

Shannon Townsend

@Trevor-H are you placing these bets at your set price pre match and just seeing which ones get matched as/if and when the clock ticks round or you keeping an eye on each game?

Richard Latimer

Laying Under 1.5 in Aldershot this evening

Trevor H

Back O0.5 at 1.25+ (or odds of your choice)
13:00 Barnsley U21 v Sheff Wed U21
13:00 Bristol City U21 v Millwall U21
13:30 Fleetwood U21 v Sheff Utd U21
15:00 Benfica U23 v Estrela U23
15:00 Estoril U23 v Vizela U23
15:00 Mafra U23 v Farense U23
17:00 Al Rayyan v Shamal (?moved to Sunday?)
18:00 CC Riadi Salmi v MAS Maghrib A Fes
19:30 Manchester City v Brentford
19:45 AFC Wimbledon v Crawley Town
19:45 Boston v Darlington
19:45 Bromley v Dagenham & Red.
19:45 Cardiff v Blackburn
19:45 Cliftonville v Linfield
19:45 Farnborough v Torquay
19:45 Fylde v Solihull
19:45 Plymouth v West Brom
19:45 Slough v Dartford
19:45 Southampton v Hull City
(Not expecting much from the kids' matches, but you never know.)