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*****New Football Thread*****

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex Rule
    wrote on last edited by Alex Rule
    #1561

    Just seen this offer on the Betfair Sports book. Worth a go I reckon

    Rodri has to committed the most fouls in the Man City squad, 15 more than Walker in second.
    With 38 fouls in 31 appearances, Rodri is averaging 1.28 committed P/90.
    Rodri will be in and around Muniz, Palhinha and Pereira who average 1.94, 1.93 and 0.96 fouls drawn P/90 respectively.

    645d4d19-8e24-4036-be46-6f420dde20b5-image.png

    BOOOOM!

    G Matt WoodM 2 Replies Last reply
    2
  • G Offline
    G Offline
    GREGORIOS KARASHIALIS
    wrote on last edited by
    #1562

    hi all.... i just watched martins video? over 0.5, 1.5 and 2.5 goals in the first half.... would you use that strategy in fulham v man city today? what do toy think of these odds? would your trade straight out after the first goal, if all markets went green?Screenshot 2024-05-11 at 10.23.30.png Screenshot 2024-05-11 at 10.24.03.png Screenshot 2024-05-11 at 10.24.25.png

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #1563

    Over 1.5 Goals (BTC):

    12:35 - Chengdu Rongcheng vs Henan Songshan Longme
    13:00 - Shanghai Port vs Changchun Yatai
    17:30 - Paderborn vs Hamburger SV

    SHG:

    12:35 - Chengdu Rongcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen
    17:30 - Paderborn vs Hamburger SV
    19:30 – Augsburg v Stuttgart
    19:45 – Shamrock Rovers v St Pats
    19:45 – Shelbourne v Drogheda
    19:45 – Derry City v Bohemians
    20:00 – Doncaster v Crewe
    20:00 - Brest vs Reims
    20:00 – Nice v Le Havre

    Home Wins:

    19:45 – Shamrock Rovers v St Pats (1.61)
    19:45 – Shelbourne v Drogheda (1.71)

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    👍
    2
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Simeon Bogg on last edited by
    #1564

    @Simeon-Bogg said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Just started a couple of weeks ago with small stakes for the time being.

    One of the strategies I have been following is the Lay Under 1.5 goals setting on the software.

    It got off to a great start but recently saw 7 losses in a row. 5 of which were games from the League of Ireland Premier Division.

    I don't have much data to confidently make any tweaks to the setting just yet, so I was wondering if anybody else has been doing this one this season.

    Would anyone say that that league is one to avoid in the future?

    Or does this kind of variance often occur?

    I am a Hammers fan by the way - still feeling sore after Sunday! 🥹

    League of Ireland was poor at the weekend for SHG too.

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Simeon Bogg on last edited by Martin
    #1565

    @Simeon-Bogg said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    @Martin
    Thanks for the heads up Martin.

    The losses didn't hurt as I am starting off with really low stakes just to get some data and to kind of simulate the trading experience.

    I will still keep track of the results of this filter, and compare how it performs backing over 1.5 vs. laying it.

    I am going to just try to collect as much data as possible for one year with various strategies and see if I can come up with any meaningful tweaks.

    great idea!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Simeon BoggS Offline
    Simeon BoggS Offline
    Simeon Bogg
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1566

    @Martin
    Thanks for the heads up Martin.

    The losses didn't hurt as I am starting off with really low stakes just to get some data and to kind of simulate the trading experience.

    I will still keep track of the results of this filter, and compare how it performs backing over 1.5 vs. laying it.

    I am going to just try to collect as much data as possible for one year with various strategies and see if I can come up with any meaningful tweaks.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Simeon Bogg on last edited by
    #1567

    @Simeon-Bogg those example strategies aren't for betting blind on. They are just examples of how to create a strategy. So I would stop trading them.

    Regarding that specific strategy it worked well in Covid and a while after but stopped working once football got fully back to normal. As it was originally an under 1.5 goals strategy that did well before Covid I think that's the reason and actually it is performing well as an under 1.5 goals filter now! I am still monitoring to see if it continues and if I will trade it.

    Simeon BoggS 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Simeon BoggS Offline
    Simeon BoggS Offline
    Simeon Bogg
    wrote on last edited by
    #1568

    Just started a couple of weeks ago with small stakes for the time being.

    One of the strategies I have been following is the Lay Under 1.5 goals setting on the software.

    It got off to a great start but recently saw 7 losses in a row. 5 of which were games from the League of Ireland Premier Division.

    I don't have much data to confidently make any tweaks to the setting just yet, so I was wondering if anybody else has been doing this one this season.

    Would anyone say that that league is one to avoid in the future?

    Or does this kind of variance often occur?

    I am a Hammers fan by the way - still feeling sore after Sunday! 🥹

    MartinM Akiva AndersonA 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to mick mcmahon on last edited by
    #1569

    @mick-mcmahon said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    @Alastair-Todd nooo come on Huddersfield (Leeds fan)
    No that it matters as we're bleeding losing 🙄

    I really didn't want to face you in the play offs!

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Alastair Todd
    replied to mick mcmahon on last edited by
    #1570

    @mick-mcmahon You've run us close Mick but it's not over yet...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    mick mcmahon
    replied to Alastair Todd on last edited by mick mcmahon
    #1571

    @Alastair-Todd nooo come on Huddersfield (Leeds fan)
    No that it matters as we're bleeding losing 🙄

    A MartinM 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Alastair Todd
    wrote on last edited by
    #1572

    COMEONNNNNN Ipswich!! (sorry Martin) 😁

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #1573

    @Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Nagoya Grampus v Vissel Kobe is 0-1 at HT.

    81% of matches in this league have had a SHG.

    SHG is this game is currently 1.45

    Nice price that. Implied odds would be 1.22. Worth the risk in my opinion

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #1574

    Nagoya Grampus v Vissel Kobe is 0-1 at HT.

    81% of matches in this league have had a SHG.

    SHG is this game is currently 1.45

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    Akiva AndersonA 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Alex Rule on last edited by
    #1575

    @Alex-Rule I love this league!

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Alex Rendell on last edited by
    #1576

    @Alex-Rendell ahahahahaha I was after the Liverpool job but apparently the data geeks said no to me!

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex Rule
    wrote on last edited by
    #1577

    First Japanese games traded this morn as they hit 10 games worth of data! Lovely start to the weekend with 4/4 landing early doors!

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • A Online
    A Online
    Alex Rendell
    wrote on last edited by
    #1578

    https://share.icloud.com/photos/069ApE4w2yeSBixcDFRUc2R9Q

    Where next then @Ryan?!?

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
    🤣
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #1579

    @Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    According to Grok, 'Tottenham has won only 1 of their last 38 matches away to Chelsea in all competitions'.

    Lay Tottenham at 2.92

    Just out of interest, Grok thinks this match will finish 3-2

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1580

    @Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Anyone else quite want Kane to win a Champions League?

    No!! 😄

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1

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