*****New Football Thread*****
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How has everyone’s weekends been?
For me:
Terrible Friday
Great Saturday
Terrible Sunday -
I'm nearly 6 months into the community now, I'm happy with how far I've come and what I've learnt, I have my own profitable strategies, small profit, but profit I've achieved by what I've learnt and used to make my own, I'm way more comfortable with what I know now than when I first started, even going back and watching videos and completely understanding them, so my next thing I want to learn is how to find value trades, is there any videos on this where I could learn, my reasoning for it is obviously to profit more from it but also cos my strategy filter results, even though in profit, they churn out way too many results and I need to cull them to make my daily trading more manageable, I just need to spend less time sorting them all out, so trying to find ways of downscaling, any tips from anyone who's had to do this would be greatly appreciated.
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Sunday, 14th April:
Over 1.5 Goals (BTC):
06:00 - Suwon vs Daejeon Citizen
12:30 - Magdeburg vs Hamburger SV
12:30 - St. Pauli vs Elversberg
13:00 - Norrköping vs GAIS
13:00 - Sichuan vs Wuhan Three Towns
14:00 - Sassuolo vs Milan
14:00 - West Ham United vs Fulham
15:30 - Djurgården vs Sirius
16:00 - Molde vs Kristiansund
16:00 - Rosenborg vs HamKam
16:30 - Arsenal vs Aston Villa
17:00 - Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen
17:00 - Viktoria Plzeň vs Slavia Praha
17:30 - Athletic Club vs Villarreal
18:15 - Lillestrøm vs Bodø / Glimt
19:30 - Atlanta United vs Philadelphia UnionSHG:
06:00 – Melbourne City v Perth Glory
11:30 - Napoli vs Frosinone
12:00 – Ross County v Rangers
12:30 - St. Pauli vs Elversberg
12:30 - Club Brugge vs Antwerp
14:00 – Liverpool v Crystal Palace
14:00 - Sassuolo vs Milan
15:30 - Djurgården vs Sirius
16:00 - Tromsø vs Haugesund
16:00 - Molde vs Kristiansund
16:00 - Rosenborg vs HamKam
16:30 - Arsenal vs Aston Villa
16:30 - Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen
17:30 - Athletic Club vs Villarreal
19:00 - NEC vs PEC Zwolle
19:45 – Inter Milan v Cagliari
20:00 – Real Sociedad v Almeria
20:00 - Athletico PR vs Cuiabá
20:30 - Benfica vs Moreirense
22:00 - Peñarol vs DanubioHome Wins:
07:00 – G-Osaka vs Tosu (2.06)
12:00 - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Meizhou Hakka (1.31)
12:30 - Club Brugge vs Antwerp (1.79)
14:00 - Baník Ostrava vs Karviná (1.35)
14:00 – Liverpool v Crystal Palace (1.21)
16:30 - Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen (1.21)
19:45 – Inter Milan v Cagliari (1.21)
20:30 - Benfica vs Moreirense (1.28) -
Saturday, 13th April:
Over 1.5 Goals (BTC):
08:30 - Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets
10:45 - Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers
12:00 - Holstein Kiel vs Osnabrück
12:30 - Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur
13:00 - Atlético Madrid vs Girona
14:00 - Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice
14:30 - Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
14:30 - VfL Bochum 1848 vs Heidenheim
15:00 - Brentford vs Sheffield United
15:00 - Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
15:00 - Manchester City vs Luton Town
15:00 - Ipswich Town vs Middlesbrough
15:00 - Oxford United vs Peterborough United
15:00 - Milton Keynes Dons vs Mansfield Town
15:00 - Salford City vs Bradford City
17:30 – Bournemouth v Manchester United
17:30 - VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt
21:45 - Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FCSHG:
08:30 - Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets
08:30 - Ulsan vs Gangwon
08:30 - Henan Songshan Longmen vs Nantong Zhiyun
12:00 - Holstein Kiel vs Osnabrück
12:35 - Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
10:45 - Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers
12:30 – Leeds v Blackburn
14:00 - Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice
14:30 - RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg
15:00 – Brentford v Sheffield United
15:00 - Ipswich Town vs Middlesbrough
15:00 – Swansea v Rotherham
15:00 – Southampton v Watford
15:00 – Barnsley v Reading
15:00 – Lincoln v Wigan
15:00 – Stevenage v Burton
15:00 – Wrexham v Forest Green
15:00 – Stockport v Morecambe
15:00 – Hearts v Livingston
15:00 – Carrick v Ballymena
15:45 - Maccabi Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin
16:30 - Västerås SK vs Halmstad
17:30 - VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt
17:30 – Larne v Cliftonville
19:45 – Bologna v Monza
20:00 – Rennes vs ToulouseHome Wins:
12:00 - Holstein Kiel vs Osnabrück (1.50)
13:00 - Atlético Madrid vs Girona (2.08)
14:00 - Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice (1.63)
14:30 - RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg (1.41)
15:00 - Brentford vs Sheffield United (1.46)
15:00 - Southampton vs Watford (1.45)
15:00 - Wrexham vs Forest Green Rovers (1.39)
15:00 - Hearts vs Livingston (1.40)
20:00 - Rennes vs Toulouse (1.87) -
Absolutely Savage - i’d like to know if anyone is having a good time?
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Over 1.5 Goals (BTC):
10:45 - Adelaide United vs Macarthur
20:00 - Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo RoversSHG:
10:45 - Adelaide United vs Macarthur
16:00 - Haka vs EIF
18:00 – FC Inter v Oulu
19:45 – Lazio v Salernitana
19:45 – Drogheda v Derry City
20:00 - Plymouth Argyle vs Leicester City
20:00 - Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers
20:00 – Metz v Lens
20:15 - Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP -
@Alastair-Todd onwards and upwards I do think football has been a bit weird past month or so
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@Martin 3 wins and 6 losses for me in the last 4 days. Big downturn compared to 'normal' jogging!
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@Alastair-Todd yeah I had 3/6 on one yesterday which is awful for me! happens
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Wow, my SHG 0.5 goal trades have taken a hammering over the last week. Seems HT is the watershed and teams run out of steam afterwards.
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@Simon-Bates no not changed the settings, it never really got many per week
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@Martin I've done lay away 2.0 since I joined, but I had so much data collecting for my own strategies I completely missed out March, only just started doing Aprils, also can I ask, have you changed your filter settings for your lay over 3.5 goals strategy because there hasn't been many selections for it of late, so was wondering if it was down to that or just games that haven't met your criteria.
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@GREGORIOS-KARASHIALIS it's a set and forget strategy, still paper trading it with £1 back and £2 lay bets, results so far are, games 1062/869 wins, £45.22/£253.18
Feb, games 278/239 wins
£22.83/£140.08
Mar, games 584/461 wins
£9.34/£21.08
Apr, games 200/169 wins
£13.05/£92.02
Average back/lay odds 1.27/5.2Going to continue testing it till end of April at least just to see if strike rate of 81% stays and to make sure it just isn't a fluke of results.
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@Simon-Bates that's excellent, lay away 2.0 had a rough month for me hopefully just a bit of variance as it had been doing well, the 1.0 has tanked big time!
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@Simon-Bates do you just set them in from the start or you wait for the odds to get to 1.5 (give or take ) or wait untill 25/30th minute?
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It's a nightmare @andrew-page lol, I have to record all the odds for early games the night before, then when I get up the next day I continue recording the odds for the other games, I need to find a way of reducing the games so I haven't got so many to do, I dread the weekends lol.
These were my games yesterday.
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Brilliant match in Glasgow. There is no bigger derby in British football than Rangers v Celtic.
Steel city Derby is bigger than Gers v Celtic
Sheffield the Home of Football !!! -
@Simon-Bates said in *****New Football Thread*****:
I'm into my 3rd month of testing my over 1.5 goals strategy, overall I've tested 1550 games, won 1215, strikerate 78%.
I went through all the odds I've recorded for each game and took out the odds ranges where more losses happened which whittled it down to 1072 games with 879 wins, strikerate 82%, my next thing is to look through the leagues and work out which ones are no good for my strategy and see if by removing these I can up my strike rate any more.
I'm glad March is over, ended in profit but the losses that month were terrible, first week of April is going great though, 210 games, 179 wins, yesterday alone was 74/66.
74 matches man thats enough to fry my brain before 1st game kicks off lol
paltry 4 over 1.5's for me today -
I'm into my 3rd month of testing my over 1.5 goals strategy, overall I've tested 1550 games, won 1215, strikerate 78%.
I went through all the odds I've recorded for each game and took out the odds ranges where more losses happened which whittled it down to 1062 games with 879 wins, strikerate 82%, my next thing is to look through the leagues and work out which ones are no good for my strategy and see if by removing these I can up my strike rate any more.
I'm glad March is over, ended in profit but the losses that month were terrible, first week of April is going great though, 200 games, 169 wins, yesterday alone was 64/56.
