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*****New Football Thread*****

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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4.8k Posts 104 Posters 68.3k Views
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  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by Akiva Anderson
    #1341

    I layed England. I don't mind if they lose!

    Hard to look past France.

    Agree with Portugal being a good price, as are Spain, though the Spanish lack a goal scorer and I think they can be vulnerable from set pieces

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • W Offline
    W Offline
    Wayne Thomas
    wrote on last edited by
    #1342

    @Martin Portugal definitely look strong and are my pick. Backed them at 9.2 a week ago and they're in to 8 already. In terms of outsiders who look good for trading, I like the look of Hungary. Strong qualification and the group isn't the toughest. Backed at 150 last week and into 120 now.

    Croatia are also tempting at 46. Another good tournament team and that group is very open. Fancy Albania to ruffle some feathers in there too. They topped their group ahead of the Czech Republic and Poland.

    England's odds are crazy! Could have layed them at 4.5 a few weeks back but agree with Stephen, I don't want to have to hope they lose. Southgate knows how to play tournament football though and we have some game changing players. It's hard to be objective with England I think, so I always steer clear.

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
    4
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1343

    @Martin I've got Spain and Italy in my sweepstake.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Stephen Hancox on last edited by
    #1344

    @Stephen-Hancox I got Portugal in my family sweepstake so would not mind seeing them make a deep run!

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen Hancox
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1345

    @Martin I think England are way too short. I don't want to lay them though and keep hoping we lose. So I'll back Portugal who I think have an impressive squad. Also Belgium still have good players, if their new manager can make a difference then 22 to back seems big to me.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1346

    Who has everyone got for the Euro's then?

    Stephen HancoxS 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon Bates
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1347

    @Martin I was able to watch this game last night so was able to trade out for some green just before the 2nd FH goal went in which would have lost the trade if I'd have let it go.

    I've set up a new filter for FH CS dutching for scorelines 0-0 1-1 1-0 0-1 it will be a set and forget, even with the bigger leagues out of season it has still managed to show a lot filter results, guna start another data collection with this one and see how it goes.

    I watched your correct score dutching video and this is the reason I've decided to start this new strategy.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Simon Bates on last edited by
    #1348

    @Simon-Bates another option could be backing 0-0 and 1-0 in correct score market and aiming to trade out inplay.

    Simon BatesS 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Kiah Lord on last edited by Ryan
    #1349

    @Kiah-Lord I see Martin has replied, I will also just add that with the split stake it requires some games to have been played not sure whether it was 5 or 10 games (as I haven't used it in a long time!) so that might also be why the games aren't showing up.

    When it comes to getting set up and started I would advise you work through these steps: https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/category/10/new-members-start-here

    Start with Step 1 and work through it, they'll really help. It also then allows us to step in and help you if you tell us 'I am currently on step 2 and I am struggling with XYZ'

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon Bates
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1350

    These 2 play later tonight, between them they've played 13 games scoring 12 FT goals, the software shows 65% of half time being 0-0 or 1-0 and also shows a 75% chance of there being under 1.5 goals at HT, a £10 dutch on these 2 half time scores gives £5.94 profit.
    Screenshot_20240611_150957_Chrome.jpg Screenshot_20240611_151013_Chrome.jpg

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #1351

    Nice to see football coming back on to the TV.

    Both the European Championships and the Copa America.

    I'll probably not trade the Copa America much, purely because of the kick-off times.

    I'll be all over the SHG's in the Euros though!

    I'll be laying England to win the tournament at 4.9

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    Akiva AndersonA 1 Reply Last reply
    4
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Kiah Lord on last edited by
    #1352

    @Kiah-Lord answered this here: https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/4771/football-strategies/2?_=1718084360038

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Kiah LordK Offline
    Kiah LordK Offline
    Kiah Lord
    wrote on last edited by
    #1353

    Hi all.

    Sorry if this is the wrong thread to add this to.

    I’m fairly new to trading and I’ve been using BTC for about a week and I’m liking it so far. I’ve been watching all the videos etc over the past week. I like the look of Ryan’s split stake strategy but I’m not having much luck on getting selections each day. I know this is probably down to the fact that the bigger leagues aren’t on at the moment. So my question is there something I could add in so that the strategy alines with the current games on? Or is there any other strategies you guys like to use around this time of the season which would give me a few more selections? I can’t lie I’m feeling a little overwhelmed as I know there’s so many strategies out there so any advice/recommendations would be amazing. TIA in advance ![alt text](image url)

    MartinM RyanR 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #1354

    Week 3: £121 - £133.10 (09th June 2024)

    Week 3 has just ended and my bank should be at £133.10.

    The bank is actually at £189.30

    Most of the money has been won on the Toulon tournament.

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    4
  • P Offline
    P Offline
    Patrik Mellqvist
    wrote on last edited by
    #1355

    @Adam @Ryan and all ...

    I just want to highlight one thing about pension if going full-time trading and you have to compensate.
    In Sweden the minimum guaranteed pension as a citizen no matter how much or how little you have worked is around £800 and the maximum if you have not been working your whole life is around @1100.

    So my point is if starting up with this journey look into that and then decide how to proceed with investment.

    Cheers

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Adam on last edited by
    #1356

    @Adam Yep!

    The pension pot has always worried me as well because there's so much money in pensions that if governments need a quick injection into the economy etc... they can let you get at some now tax free, where a mass of people will release some funds...

    Or change the allowances.

    I used to put some of my trading income into my ISA of course now I am not withdrawing any and even if I did I would have taken out a huge £5 this last month from my automated trading.

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1357

    @Martin Jesus same! Unless its 2% per month!

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • B Offline
    B Offline
    Ben Dobie
    replied to Shannon Townsend on last edited by
    #1358

    @Shannon-Townsend if only mate. Pitty about the FHG but can' win em all I uppose

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • S Online
    S Online
    Shannon Townsend
    replied to Ben Dobie on last edited by
    #1359

    @Ben-Dobie enjoyed a nice green on O1.5 here, fitted my stratagy perfectly as value at kick off so waited 15 mins for slightly bigger odds, wish they were all as easy as this one.

    B 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • B Offline
    B Offline
    Ben Dobie
    wrote on last edited by
    #1360

    Some good value to be had this morning in J2 league
    Okayama v Kagoshima Utd

    FHG @ 1.46
    O 1.5 @ 1.34

    bb581a83-0bf3-49df-830f-a42dbce4b09f-image.png

    S 1 Reply Last reply
    0

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