*****New Football Thread*****
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Welcome to the new football trading main thread!
Keep all of your football trading discussion in here!
Not sure where to start with football trading? Take a look at our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide
We have written a guide on what to consider before following any trades, this is a must read before following any trades below: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials
FHG = First Half Goal
SHG = Second Half Goal
LTD = Lay The Draw
LCS = Lay Current ScoreMy testing sheet for 2025: Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0
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@Andy-Donnelly I think thats a great shout!!! I think they are going to have a solid season as well, they have added a few good pieces. They were also the ones I had last season as the ones to close the gap. They started strong too.
I am with you on United, although all of me wants them to finish bottom 10 again ahahah
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@Ryan Yeh understand a lot of the teams outside of the top 4 have had difficult summers but until Utd improve defence, midfield. Think it’s a big jump for them to be 5th. Have them more around 7th-9th.
Looking at fixtures, tempted to back Chelsea to win league with view to removing liability prior to their away game at Liverpool around week 7. They seem to have much the easier start to the other top 3.
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@Andy-Donnelly I am in 100% agreement with you there, They are not the 5th best team but look at what the other teams have to cope with...
Newcastle have champs league this season so that will be brutal - If I was Eddie Howe I would 100% focus on getting back in the champs league over actually competing in it this season, the Swiss system is a lot of games. Plus they are about to potentially lose Isak.
United have nothing other than the league to focus on lol
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@Ryan Still can’t quite believe that the markets have Man Utd as the 5th best team going into the new season.
How they are rated better than Villa at this time in particular is beyond me.
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One thing I always think about and I think everybody else should as well....
Premier League teams buy players from the teams around them so that team doesn't have them.
Newcastle did it for years, Wood from Burnley, Elanga from Notts F.
United bought Mbeumo and Cunha.
Not saying that the players are bad but it weakens the teams around them which makes it easier for them!
It has a knock on as well, Joao Pedro gone from Brighton, united looking at Baleba.... Brighton and Brentford weaker, Bournemouth weaker....
It makes it easier. Prem is so tough as a league.
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@Andy-Donnelly For me first time in a while the promoted teams actually look better, like Leeds have just bought units lol I like that!
Brentford worry me slightly, really well run club but I think they said they would sell one of Wissa and Mbuemo and now both look to be leaving.
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@Paul-Sheridan Bloody wild that!!!
They've literally sold their whole back line as well, I do like their keeper. But I actually think Kepa will be a big loss for them!
Semenyo and Kerkez seemed to have aright understanding as well.
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Bournemouth seem to be selling everyone this season. That's Ouattara gone now to Brentford.
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@Andy-Donnelly not great for the league for it to keep happening but it does, yes it's a worry for Brentford but they seem a well run club, like Brighton and Bournemouth seem to be able to keep it up year on year.
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@Martin Yeh decent shout. I still think it’s likely that the promoted sides all go down. Hope I’m not right tho.
Brentford look in trouble but they are a very well run club so feel like they will make some transfers as just about get it right. Wolves possible other candidate but still think they have a stronger squad than the promoted sides even without Cunha
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@Andy-Donnelly Leeds at 2.56 to get relegated, no certainty of course but I'd have it close to evens.
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@Andy-Donnelly Hasn't Donna agreed to go to City this morning?
I 100% think the market is overreacting to Man united business both Cunha and Mbuemo over performed their XG last season and at some point they revert to the mean, of course maybe they will level up.... Mbuemo I think is ready to step up he's great I think, but he's at united.
They will 100% benefit from no Europe but they have a tough start and they still have issues with mentality there.
I have Villa, Spurs above them. Newcastle are a really tricky one.... back to back champs league is huge and they need to unlock PSR but they are so incompetent at signing anybody it's almost a joke....
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What are people liking the look of in the outrights for the new premier league season out of interest?
My two main takes are:
Markets overreacting to Man Utd transfer business. My opinion would possibly change if Baleba and Donnarumma signed and maybe the market is pricing this in but at time of writing will be finding ways to lay Man Utd right now. I’d have Villa and Spurs as well as the top 4 of last season ahead of Utd. Probably Newcastle as well if they were to sign a decent striker.
Markets underestimating Nottingham Forest.
Everyone seems to think they are a one season wonder but they’ve only lost Elanga and have made a few decent signings. Think 2.9 for top ten finish and even 8.0 for top 6 are crazy good prices imo. I can see easily being top 10 -
@Martin I would be game for that, more and more people I speak with are watching that league.
Was chatting to a lad I know this morning in the gym, who came to a couple of Liverpool games with me who said he is started going to watch Sheffield United in person a lot more.
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Premier League
For the 2025/2026 Premier League season, live TV rights in the UK are held by Sky Sports and TNT Sports. Sky Sports will broadcast a minimum of 215 matches, including slots like 32 matches on Saturdays at 17:30, 24 on Sundays at 14:00, and various other times. TNT Sports will show 52 matches, covering 32 Saturday 12:30 kick-offs, plus additional midweek and bank holiday games. This represents an increase in live coverage compared to previous seasons, with no involvement from Amazon Prime Video, whose rights expired after 2024/2025. The BBC will continue to provide highlights via Match of the Day until 2029. 15
English Football League (EFL)
Sky Sports holds the primary live rights for the EFL, including the Championship, League One, and League Two. They will broadcast 328 Championship matches, 248 League One matches, 248 League Two matches, and all 15 play-off matches across Sky Sports channels and the new Sky Sports+ streaming service, under a deal running from 2024/2025 to 2028/2029. ITV will air highlights until 2027 and will also show 10 live matches in both the 2025/2026 and 2026/2027 seasons. 15
FA Cup
The FA Cup rights are shared between the BBC and TNT Sports. The BBC will broadcast 14 live matches per season, including the final, from 2025 to 2029. TNT Sports will show at least 40 matches per season, also including the final, over the same period. S4C will provide coverage of selected matches involving Welsh clubs. 15
UEFA Club Competitions
• Champions League: TNT Sports has extensive rights, broadcasting 533 matches live. Amazon Prime will show 17 matches exclusively on Tuesday nights. The BBC will air highlights on Wednesday nights until 2027, and finals will be available free-to-view on the Discovery+ app. Additional coverage includes S4C for Welsh teams and Premier Sports.
• Europa League and Conference League: TNT Sports will broadcast all live matches until 2026, with the BBC providing highlights.
• UEFA Super Cup: Live on TNT Sports until 2026, with BBC highlights.
• Women’s Champions League: DAZN holds the main rights until 2025, with TNT Sports showing one match per week.
• UEFA Youth League: All matches on TNT Sports and the BBC. 15
Scottish Football
• Scottish Professional Football League (SPFL): Sky Sports will show 60 live matches per season until 2028/2029. The BBC will provide highlights for Scottish Premiership games on BBC One Scotland and BBC Scotland, plus 30 live SPFL Championship matches on BBC Scotland. Premier Sports will broadcast 22 live matches per season starting from 2025/2026.
• Scottish Cup: The BBC will show 8 live matches, including the final, until 2029. Premier Sports will broadcast 10 live matches, including the final, until 2029.
• Scottish League Cup: Premier Sports holds the rights for live matches, with an additional 25 available via streaming, until 2030/2031. 15
International Football
• FIFA World Cup (Men’s and Women’s): All matches live on BBC and ITV, with finals on both, until 2030 for men’s and 2027 for women’s.
• UEFA European Championship: All matches live on BBC and ITV, with finals on both, until Euro 2028.
• England National Teams: All men’s and women’s qualifiers, Nations League matches, and friendlies live on ITV until 2027 for men and 2029 for women.
• Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland: The BBC will cover all men’s qualifiers and friendlies live from March 2025 to June 2026, with S4C also covering Wales until 2028. Women’s matches for Scotland and Wales are on BBC until 2027, and Northern Ireland women’s until 2026 (selected on BBC iPlayer and BBC NI TV). 15
Major Foreign Leagues
• La Liga (Spain): Premier Sports will broadcast 340 games per season until 2027/2028, with Disney+ showing one game each Saturday evening.
• Serie A (Italy): TNT Sports will show 2 live games per round, while DAZN will broadcast all games live until 2026/2027.
• Bundesliga (Germany): Sky Sports holds the rights to show matches live on TV and online. 20
• Ligue 1 (France): Available via the Ligue 1 Pass streaming service from 2024/2025 to 2028/2029. 15
This breakdown focuses on live TV and streaming rights for key competitions broadcast in the UK. Note that some deals span multiple seasons, and availability may include streaming platforms tied to the broadcasters (e.g., Sky Go, Discovery+ for TNT). For niche or women’s leagues not listed, rights may vary or be covered under broader packages.
