*****New Football Thread*****

Martin

@Alex-Rule did you lay at 3-0? What a trade that would have been!

Martin

@Chris-King that's great to hear! Value is king in this game sounds like you are making good progress!

Alex Rule

@Simon-Bates Glad it came in for you - hell of a game. How crap are Utd lol?

Simon Bates

@Alex-Rule I took your advice, gambled on a 21p loss, won my back bet on Bet365 (1.44) and got an early payout, £4.40, when United went 2 nil up, then got a full turn around on the exchange at full time and won my lay bet (1.47) too, £9.80.

Simon Bates

As of the time of this message, my O1.5 goals strategy today, 57 out of 65 wins, in them wins I had a 29 trade win streak, still got 15 to go before the end of the day.

Alex Rule

Might be worth a small lay on Man U and green up if Cov give them a tough time

Chris King

@Martin I have found on a one of my set and forgets tests (FHG) that i just wait for odds 2.0 or i don’t trade it even though the stats had shown it was profitable entering from KO. SR is about 62-64% and staying in profit.

So it’s now turned in to a strategy i trade you could say. Just not many selections so may need to look at de-restricting the filter as it were to try to get more and see how it goes.

I have also thought of a lay over 4.5 goals strategy for matches with early goals on matches with short priced goals since tracking the BTC SHG filter which could be very good.

You had a recent pod about value and the timing of that with my current trading situation seems to have hit home. Although i always knew value was imperative i’m focusing far more on it than before.

Martin

Does anyone try to get better odds on their strategies in play? Had a couple today where home teams I would have layed went 1-0 up and got quickly pegged back, both times I could have layed at odds on (Dnipro game went from 6.6-1.96 after an early goal!).

Think this could be a good strategy for those that set up alerts and have time to place trades in play.

andrew page

Just never panned out this weekend
Dropped 7 points

Martin

@Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Richard-Latimer Think there goalkeeper and star striker can only play until halftime, then they have a plumbing job to do..

haha love this!

Richard Latimer

@Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Richard-Latimer Think there goalkeeper and star striker can only play until halftime, then they have a plumbing job to do..

It's annoying because I wanted to lay them. Then the price shot up so I waited....but it just kept going up until they fell behind.

Greg Mitchell

@Richard-Latimer Think there goalkeeper and star striker can only play until halftime, then they have a plumbing job to do..

Richard Latimer

Anyone trade non league? See the odds on Chippenham flew up just before kick off and they're only going higher despite Chippenham being on the attack.

Simon Bates

@andrew-page my O1.5 nearly mirrors yours, yesterday was a good day for me, I was trading my selections from after filtering out the worst performing leagues for my strategy, hoping today follows suit, I'm on 6 out of 6 this morning.

mick mcmahon

@Alex-Rule back testing... droooool please... Soon...

Alex Rule

@Martin Yes, and I also find it hard to go all in on with a strat that often gets less than 30 selections a month. Back testing will answer the question once and for all if it's worth sticking with.

mick mcmahon

@andrew-page now that's a list and half!!
Are those your final bets or your starting point?

andrew page

FREE TIPS.PNG

Lets see if come out today unscathed

Cruch end of a the winter leagues

Martin

@mick-mcmahon https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/3286/set-forget-football-strategies/2 it's in the OP here

mick mcmahon

@Martin Thanks, but when I click the link I get the not found message and not the json data. Does it work if you click it?