*****New Football Thread*****
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Welcome to the new football trading main thread!
Keep all of your football trading discussion in here!
Not sure where to start with football trading? Take a look at our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide
We have written a guide on what to consider before following any trades, this is a must read before following any trades below: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials
FHG = First Half Goal
SHG = Second Half Goal
LTD = Lay The Draw
LCS = Lay Current Score -
I have a HT 0-0 strategy, 1 of 4, that is performing so badly so I decided to go through all the results, 756 of them.
I checked the scores of them and recorded 619 winning games for dutching HT Scores 0-0 1-0 0-1 1-1
82.42 strikerateI've decided that this strategy is better for dutching them 4 ht scorelines than what it was originally set up for.
Check out my last 55 results, 47 wins 8 losses, it's been mentioned loads by the BTC team not to throw away a strategy cos it's performing crap cos it might be performing better from a different angle as I've noticed with my ht 0-0 strategy
What I'm guna do next is start to record the odds for them 4 ht scorelines and work out an average so I can see if it profitable or not.
Edit, I've just noticed entry 713, by mistake I've not added that 1-1 scoreline, so that's another win and 1 less loss.
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20:00 Larne v St Gallen (Away Win)
Odds: 1.43
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@Martin I 100% agree there they look terrible in the middle of the park but they have muscle memory and they will get through to the knockout and go at least one round I think...
Which would see the price come in and then could see from there.
I think Liverpool would be crazy to not win the league this year.
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@Craig-Greenway Both teams with 1 0-0 in there last 50 games. Slowly putting stake in as odds improve.
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I'm trading a SHG in the Sydney v Hiroshima game.
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@Craig-Greenway nice - if only they were all that quick and easy... i was watching that one but got greedy wanting bigger odds so missed it.
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Over 0.5 in the Luton v Cardiff game is what I'm trading next.
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I'm on over 0.5 goals in the Club brugge v Aston Villa game. Should have been a goal in first half and can see second half opening up. Will be jumping on as odds improve.
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City and Real both to win the Champs league kinda looks tasty to me, both just lost both still Favs to win it.
Real have Liverpool next who well we always struggle against them, so be a huge game, that game is a huge game for Liverpool as well to see where they really are in this season but even with that said Real will get through and they are primed to go further in this so that price should shorten.
City have Feyenoord at home, they should win that and again they should go through and go through to the latter stages.
Wonder what @Martin would make with his overreactions pod?
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
For Over 1.5 Goals in the Champions League tonight:
17:45 - Slovan Bratislava vs Dinamo Zagreb
20:00 - Celtic v LeipzigI'm adding this match from the Championship for Over 1-5 goals
20:00 - Plymouth v Portsmouth
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Next is Cheltenham v Reading FHG.
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Next I'm on Psv v Girona FHG. Away with fhg in last 8 and over 1.5 in last 27 for home side.
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I've jumped on Al wahdat v Istiglol over 0.5 goals. Goal in second half of last 18 for home side. Odds at a nice 1.57.
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For Over 1.5 Goals in the Champions League tonight:
17:45 - Slovan Bratislava vs Dinamo Zagreb
20:00 - Celtic v Leipzigle jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
Stats did look good for fulham at 60 minutes as well to be fair.
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@Craig-Greenway fullt expected goal there. Luckily I only put small stake.
