*****New Football Thread*****
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Welcome to the new football trading main thread!
Keep all of your football trading discussion in here!
Not sure where to start with football trading? Take a look at our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide
We have written a guide on what to consider before following any trades, this is a must read before following any trades below: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials
FHG = First Half Goal
SHG = Second Half Goal
LTD = Lay The Draw
LCS = Lay Current Score -
All Goode yesterday;
Certainly 02.5 trade on
Cagliari vs Inter
01.5 trades when odds get to 1.3 : split stake and out after 65 if no goal
Porto vs Boavista
Lazio vs AtalantaTodays 02.5 as follows my usual split stake rules:
Celtic vs St Johnstone
Spurs vs Wolves
West Ham vs Liverpool01.5
Peterborough vs Barnsley
Leicester vs Man City
Jamshedpur vs Kerala Blasters -
Could've easily stuck a premier league match or two on today.
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SHG in the Ayr United v Greenock Morton match. 0-0 at HT
SHG in the Inverness v Cove Rangers match. 1-2 at HT
I'm going out now, Enjoy your night guys
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson Closer to relegation than the top. It truly is a beautiful sight.
I hope they keep changing managers! INEOS weren't great when they took over Nice in Ligue 1. They squandered money there too
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@Akiva-Anderson Closer to relegation than the top. It truly is a beautiful sight.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Todays limited again:
Certainly 02.5 trade on
Cagliari vs Inter
01.5 trades when odds get to 1.3 : split stake and out after 65 if no goal
Porto vs Boavista
Lazio vs Atalanta -
Brighton vs Brentford game for o2.5
Awful! booked like loads of goals due in first twenty minutes and then died a death .. happens but annoying when it does
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All good yesterday
Club Brugge vs Westerlo
Coventry vs Plymouth
Celtic vs Motherwell
Liverpool vs LeicesterQuiet today but will almost certainly look at the Brighton vs Brentford game for o2.5
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loving that Man United are 14th!!
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
Poor 1st half there. 2 goals in second half is likely. 3 is a bit of an ask but you never know.
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Evening Guys. I'm trading over 2.5 in the Wolves v Man u game. Both teams have had over 2.5 74% of the time this season and 7 out of the last 8 h2h have had over 2.5. Odds currently at 1.81. Putting good stake on this and another small stake if reaches evens.
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SHG in the Watford v Portsmouth match. 0-1 at HT
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Are Shitty ever going to win again?
1 win in 13 is batshit
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Compliments of the season one and all.. hopefully now we can have a quantity of football to trade
Todays Over 2.5 small selection but as usual split stake from the start out after 55 if no goal, if goal in first 15 green to free bet and continue split stake to 55, if goal after 15 take green, entry points start, 15 mins, 35 mins and half time the first two automatic the second two based on attacking intent in play.
Club Brugge vs Westerlo
Coventry vs Plymouth
Celtic vs Motherwell
Liverpool vs LeicesterOne thing over festive period to note I am always cautious go managers managing minutes of players - this can sometimes manifest I getting early lead and sitting on it .. just a note of caution for my trading.
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Over 1.5 Goals (Value):
19:45 - Dungannon v Larne
Do they ever un-suspend the market on Betfair?
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SHG in the Fiorentina v Udinese match. 1-0 at HT
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@Martin Been looking at games other than 0-0. If 0-1 or 1-0, O 1.5 total has to be 75% or more. 1-1, O 2.5 has to be 60% or more. That's over and above the stats you've mentioned in message and previous vids/podcasts.
Also asked chat gpt for the 40 best leagues for shgs.(anything to not actually have to watch football!)
Been going ok...
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Over 1.5 Goals (Value):
19:45 - Dungannon v Larne
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@Martin for me it would be a combination of 2h home scored, away scored then same with conceded.
I should add this is a theory and not something I've done.
It is however the way I am looking at all football strategies/systems now.
