*****New Football Thread*****
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I'm into my 3rd month of testing my over 1.5 goals strategy, overall I've tested 1550 games, won 1215, strikerate 78%.
I went through all the odds I've recorded for each game and took out the odds ranges where more losses happened which whittled it down to 1062 games with 879 wins, strikerate 82%, my next thing is to look through the leagues and work out which ones are no good for my strategy and see if by removing these I can up my strike rate any more.
I'm glad March is over, ended in profit but the losses that month were terrible, first week of April is going great though, 200 games, 169 wins, yesterday alone was 64/56.
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Brilliant match in Glasgow. There is no bigger derby in British football than Rangers v Celtic.
good afternoon of football today wasn't it!
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Was collecting my data from my over 1.5 selections this morning and this games odds weren't the usual that I collect for my selections, that's what made me check the game, layed under 4.5 goals @ 1.81, was in the green from the 8th minute, 3 goals by 23rd, 5th goal was a penalty that won my whole trade.
Screenshot_20240407_154212_Exchange.jpg -
Brilliant match in Glasgow. There is no bigger derby in British football than Rangers v Celtic.
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
Not having a massively great weekend either. Seems like teams are running out of steam.
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@Alex-Rule said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Anyone else have a shocker yesterday?
Set and forget LTD might be the worst single day since recording! 10 points down in a single Saturday! Offffff
- 3 points just doing over 1.5 goals refreshingly good saturday bonus was had a lull in Place lays between 3pm -4.30 so could pay attention a bit more to football
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Going through my filter selections today and noticed one game where the odds were not what I was expecting, checked out the Turkish game, Eyupspor v Altay and realised its top v bottom, best att v worst att and def in the league, just thought I'd bring it to the attention for anyone trading the over and unders markets if they're looking for goals.
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Put mine up
Aussie games done n dusted -
@Akiva-Anderson cheers for sharing!
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My Picks for Sunday:
Over 1.5 Goals:
00:30 - Inter Miami vs Colorado Rapids
06:00 - Newcastle Jets vs Sydney
08:00 - Perth Glory vs Adelaide United
11:30 - Frosinone vs Bologna
12:00 - Rangers vs Celtic
14:30 - TSG Hoffenheim vs FC Augsburg
17:30 - Sheffield United vs Chelsea
18:00 - Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest
18:45 - Sporting KC vs Portland Timbers
19:00 - Toluca vs AtlasSHG:
06:00 - Newcastle Jets vs Sydney
06:00 - Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare
07:00 - Urawa Reds vs Sagan Tosu
11:30 - Frosinone vs Bologna
12:00 - Utsikten vs Gefle
12:00 – Brest v Metz
12:30 - Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge
13:00 - Malmö FF vs Hammarby
14:00 – Monza v Napoli
14:00 – Montpellier v Lorient
15:30 – Manchester United v Liverpool
16:00 - Sarpsborg 08 vs Odd
16:05 – Monaco v Rennes
17:00 - Cagliari vs Atalanta
17:00 - Sparta Praha vs Mladá Boleslav
17:30 - Sheffield United vs Chelsea
18:00 - Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest
18:15 - Brann vs Fredrikstad
19:45 – Juventus v Fiorentina
20:30 - Porto vs Vitória SCHome Wins:
06:00 - Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare (1.48)
07:00 - Urawa Reds vs Sagan Tosu (1.62)
12:30 - Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge (1.75)
17:00 - Sparta Praha vs Mladá Boleslav (1.33)
18:00 - Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest (1.41)
20:30 - Porto vs Vitória SC (1.37) -
@Akiva-Anderson hello mu friend, i like your predictions and your ending quotes
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@Richard-Latimer i have done this also.... come on THE BROM
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I'll be keeping an eye out on these games:
Over 1.5 Goals:
07:30 - Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix
12:00 - Hamburger SV vs Kaiserslautern
12:30 - Crystal Palace vs Manchester City
12:30 - Norwich City vs Ipswich Town
14:00 - Karviná vs Viktoria Plzeň
14:30 - SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
15:00 - Luton Town vs AFC Bournemouth
15:00 - Charlton Athletic vs Barnsley
15:00 - Wolverhampton Wanderers vs West Ham United
15:00 - Aston Villa vs Brentford
15:00 - Tranmere Rovers vs Walsall
15:00 - Everton vs Burnley
15:00 - Fulham vs Newcastle United
16:30 - Copiapó vs Deportes Iquique
17:00 - Slavia Praha vs Bohemians 1905
17:00 - Roma vs Lazio
17:30 - Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart
20:15 - Víkingur Reykjavík vs StjarnanSHG:
06:00 – Ulsan v Suwon
07:30 – Central Coast v Wellington Phoenix
12:00 - Hamburger SV vs Kaiserslautern
12:00 - Östersunds FK vs Trelleborg
12:30 – Crystal Palace v Manchester City
14:00 – Milan v Lecce
14:00 - Degerfors vs GIF Sundsvall
14:30 – Heidenheim v Bayern
14:30 – Union Berlin v Leverkusen
14:30 – Freiburg v Leipzig
14:30 – Mainz v Darmstadt
15:00 – Aston Villa v Brentford
15:00 – Everton v Burnley
15:00 – Leicester v Birmingham
15:00 – Middlesbrough v Swansea
15:00 – Blackburn v Southampton
15:00 – Portsmouth v Shrewsbury
15:00 – Blackpool v Cambridge
15:00 – Bristol Rovers v Bolton
15:00 – Sutton v Stockport
15:00 – Mansfield v Crawley
15:00 – Forest Green v MK Dons
15:00 - Ilves vs Lahti
15:00 - Mariehamn vs EIF
16:00 – Lens v Le Havre
17:00 - Bodø / Glimt vs Viking
17:00 - Slavia Praha vs Bohemians 1905
17:30 – Brighton v Arsenal
21:00 – Athletic Bilbao v Mallorca (CUP)Home Wins:
12:00 - Hamburger SV vs Kaiserslautern (1.75)
14:00 - Milan vs Lecce (1.36)
15:00 - Leicester City vs Birmingham City (1.33)
15:00 - Aston Villa vs Brentford (1.75)
15:00 - Portsmouth vs Shrewsbury Town (1.40)
16:00 - Lens vs Le Havre (1.52)
17:00 - Slavia Praha vs Bohemians 1905 (1.21) -
I imagine the weather is going to play havoc this weekend?
Also, for anyone this has access to Grok, it looks useful tool to compliment your trading
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@Ben-Dobie said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@andrew-page I was thinking the same when the trade was going pear shaped mate, should have had a closer look beforehand really … I have to own it for not looking hard enough
Made same error myself
dropped some of my prem games dropped some prem games tomorrow
early in season but my favourite team out Bodo/Glimt i will be on over 1.5 every game from outset
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@andrew-page I was thinking the same when the trade was going pear shaped mate, should have had a closer look beforehand really … I have to own it for not looking hard enough
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@Ben-Dobie said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Feyenoord kicking me in the knackers again
Feyenoord be coasting now i reckon qualified for europe spot looks pretty safe
getting to that time of year plenty got nothing to play for
starting to discount teams for that reason only selecting games with everything to play forHowever they caught me lost 1/2 point on match before bailing
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Been a pretty poor week for me so far.
