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Simon's Manifesto - Consitency (2023)

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Members Trading Plans / Accountability / Blogs /
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to simon topper on last edited by
    #41

    @simon-topper sod's law isn't it!

    S 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to simon topper on last edited by
    #42

    @simon-topper sods law isn't it!

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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    simon topper
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #43

    So not a great week profit wise, upped my stakes and had a bad run. At least I know the fundamentals are sound, so will hopefully recover this week.
    Still in profit for the month so can't complain. Have a couple of strategies on test and will see how they perform.

    cff993a3-a055-4b1a-8016-e69a473029e8-image.png

    MartinM 2 Replies Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to simon topper on last edited by
    #44

    @simon-topper heck of a deal that!

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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    simon topper
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #45

    @Martin It was only £90 but I am only using it for BFBM don't think it would be much use for proper work.

    HP EliteDesk 800 G2
    5795ce7c-9fe8-4509-9db0-28a720431efc-image.png

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to simon topper on last edited by
    #46

    @simon-topper I need a new Laptop or PC for out of the home office work. How much was it?

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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    simon topper
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #47

    So another great week, bit of a delay this week as last night I was watching Blur at Wembley (Bloody amazing).
    I have upped my stakes a little bit on my strategies at the end of this week.
    Found a cheap mini PC on ebay, just waiting on it then going to configure it and stop using the laptop.
    Have to say using BFBM has been a revelation, once the new football software is out and we can import our selections (presume that will be possible) this could become hands off a lot of the time.

    f51900b0-1f91-45a0-8ca1-44c466fea798-image.png

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to simon topper on last edited by
    #48

    @simon-topper great work mate, thanks for this update! Good idea RE: phone got to admit I hardly ever log in on mobile

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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    simon topper
    replied to simon topper on last edited by
    #49

    So another good week, although yesterday I had a wobble.
    I have been placing the lay away football from my phone and saved my Betfair password. So I ended up placing a few random bets (which of course lost) so my discipline obviously isn't there. Deleted password again and will place it from my PC, even if it means losing a few opportunities.
    Trialling a couple of new strategies on minimum stakes, have set up BF bot manager which is importing races automatically now. Have found the PC I use can't handle multiple instances of BFBM so will need a new upgrade (rooting around Ebay for something)

    Now been 3 months, April and June profitable, and May was just a bloodbath on the LTBF so nothing I could really do about it. Hopefully next 3 months will all be profitable.

    4007e54e-afb3-4a4b-8734-d720341460ba-image.png

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to simon topper on last edited by
    #50

    @simon-topper great stuff as ever! Thanks for the update

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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    simon topper
    replied to simon topper on last edited by
    #51

    So another great week for the 2 main strategies I use.
    I have decided to park my lay strategy, has over 500 selections but just can't get it my bot to make it work. Tried a couple of different ways of staking and exiting the market but leads to just as much of a loss, unfortunately not failing badly enough to flip it.
    Might return to it in the future.
    I will now start looking at other strategies, think I need to be thinking quality rather than quantity. At least it's taught me the process, so will just rinse and repeat with next one I try.

    774bc4cb-0de9-493d-8698-e6726d145033-image.png

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    simon topper
    wrote on last edited by
    #52

    So a good week this week, everything ticking over nicely. Still having issues with my 4th lay strategy, just trying to get the bot to fire in a consistent manner. After looking at it in detail my main issue is the placement of bets at 10 minutes out, there seems to be one selection that comes in a lot shorter and goes on to win (I am wondering if I did something similar in reverse would it be profitable?)
    Tightened up my criteria for placing the bets at 10 minutes to see if that helps, wish there was a way I could get a snapshot of the market at the point the bets are placed to see if I can see any patterns there.

    c185a456-c7dd-449b-a884-22600443efba-image.png

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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to simon topper on last edited by
    #53

    @simon-topper yeah lay away has had a good run!

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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    simon topper
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #54

    So another week, looked into my lay strategy and it's just not matching the back testing results from the software. I am going to make some tweaks to the bot over the next couple of weeks to see if I can bring it more into line.
    The lay away football is storming this week (I have been filtering these so far so good).

    9e09f803-4d94-4419-8909-dad0348adc08-image.png

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to simon topper on last edited by
    #55

    @simon-topper let me know how it gets on!

    S 1 Reply Last reply
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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    simon topper
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #56

    @Martin yes saw that, going to set it up and run it in practice mode for a few days.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to simon topper on last edited by Martin
    #57

    @simon-topper Good work!

    Have you seen the lay the 3rd fav I posted yesterday? Been doing very well!

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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    simon topper
    replied to simon topper on last edited by
    #58

    So a much better week this time around. My lay the 4th has hit the 500 selection mark so will do a bit of a deep dive this week and see if it can be improved.

    e8eb62ea-3fa5-4d22-b5b2-8bb7ba131d22-image.png

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    simon topper
    replied to simon topper on last edited by simon topper
    #59

    So another terrible week, will need to reduce my stakes to minimum and start building bank back up.
    Thankfully this is not all my bank and I could add more, but I need to prove myself that I can recover calmly and not just throw more money in.

    Hopefully things will start to turn a corner next month and I can have another profitable month.

    b6e849ad-df65-4c17-9932-52c591e6623c-image.png

    S 1 Reply Last reply
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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    simon topper
    replied to simon topper on last edited by
    #60

    So as you can see a terrible week, know the LTBF had a really bad week.
    My own strategy followed a similar path although I lost about 10 points due to my bot not firing correctly.
    Hopefully next week will be profitable, at least since scrapping everything else I am still in profit.
    Main thing to take away is I haven't deviated from the plan I put in place, so will just keep on rolling as I know this should even out over the long term.

    a4ef4ef9-7afc-4d79-bc21-0fb21c67f458-image.png

    S 1 Reply Last reply
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