1ST Strategy inspired by Super trader vid
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This is for testing purposes only, i will not be trading these unless it gives some positive data.
The strategy-Back over 0.5 goals in the 1st half-entry point 0-0 10 mins.
I will track odds for KO for all selections.
I will track odds for 10 min entry when im able to trade.
Doing both gives data for set and forget and live trades.Filters Used
Ov. H1 Over 0.5 Goals % > = 75
Ov. Matches played > = 10
Ov. Goal Attempts Per Match H1 Ave > = 8
Ov. Corners Per Match H1 Ave > = 3Todays selections
East Bengal v Northeast United 1.35 set and forget only as not going in-play
Municipal Grecia v Guadalupe F.C 1.42 -
@Jon-Kinnear said in 1ST Strategy inspired by Super trader vid:
Cracovia Krakow v Gornik Zabrze 1.43 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.30
Hamburger SV v St Pauli 1.33 lay under 0.5 fhg 4.00
Toulouse v Montpellier 1.33 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.95
Farul Constanta v ACS Sepsi OSK 1.37 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.70
Ayr v Dunfermline waiting on liquid
Dundee Utd v Partick 1.34 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.95
Luton v Everton 1.38 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.65This strategy performed amazingly well today, only the hamburger game was a negative result.
Cracovia Krakow,Farul Constanta and Dundee Utd all had an EG= Early Goal for + 3points
Luton,Ayr, and Toulouse all had 2 fhg's after 15mins for + 13.39 points
Hamburger was 0-0 at HT for a -4 point loss+ 12.39 points for the day
new total +19.69 points
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Lot of trades today.
Cracovia Krakow v Gornik Zabrze 1.43 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.30
Hamburger SV v St Pauli 1.33 lay under 0.5 fhg 4.00
Toulouse v Montpellier 1.33 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.95
Farul Constanta v ACS Sepsi OSK 1.37 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.70
Ayr v Dunfermline waiting on liquid
Dundee Utd v Partick 1.34 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.95
Luton v Everton 1.38 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.65 -
Shimizu v Tochigi SC 1.40 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.50...Early goal in this one for an easy point
new total +7.30 points
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Shimizu v Tochigi SC 1.40 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.50
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This post is deleted!
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@Jon-Kinnear said in 1ST Strategy inspired by Super trader vid:
Univ Catolica (Ecu) v Barcelona (Ecu) 1.42 lay under 0.5 3.40
This was 0-0 HT for a loss of 3.40 points
New total +6.30 points
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Just one for early tomorrow.
Univ Catolica (Ecu) v Barcelona (Ecu) 1.42 lay under 0.5 3.40 ( not trading this one so will estimate over 1.5 odds to be 4.20 at 15 mins if 0-0)
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@Jon-Kinnear said in 1ST Strategy inspired by Super trader vid:
@Martin Thanks, been loving it since rejoining BTC.
Love that!
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Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul v Antalyaspor 1.37 lay under 0.5fhg 3.75 took 3.70 on overs....1 late fhg for scratch
Universidad Cesar Vallejo v Sporting Cristal 1.42 lay under 0.5fhg 3.40 (wont be awake to trade this, will lowball over 1.5fhg odds as 4.20 if 0-0 at 15 mins)... early goal in this one for an easy point profit.new total +9.70 points
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@Jon-Kinnear really good start here well done!
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Atalanta 1.38 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.65 over 1.5 fhg at 4.30...late pen in 1st half for scratch
PAOK 1.43 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.30...Early goal for +1 point
Millonarios 1.45 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.25...1 fhg for scratch1 point profit for the day
new total is +8.70 points -
Sampdoria (w) 1.36 3.75 to lay under 0.5 fhg.... Early goal wins 1 point
Gornik Zabrze v LKS Lodz 1.35 3.90 to lay u 0.5 fhg back Over 1.5 fhg 3.85...2fhg's for +3.79 points
St Etienne v Caen 1.43 3.30 to lay under 0.5 fhg... Early goal wins 1 point
Wolves v Luton 1.34 3.95 to lay under 0.5 fhg back over 1.5 fhg 4.30... 1-0 HT for scratch
Panaitolikos v Atromitos 1.45 3.25 to lay under 0.5 fhg back over 1.5 fhg 4.70...no goals in 1st half -3.25 points
Hull v Ipswich 1.38 3.65 to lay under 0.5 fhg back over 1.5 fhg 4.00... 2 fhg's +3.96 pointsfinal result for today +6.50 points
total +7.70 points -
Chengdu Lay under 0.5 fhg odds 3.95 + £2.38 due to pre match trade out, would have won £10.00 if had kept the original bet, but it was the right choice to trade out for a small green.
Frosinone Lay under 0.5 fhg odds 4.00 + £10.00 due to win from under 0.5 fhg lay after 10 min pen for the home sideGood start +1.2 pts for the day
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Chengdu Lay under 0.5 fhg odds 3.95
This game has had a big price shift under 0.5 fhg is now showing as 5.20, which is an issue as over 1.5 fhg has drifted down to close to evens, we want the over back price 1.5fhg to be near the same or more than the under 0.5 lay price at the 15 min mark if 0-0, in this scenario its not going to be.
I would trade out of chengdu (not actually on it as just paper trading for now)
3.95 lay - 5.20 back gives £2.38 profit after comission of 2% from a £10.21 bet -
Have 2 qualifiers today.
Chengdu Lay under 0.5 fhg odds 3.95
Frosinone Lay under 0.5 fhg odds 4.00 -
@Jon-Kinnear yes I completely am with you there!
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@Martin Thanks its, Its great to be back , a bit wiser and with more experience. I have 2 more strategies to work on this time around, The problem with just having one , is my mind starts looking for alternatives when its not going well, its such an easy trap to fall into.
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@Jon-Kinnear welcome back! It's amazing how often if we had stuck to the initial plan we would have been better off isn't it. Good luck with this moving forward, keep us updated!