First Blog - Second Half Goal Any Score Line
-
-
Started tracking Over 1.5 Goals from 20 mins onwards and Over 0.5 Goals between 30 and 70 mins.
The later potentially looks good for laying the correct score/laying under 0.5 goals between those times, trading out at 70-71mins/odds 2.00 if no goal. Having looked at this a bit, entry odds of 6.0 should drop to around 2.0 by the 70 min mark. There is a fair chance of lower entry odds with these selections meaning smaller loses. Would be nice if the strike rate holds over time.
-
-
-
-
Mon 17/10/22 No Selections.
-
-
Chris Kingreplied to A Former User on 15 Oct 2022, 20:43 last edited by Chris King 15 Oct 2022, 21:54
@nick-segura Hi Nick, well it’s early days still really so need to keep that in mind but after a decent start in the first 2 weeks/last 2 weeks in September finishing in profit, October has been up and down and losing month so far resulting in those profits being erased, but over the last 2 days I’m back to breaking even over all.
Hopefully it will work out with more time, or maybe there’ll be some other trends that crop up. I’m staying consistent sticking to the selection process and execution so who knows what may crop up from that. I’m happy with the narrowing down of selections to easily manageable numbers so if i could work something nice and profitable out from this volume of trades I’d be well pleased.
Having just looked at the SHG strike rates, backing a goal after 60 or 70 mins could be a good approach, but 48% for over 1.5 second half goals could be very nice as there is a good chance with these selections the odds are value before the half even starts, so wait 5 mins (if you like) and they’ll have shot up.
Conception V Wanderers O1.5G (SH) was 2.4 at HT, 2.8 at 50 mins and by 60 mins 4.0. At 48% break even odds are 2.08.
-
@chris-king Hi Chris, how are you getting on so far?
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
501/564