Working on an over 2.5 goals strategy
-
I have been playing around with backing over 2.5 goals after 30-33 mins if 0-0.
So far ive just been using flashscore livestats and have had promising results.
my current selection method is min of 10 shots/corners and min 2 shots on target.
games with a clear favourite have lower odds for smaller wins, but evenly matched teams tend to have better value especially if lots of recent low scoring games.if 0-0 ht i trade out for 40-80% loss of stake.
if 1-0 - 0-1at ht i trade out for 40-100% win. if i have 2 trades on and 1 gets a goal early i trade out of both yesterday i have 1 that was 90% profit and the other 10% loss no point waiting if you already won( although 1 game did get a 2nd goal the other was 0-0ht).
if 2 goals are scored by ht = happy days +200% win
today i had a game with 3 goals that i got on for @4.60 ( just scraped in with 7 shots 2 on target and 3 corners)
really find these enjoyable to trade and only having to be in till ht is another benefit for this strategy.at the moment im just collecting data based on livestats, but soon will look to refine the strategy by adding filters to combine with livestats.
im intrigued to find out what the strikerate and ROI for this will be.will post an update on it if it comes to anything, if not i will send it to the deepest darkest confines of the mariana trench.