Trading Plan:
I am currently in full time employment and renovating a house (nearly complete), therefore set and forget strategies are the most suitable for me at the moment.
Strategies:
For the past 3 months, I have been collecting a whole load of data on games that have 50+% overall over 1.5 goals (min odds 1.15) on one sheet and 40+% overall over 2.5 goals (min odds 1.5) on another, these results are from teams that have played atleast 8 games in the current season.
Link to data here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1swFhFGW8DhUlG7Qpb7RLDnf8N3GohKlGnqveixuG_r8/edit?usp=sharing
I have backfitted these data sets to create my strategies:
Over 1.5 (+147.83pts | 84.57% Strike Rate | Av 1.32 Odds)
May = +66.31pts
June = +40.08pts
July (so far) =+41.44pts
Over 2.5 (+124.08pts | 65.78% Strike Rate | Av 1.89Odds)
May = +72.29pts
June = +18pts
July (so far) =+33.79pts
Overall (+271.91)
May = +138.6pts
June = +58.08pts
July (so far) = +75.23pts
Staking Plan:
I will be starting with a £500 bankroll.
I have decided to use 2 point stakes on the ov 1.5 goals selections and 1 point stakes on the ov 2.5, this is mainly due to the losing streaks that I have noticed from the over 2.5 goals data which may affect me too much mentally with 2 point stakes.
I have split the bankroll in to the phases below:
Phases 1-10 = £100-£1000
e.g I'm starting in phase 5 with £500, if I am above £600 by the end of a day I will move to phase 6 and start using £6 as 1 point, this will not go back to phase 5 until I finish under £550 by the end of the day. If I go below £450 by the end of a day, then I move down to phase 4 and use £4 as 1 point.. so on and so forth.
Phases 10+ = £1000+
Same as above but phases every £1000.
I will be posting my selections and results everyday on this thread for some accountability.
Sods law it'll go tits up now I've started putting money on!