Beginner Trading Journey
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Selections 15/08/2022
Over 1.5:
Hebei vs Shandong Luneng
Hacken vs Mjallby
Breidablik vs VikingurOver 2.5:
Breidablik vs Vikingur -
@connor-garland said in Beginner Trading Journey:
Set & Sleep Selections 15/08/2022
Over 1.5:
Aguilas vs MillonariosOver 2.5:
LDU Quito vs Emelec
Aguilas vs Millonarios
Racing Club vs Boca Juniors
Nublense vs U.Espanola
Nashville vs MinnesotaOver 1.5:
-2ptsOver 2.5:
-1.39ptsOverall:
-3.39pts -
@connor-garland said in Beginner Trading Journey:
Selections 14/08/2022
Over 1.5:
Over 2.5:
Absolutely terrible day to top off a poor week, hoping this is just terrible variance and it will improve!
Over 1.5:
-3.98ptsOver 2.5:
-2.62ptsOverall:
-6.6pts -
Set & Sleep Selections 15/08/2022
Over 1.5:
Aguilas vs MillonariosOver 2.5:
LDU Quito vs Emelec
Aguilas vs Millonarios
Racing Club vs Boca Juniors
Nublense vs U.Espanola
Nashville vs Minnesota -
Selections 14/08/2022
Over 1.5:
Over 2.5:
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@connor-garland said in Beginner Trading Journey:
Set & Sleep Selections 14/08/2022
Over 1.5:
Guairena vs 12 de Octubre
Inter Miami vs New York City
Barcelona SC vs Union CatolicaOver 2.5:
Toronto vs Portland Timbers
New England vs DC United
Cincinnati vs Atlanta United
Houston Dynamo vs Montreal ImpactOver 1.5:
-0.59ptsOver 2.5:
+1.07ptsOverall:
+0.48pts -
@connor-garland said in Beginner Trading Journey:
Bit late this morning as I've been filtering the data down to reduce selections, but I know I'll only have to do it again in a month or two when the winter leagues come in to play.
Selections 13/08/2022
Over 1.5:
Over 2.5:
Over 1.5:
-0.76ptsOver 2.5:
-0.78ptsOverall:
-1.54pts -
Set & Sleep Selections 14/08/2022
Over 1.5:
Guairena vs 12 de Octubre
Inter Miami vs New York City
Barcelona SC vs Union CatolicaOver 2.5:
Toronto vs Portland Timbers
New England vs DC United
Cincinnati vs Atlanta United
Houston Dynamo vs Montreal Impact -
@connor-garland 2 0-0’s straight of the bat! Good start then haha
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Bit late this morning as I've been filtering the data down to reduce selections, but I know I'll only have to do it again in a month or two when the winter leagues come in to play.
Selections 13/08/2022
Over 1.5:
Over 2.5:
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@connor-garland said in Beginner Trading Journey:
Set & Sleep Selections 13/08/2022
Over 1.5:
Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes Merida
Mushuc Runa vs Orense
Orange County SC vs Phoenix RisingOver 2.5:
Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes Merida
Coquimbo vs Cobresal
Bucaramanga vs U. MagdelenaOver 1.5:
+2.29ptsOver 2.5:
-1.06ptsOverall:
+1.23pts -
@connor-garland said in Beginner Trading Journey:
Selections 12/08/2022
Over 1.5:
Hegelmann vs Dzuigas Telsiai
TPS vs Mikkeli
Gnistan vs Jaro
Sandefjord vs Rosenborg
Boston River vs River Plate
Drogheda vs Shelbourne
Portuguesa vs Lara
Vila Nova vs LondrinaOver 2.5:
Hegelmann vs Dzuigas Telsiai
Haka vs AC Oulu
KTP vs SJK Akatemia
TPS vs Mikkeli
JaPS vs PEPO
Parnu vs Flora U21
Sandefjord vs Rosenborg
Sarpsborg vs Bodo/Glimt
Waterford vs GalwayOver 1.5:
-2.77ptsOver 2.5:
+1.24ptsOverall:
-1.53pts -
Set & Sleep Selections 13/08/2022
Over 1.5:
Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes Merida
Mushuc Runa vs Orense
Orange County SC vs Phoenix RisingOver 2.5:
Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes Merida
Coquimbo vs Cobresal
Bucaramanga vs U. Magdelena -
@connor-garland nice one cheers mate
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@darragh-moran-0 I pull the odds through the software usually at like 10/11pm and again at 7am.
For placing the actual selections I use my rating system (which is quite rough but does tend to be very close to the odds) as a guide to determine value, for example:
The Parnu vs Flora U21 game to be over 2.5 goals was not value at 1.52 odds, so I set target odds at 1.59 to be kept in play - still not value as the rating would suggest 1.9+ odds is value but I can't see much correlation between these ratings and profits in the data set so usually just try and see what I could get away with.
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@lee-colvin thanks Lee! Will have to give credit to the day job for that one
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Hi Conor really impressive stuff. Set and forget is what I’m looking for for time reasons also. Just one quick q, do you use kick off prices for tracking or how do you decide odds to track at?
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@connor-garland Your spreadsheet is a lovey piece of work Connor :thumbs_up_light_skin_tone:
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@peter-melvin +23.79pts this month so far, even with a really tough week (approx -12pts).
So if you have a look at the Google sheets link on the original post, that has all the data on it
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@Connor-Garland Been following this from the sidelines last week, I'm jumping on it today. Seems to be flying! keep up the great work. out of curiosity how much points are you up for august? Also is the filter parameters just purely based off 50+% over 1.5 goals & 40+% over 2,5 goals?
