Conservative Party Leadership Trading

? Offline · wrote on 12 Jul 2022, 17:41

Saw a tweet today that the current BF favourite - Rishi Sunak - won't be able to win the vote when it goes to the party members. This is based on early polling by Conservative Home. The only candidates he would beat in the final 2 are Javid, Tugendhat & Hunt.

He's currently available to lay at 2.98.

Here's the tweet https://twitter.com/andrew_lilico/status/1546847848528060421

Here's the link to the Conservative Home web page with the polling details.

https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/12/next-tory-leader-run-offs-sixth-rishi-sunak/

I've never traded politics before, so will only paper trade this. Will be interesting to see how well the polling can be used as a predictor for the next one though.

Stuart Wallace · wrote on 12 Jul 2022, 21:31

Interesting stuff.
Must admit didnt even realise there was a market on Betfair .... but there is.