Matt's Under 2.5 Goals Strategy Thread
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@martin said in Matt's Under 2.5 Goals Strategy Thread:
@frances-white these are the leagues I have cut out totally
Turkey 3rd Div or Lower
Spain
Bulgaria
Malta
England 6th Div or Lower
Iran
El Salvador
England 3pm Sat KO
Australia
India
Slovenia
Costa Rica
Mexico
Hungary
Northern Ireland
Azerbaijan
DenmarkDid you cut these due to them under performing? Just curious how Costa Rica and Mexico did for you, both doing ok on mine.
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@matt-wood said in Matt's Under 2.5 Goals Strategy Thread:
Clearly from this overview Laliga 2 is straight into the bin come the 1000 game mark!
Is it an outlier?
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@matt-wood Nice going - not bad for a quiet day in terms of fixtures
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@chris-osborne Yes there will be a few heading for the chop
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@matt-wood just La Liga 2 Championship looks like it should be binned also along with others
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@Matt-Wood @Martin Thanks both!
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So these are the results of the leagues I am now using. The figure on the left is with no odds filter, the figure on the right is with the odds filter of 1.75-2.25. All figures are the profit to £10 stakes of backing under 2.5 goals and letting it run inc commission.
Israel 70 24
Kuwait 24 9
Bahrain 18 18
Turkey -36 8
Croatia 15 13
Germany 133 52
France 9 -35
Netherlands -6 15
Wales 2 32
Scotland 1.2 7
Thailand 2 -14
Portugal -6 29
Serbia 57 -4
Italy -18 -3
Czech 9 4
Slovakia 7 18
Poland 46 43
Austria -7 0
Swiss 1.8 22
Guatemala 19 32
Belgium 10 29
Greece 5 27
Romania -8 53
England 84 90
Qatar -9 10
Armenia 23 16
Bosnia 19 8
UAE 10 0 -
@martin said in Matt's Under 2.5 Goals Strategy Thread:
@matt-wood I'll be a pain today as I am doing a deep dive analysis
No probs for me ask I'll help any way I can. Good learning opportunity for me too as I get an insight into your thinking.
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@james-rome Not for me either. Martin and I are looking at slightly different angles, I suspect Martin's greater experience will prove the more fruitful here though.
For me I have got 719 games so far. I am letting it run to 1000 before making any changes then will run a second round of testing for roughly 250 games and see where things are at.
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This is a list of the leagues I have included. It is in no way optimised, I just left out all the really obscure leagues.
Argentina 1
Australia 1
Austria 1,2
Belgium 1
Bolivia 1
Brazil 1,2
Bulgaria 1
Chile 1
Colombia 1
Croatia 1
Czech 1
Denmark 1,2
Egypt 1
England 1,2,3,4,5
Finland 1,2
France 1,2
Germany 1,2
Greece 1
Hungary 1
Ireland 1
Italy 1,2
Japan 1,2
Mexico 1
Netherlands 1,2
Northern Ireland 1
Norway 1,2
Paraguay 1
Peru 1
Poland 1,2
Portugal 1,2
Romania 1
Scotland 1,2
Serbia 1
Slovakia 1
Slovenia 1
South Africa 1
South Korea 1,2
Spain 1,2
Sweden 1,2
Switzerland 1,2
Turkey 1
Uruguay 1
MLS 1 -
@frances-white these are the leagues I have cut out totally
Turkey 3rd Div or Lower
Spain
Bulgaria
Malta
England 6th Div or Lower
Iran
El Salvador
England 3pm Sat KO
Australia
India
Slovenia
Costa Rica
Mexico
Hungary
Northern Ireland
Azerbaijan
Denmark -
@frances-white I'll have one of my own soon just analysing it in between trading today. @Matt-Wood has one I think
