Matt's Under 2.5 Goals Strategy Thread
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@mark-bellinger Morning Mark. I am guessing you are trying to replicate Martins spreadsheet?
Have you removed the games that are under odds of 1.5 (Martin does this manually)?
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hi Matt, i copied and pasted the under 2.5 set and forget and i have noticed that i am getting different selections than you have on your spreadsheets. The only changes i have made to the criteria are eliminating the suggested leagues. Thanks Mark
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@matt-wood Good Morning Matt. Thank you for clarifying that for me.
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@chris-king Evening Chris, I believe the download is the original unaltered filter.
My list will be different to the one Martin is doing as we have taken slightly different approaches. If you wish to replicate Martins work then min odds of 1.5 (done manually) and exclude the following leagues:
Turkey 3rd Div or Lower
Spain
Bulgaria
Malta
England 6th Div or Lower
Iran
El Salvador
England 3pm Sat KO
Australia
India
Slovenia
Costa Rica
Mexico
Hungary
Northern Ireland
Azerbaijan
Denmark -
@martin just wondering is the downloadable filter in the title post for this thread the original unadulterated filter or is it updated as it gets refined with testing?
Thought I would test it by laying the selections.
I downloaded it but went through the thread and made changes like as matt has mentioned but I seem to be getting less selections to the ones published in matts test spreadsheet.
Selections I do have are included in the spreadsheet however.
Perhaps I made a mistake.[0_1647374870897_filter-settings.txt.json](Uploading 100%)
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@paul-benstead-0 said in Matt's Under 2.5 Goals Strategy Thread:
I have removed all the relevant leagues from Martins sheet and set min odds at 1.65 to get the chart below. Leaves us with 715 selections and 110 points profit. Let's hope this continues
That's the kind of graph we love to see! Could you remove selections 3.0 and above?
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@paul-benstead-0 said in Matt's Under 2.5 Goals Strategy Thread:
I have removed all the relevant leagues from Martins sheet and set min odds at 1.65 to get the chart below. Leaves us with 715 selections and 110 points profit. Let's hope this continues
Thats amazing.
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@stuart-wallace said in Matt's Under 2.5 Goals Strategy Thread:
Still thinking of max odds?
There's no need at the moment, looks good to the present highest odds taken.
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@stuart-wallace after watching Martin's vid today I had a look at my data and 3.25 would seem to be a top end. I have not applied it yet though as I want more results.
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Still thinking of max odds?
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@matt-wood yes I did, but of course on Martins results. Yours may be different.
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@paul-benstead-0 did you find that 1.65 was better than 1.6? I was messing around between the two for ages.
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I have removed all the relevant leagues from Martins sheet and set min odds at 1.65 to get the chart below. Leaves us with 715 selections and 110 points profit. Let's hope this continues
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@martin said in Matt's Under 2.5 Goals Strategy Thread:
@paul-benstead-0 these are just the leagues I have the results for, not summer leagues etc which aren't excluded just no games yet
Yes I came to that conclusion when looking at the leagues lol.
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@martin said in Matt's Under 2.5 Goals Strategy Thread:
So these are the results of the leagues I am now using. The figure on the left is with no odds filter, the figure on the right is with the odds filter of 1.75-2.25. All figures are the profit to £10 stakes of backing under 2.5 goals and letting it run inc commission.
Israel 70 24
Kuwait 24 9
Bahrain 18 18
Turkey -36 8
Croatia 15 13
Germany 133 52
France 9 -35
Netherlands -6 15
Wales 2 32
Scotland 1.2 7
Thailand 2 -14
Portugal -6 29
Serbia 57 -4
Italy -18 -3
Czech 9 4
Slovakia 7 18
Poland 46 43
Austria -7 0
Swiss 1.8 22
Guatemala 19 32
Belgium 10 29
Greece 5 27
Romania -8 53
England 84 90
Qatar -9 10
Armenia 23 16
Bosnia 19 8
UAE 10 0@martin, are these ALL the countries you are now using? I ask because, if so, you must have cut more leagues since your original list.
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@matt-wood ok cheers mate after a few months it might be a case of being able to remove some of the more obscure leagues
