Daves FHG Set & Forget
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27/5/22
Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)
No selections today
Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections. -
1/5/22
Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)
Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections. -
25/5/22
It was a poor day yesterday, with both games in the correct range and both games losing Sweden is on the cusp of being cut as it is currently only hitting 50% wins.Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)
Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections. -
24/5/22
Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)
Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections. -
23/5/22
Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)
Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections. -
Last week's selections produced nine bets within range, one bet in range but from an excluded league and a small profit of 0.67 points (or 1.09 points if placing doubles).
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22/5/22
Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)
Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections. -
1/5/22
Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)
Yesterdays Results:
No selections yesterday (Match moved to 7th June)
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections. -
I've done some simple analysis on the limited data I have for the summer leagues.
There have been 94 games selected by the filter of which 33 were in the correct price range to consider (1.3 - 1.45). Backing at the SP (ie, not placing an order at 1.5) would have produced a loss of 0.55 points.
By filtering out some countries: Argentina, Ecuador, Faroe Islands, Finland, South Korea and Uraguay there would have been 66 filter matches and 25 games within range. The return would be a profit of 4.7 points. I would assume that placing orders at 1.5 would improve this figure, but I can't calculate this exactly as some games may not have matched before a goal was scored.
From tomorrow, I'll just post the summer leagues with these countries filtered out.
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20/5/22
Today's Selections:
Yesterdays Results:
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections. -
1/5/22
Both of yesterday's matches were within range, Philidelphia peppered the Miami goal with shots, but couldn't squeeze even one inToday's Selections:
Yesterdays Results:
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections. -
18/5/22
Today's Selections:
Yesterdays Results:
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections. -
@david-pickett get well soon mate!
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@david-pickett hope you are doing better now mate!
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Sorry, I've not posted for a few days, I caught covid and it hit me for six! Getting over it now though.
17/5/22
Today's Selections:
Results from 13/5/22:
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections. -
13/5/22
Today's Selections:
Yesterdays Results:
No selections yesterday
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections. -
@gary-brown Hi Gary,
I don't currently back any of these. The winter leagues are coming to an end and are too unpredictable. The summer leagues don't have enough data yet. I will be doing some analysis on those leagues soon.
When I was backing the winter leagues, the weekly results only showed games that had matched @1.5. The weekly results I currently post are all the games with odds between 1.3 and 1.45 @SP
I could estimate if it would have matched @1.5 based on the time of the first goal, but I don't think that would give me any extra data.
HTH Dave... -
Hi Dave on your results you say YES or No.
So was wondering are you recording if the games get matched or not?
When you take out these it really does affect strike rates and this impacts what odds to enter at.from the look of your posts your selections look impressive . Not sure how your selecting the games but from your posts here they do look great mate so well done.
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12/5/22
Today's Selections:
No selections today
Yesterdays Results:
No selections yesterday
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.