Set & Forget Football Strategies
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@ross-love said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@andy-donnelly I was down also on the 1.5. I think Martin must have missed off the results from Saturday the 18th by mistake as they aren’t on the spreadsheet.
I can't track every day, sometimes I have to have some semblance of a life
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@andy-donnelly I was down also on the 1.5. I think Martin must have missed off the results from Saturday the 18th by mistake as they aren’t on the spreadsheet.
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@andrew-bannister Yep agreed! I don’t let any of them go in play if not matched beforehand, however in the morning if I see one of the selections only a few ticks out at say 1.22/1.23/1.24, I will queue a bet at 1.25! They do often get matched pre kick off.
I had a marginally negative month on this last month but as I said, this should even itself out over a long period of time.
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@dave-tancock said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Just seen the latest results video. I was surprised that over 1.5 goals was up as I was actually down for February by a couple points. I’ve been sticking to the parameters 1.25-1.35, has the filter changed in the last couple months, or is there something else I may have done wrong?
It does depend on the time of day with this. I've noticed today for example, there is only 1 selection in the email but there is 6 or 7 on the actual filter....and also on the results sheet the bets do not tally with email selections sometimes. So I think it's down to you what you back. It's a brilliant filter so it will even out over time anyway.
Last month I think I had 5 more selections than on the results sheet with 1 more loss than results sheet. -
@dave-tancock Do you set your pre-match bets to stay running after kick-off so they get matched?
Mine started performing better when I set it to cancel the bet if it's not matched before kick off
edit: up +4.02 pts for Feb
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@andy-donnelly thanks mate. Good to know it’s not just me
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I was also slightly down for last month as well. I think the differences is all down to the time of the day that the selections are placed as the odds will change over the course of the day.
Hopeful it will even itself out in the long run!
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Just seen the latest results video. I was surprised that over 1.5 goals was up as I was actually down for February by a couple points. I’ve been sticking to the parameters 1.25-1.35, has the filter changed in the last couple months, or is there something else I may have done wrong?
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@andrew-bannister said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@dave-tancock said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Finally happened, had first profitable month after starting in November. Was only about £10 up using £1 stakes but it’s a start.
Well done mate. I did the same for feb, using £10 stakes on set & forget strategies and £1 stakes on testing strategies of my own I finished £87 up. I learnt a great lesson too....after the first week I was already £80 up, but the second week I lost £60. In the past I would have changed things up at this point, thinking I had got it all wrong.....but I stuck to the plan, recorded everything I traded, and lo and behold....some profit
I stopped putting impromptu trades on too, every trade was from a filter.yes love this!
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@dave-tancock said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Finally happened, had first profitable month after starting in November. Was only about £10 up using £1 stakes but it’s a start.
well done mate great news!
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@dave-tancock said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Finally happened, had first profitable month after starting in November. Was only about £10 up using £1 stakes but it’s a start.
Well done mate. I did the same for feb, using £10 stakes on set & forget strategies and £1 stakes on testing strategies of my own I finished £87 up. I learnt a great lesson too....after the first week I was already £80 up, but the second week I lost £60. In the past I would have changed things up at this point, thinking I had got it all wrong.....but I stuck to the plan, recorded everything I traded, and lo and behold....some profit
I stopped putting impromptu trades on too, every trade was from a filter. -
@dave-tancock same here
think looking at the results for Dec and Jan couldn't have started at a worse time but its all part of the learning process so hopefully onwards and upwards
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@dave-tancock good work, keep it going
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Finally happened, had first profitable month after starting in November. Was only about £10 up using £1 stakes but it’s a start.
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Looking at both the home and away percentages to be 85% plus!
Definitely something in this, just need to do a bunch of testing
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@andy-donnelly said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
For anyone interested, results of my first month of forward testing the U3.5 strategy with thresholds increased to 85 per cent on previous home and away matches having under 3.5 are below:
19 trades
16 wins
SR 84.2%
P/L +9.2 or up £27.59 to £10 stakesOnly a month in but will test for at least a couple more months
That's very interesting are you looking at overall percentage at 85% (so H and A combined) or are you looking individually at home being 85% and away being 85% or above?
Its actually had a good month last month with a very good SR I know its been struggling but there have been some interesting tweaks suggested with taking Saturdays out and now this 85% angle that makes me think this could be a very viable strategy moving forward. Keep up the good work Andy and keep us posted -
@andy-donnelly very stong!
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For anyone interested, results of my first month of forward testing the U3.5 strategy with thresholds increased to 85 per cent on previous home and away matches having under 3.5 are below:
19 trades
16 wins
SR 84.2%
P/L +9.2 or up £27.59 to £10 stakesOnly a month in but will test for at least a couple more months
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@nick-allan no idea, hoping for the start of next season
