Set & Forget Football Strategies

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@tom-2 ok interesting mate thanks maybe i will backtest the spreadsheets for the strategy's to see what would of happened using 2% bankroll set and forget etc

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@josh-armstrong
I was doing 0.5% of my bank on Tomasz's lay under 1.5 but it's been so profitable, I've increased it in-line with my usual 2% that I place on all my other bets. It's get scary though when your bank is 4 figures, as mine is now, but at the end of the day, it's just percentage's.

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i have been doing tomasz lay under 1.5, elo lay away, and martins over 1.5 for the past 3 weeks and profited £38 using a £500 bankroll 1% per trade am i right in saying if the strategy profits 66%+ then its fine to use 1% of bankroll per bet? or does it more go on odds like this odds 1.5 or below 1% of bankroll, 2.0-3.0 odds 0.5% bankroll, odds 3.0+ and above 500+ bets bankroll i am doing set and forget trading btw

Martin

@james-everard use the filters in the members section, I've added odds to those so Jong Ajax game wouldn't have wasted your time yesterday.

james everard

@chris-osborne That's what i thought , the Breda vs Jong Ajax match never made the trade as k/o odds were 1.13. The other two came in this evening plus a Tomaz u1.5 trade and a Martin lay elo.
Will keep trading these and paper trade some systems and see if there are any potentials. I need to do what everyone else is doing and paper trade until i know something is worth putting hard earned money on. Also i am going to interact more on here and i reckon i will be in a much better position in the next 6 months

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@james-everard Its set and forget if the odds aren't there move on

james everard

@chris-osborne said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

@james-everard said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

HI, i am looking to use these successful set and forgets whilst i paper trade my own systems ( taking Chris advice)Been doing Tomaz under 1.5 lay system this weekend which was good,
On Martin's back over 1.5 goal system , is this a back over 1.5 goals or lay under 1.5goals , also what odds are you looking to get in at. And elo rated lay the away side is this getting in at kick off or if they take the lead?

the back O1.5 is to back between 1.25 and 1.35 - no reason why you couldn't lay unders
The ELO strategy is lay before KO
Good to know on Tamaz's strategy

On the back over 1.5 goal system the odds are below 1.25 at ko do you wait for it to get matched inplay or is it a no trade if for instance 1.17 at ko?

james everard

@chris-osborne Thanks Chris. I have taken on board what you said the other day that i was trading too many systems. I will be doing these 3 set and forget systems to try to build my bank up and then paper trade some other systems that i think will work but may need the filters refining.
Thanks for the information

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@james-everard Hi James,
Martin's over 1.5 goals is to back the over 1.5 goals.

Rules: Back Over 1.5 Goals at odds between 1.25-1.35

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@james-everard said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

HI, i am looking to use these successful set and forgets whilst i paper trade my own systems ( taking Chris advice)Been doing Tomaz under 1.5 lay system this weekend which was good,
On Martin's back over 1.5 goal system , is this a back over 1.5 goals or lay under 1.5goals , also what odds are you looking to get in at. And elo rated lay the away side is this getting in at kick off or if they take the lead?

the back O1.5 is to back between 1.25 and 1.35 - no reason why you couldn't lay unders
The ELO strategy is lay before KO
Good to know on Tamaz's strategy

james everard

HI, i am looking to use these successful set and forgets whilst i paper trade my own systems ( taking Chris advice)Been doing Tomaz under 1.5 lay system this weekend which was good,
On Martin's back over 1.5 goal system , is this a back over 1.5 goals or lay under 1.5goals , also what odds are you looking to get in at. And elo rated lay the away side is this getting in at kick off or if they take the lead?

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@conor-medlyn
It's because they are lay bets. You get back your stake. I got a little confused with that when I started.

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@terry-cooke said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

Does anyone know how to see the BF SP for a particular market without waiting for the historical market data from BF?

with Fairbot there is a SP option which will display said value.

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@Terry-Heller Ahh yeah it makes sense now, thanks.

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@conor-medlyn If you lay £10 pounds on the under 1.5 market at odd of 3.25 your liability if you lose is 22.50 and your profit if you win is £9.80 ie your stake less the 2% commission.I hope that helps

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Hello guys. I am looking at Tomasz's lay under 1.5 goals results sheet and really confused about it. His profits are the exact same for every win. £9.80. Is there someone who is doing this strategy who could explain this to me please. I don't understand how its possible. Thanks.

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Does anyone know how to see the BF SP for a particular market without waiting for the historical market data from BF?

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@martin-walker said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

For first half goal i have 2 filters that i started a while back. One is 84.8% after 205 games, one is 77.2% after 325 games.

My old one is 73% SR with 5.8% ROI with I think it was 311 games. I have just added another piece of criteria to it to look for the average goal time to be between 15 - 30 mins. Got 4 games for tonight. 1 has come in, 1 has lost and 2 are yet to play

Martin Walker

@terry-heller no this was early days in the filter creation process so no goal times or odds.

It wont make a difference really though. The strike rate will come down at ten mins and the odds will go up

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@martin-walker Do you have a record of the strike rate if you enter the market at 10 minutes?