Set & Forget Football Strategies
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@Craig-vaulks hmm I'd go with both if using sensible stakes, they make profit so why not.
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What are people's thoughts on trading multiple markets with the same filter? Does anyone do it? As I am thinking of trading the over 1.5 goals market alongside my FHG market. Just looking for any ideas of best way to do it, like split staking between them or if its worth doing at all. Any ideas welcome.
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@Chris-King spoke to @Adam and they will be added when we drop the backtesting, so not imminent but defo in the future
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@fraser-cord Yeah my winnings are tested to 5% commission. I have changed my plan to the basic so any live trading is 2%. I tend to test to 5% commission to see if i can beat that rate, the theory being if i can then the strategy is just that bit more robust. It’s just a personal preference.
Nooo, i don’t use the sports book
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Just wondering, has anyone submitted any strategies to Martin for him to test? I've got one or two I've been testing, maybe I'll submit them for the ultimate scrutiny lol... fhg and over 1.5s or a variation of, seem to be popular, there must be more angles out there worth checking somewhere in the stats software there is a perfect combination of filters I just know it
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@chris-king said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@martin One you might like to consider? FHG set and forget. I have a thread on the forum for this with more detail.
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/4270/fhg-set-forget/54
My spreadsheet
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/10LNCl0xeGg_2hSulsX-7yik31Dule3SswUnEPryE18k/edit?usp=sharing
The filter
Thanks for sharing all including spread sheet @Chris-King . Just noticed your winings are £9.5 not 9.8, do you use the BF sportsbook much, if not might want to change plans?
I match bet so always had the 5% commission for Betfair so used smarkets/matchbook instead of betfair for trading, but now that im gubbed im back to the 2% using betfair more. -
@terry-heller said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@craig-vaulks I guess as the odds fluctuate during the day it depends on when you run the filter. Only the Hvidovre game came up for me when I ran it.
Yeh i ran it 1st thing today and there was no selections, yet right now its showing the ones posted plus Roma inter. Frustrating isnt it!!!!
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Yeah guess it depends when you check, one came up last night late on for 6am this morning daegu v hyundai. Unfortunately I left but it came in.
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@craig-vaulks I guess as the odds fluctuate during the day it depends on when you run the filter. Only the Hvidovre game came up for me when I ran it.
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3 games today on my FHG filter
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@chris-king said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@nick-allan I wouldn’t say that. What i mean is you should hopefully be able to find a consistent odds value or range in another market and use that in your selection process.
As an example, you want over 1.50 in FH O0.5G and by looking at other markets you notice that on all those selections the FT O1.5G market odds are always above 1.35 so you then set a minimum odds filter of 1.35 on FT O1.5G
Ah i see, cheers buddy
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@terry-heller Happy days
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@terry-heller said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@david-baker-0 Thanks for sharing. I just ran your filter and it shows 2 games today.
Udinese....Stats software has odds of 1.18 for O.5 goals at HT the betfair price is 1.4
Ath Bilbao stats software has odds of 1.54 and the BF price is 1.44Well thats 2/2 for you David and 1/1 for me .
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@nick-allan I wouldn’t say that. What i mean is you should hopefully be able to find a consistent odds value or range in another market and use that in your selection process.
As an example, you want over 1.50 in FH O0.5G and by looking at other markets you notice that on all those selections the FT O1.5G market odds are always above 1.35 so you then set a minimum odds filter of 1.35 on FT O1.5G
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@terry-heller not sure if odds are that important thinking it through, leagues maybe better to analyse
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@nick-allan said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@terry-heller not the market for BF bud its the software filter but its doesnt look like they have one
Sorry I got the wrong end of the stick. The3re is no odds filter in the stats software for FHG market prices. I don't find that to be a problem though. Most games that come up on my filter have better odds than I would expect vs the chance of being right.
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@chris-king so are O1.5 and O.5 FH odds similar then? is that what you mean?
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@terry-heller not the market for BF bud its the software filter but its doesnt look like they have one