Set & Forget Football Strategies
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@ged-brown said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@john-malloy Exactly the same, upped my stakes at the beginning of the month, Sod's law! Just been having a look over my results only 1/6 of the Serbian matches won, if it hadn't been for this league it would only have been a small loss, not even a unit for me. Portugal can be tricky with this one as well. I'm not going to filter it out yet as you said it could be the relegation end of season thing, and may well be fine next season, but will keep an eye on it.
I have an unwritten rule to avoid Portugal, Serbia and French ligue 2. Historically all have only hit around 50% (or less). Serbia been really bad of late too.
End of season has an impact for sure but tracked Portugal and France 2 since October either through Martins spreadsheet or my own results.
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@chris-king said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Evening everyone. I was wondering if anyone has been tracking stats for Tomasz’s 1.5 Goals? Particularly second half goal stats.
I’ve been tracking these since December and the selections are striking at 70% for a SHG between 60 mins and full time.
I’ve not looked the next goal odds at this time but i highly suspect they’ll average over 1.43 which would be the break even strike rate.
This filter provides a nice consistent amount of selections so could be a decent 60 min to full time SHG strategy in it.
very interesting and something I will track going forward. Are there over 1.5 goals in this 70% or just one shg and therefore the original Tom u1.5 lay was unsuccessful? The only reason I ask is by half time the lay odds are more then likely to have halved and that’s a decent angle to look at. Can i take a look at the results?
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@john-malloy Exactly the same, upped my stakes at the beginning of the month, Sod's law! Just been having a look over my results only 1/6 of the Serbian matches won, if it hadn't been for this league it would only have been a small loss, not even a unit for me. Portugal can be tricky with this one as well. I'm not going to filter it out yet as you said it could be the relegation end of season thing, and may well be fine next season, but will keep an eye on it.
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Thomasz lays been struggling a little last months, just when I decided to up my stake with a bigger bank. Yippee.. anyway. I've noticed the Serbain league which has been not performing well it is in some kind if split phase for relegation, may be worth avoiding for the foreseeable..
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Evening everyone. I was wondering if anyone has been tracking stats for Tomasz’s 1.5 Goals? Particularly second half goal stats.
I’ve been tracking these since December and the selections are striking at 70% for a SHG between 60 mins and full time.
I’ve not looked the next goal odds at this time but i highly suspect they’ll average over 1.43 which would be the break even strike rate.
This filter provides a nice consistent amount of selections so could be a decent 60 min to full time SHG strategy in it.
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@dave-tancock hmm should be instant I would think, I'll check with @Ryan
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Hi
I did send an email but the auto response said it may be easier to ask here. Hope that’s ok. I’ve just sent the form off to upgrade to platinum membership. How long does this normally take to action? Or will it happen when my subscription renews in a couple days?
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@dave-tancock I use fairbot have for years, I love it mainly because it works on Mac without having to put any windows software on the Mac!
I think it really is personal preference though and what you want it to do.
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@andrew-hopkins ah ok thanks for getting back to me.
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@ross-love No , I haven't received one either
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I’m wondering if people have preferences for trading software. the main ones all look to offer roughly the same but fairbot is about half the price
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@terry-heller yeah there quite a few but that’s a good idea, cheers bud
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@nick-allan If you have time to spare you can get the results and also the pre match odds from Flashscore using the search bar.
I dont have a list of the qualifiers so dont even have a clue of how many games you want to check -
Does anyone out there have a list of the results in the elo away strategy? I’m trying to see if laying the home team might be a better approach but I only have results of when the away team has won not if there has been a draw in the game. If anything has the scores alongside with the elo away lay results I’d love to see them
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@dave-tancock Were you doing that every day? If so try separating the Saturday games onto a separate sheet.
I am paper trading the Saturday games and so far this month it is 6.35 points up. So £63.50 to £10 stakes. -
I tried laying under 3.5 goals instead, I’ve found the strike rate is around 25%, although only slightly down for the month. Not sure I’m keen on the long losing runs though.
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@nick-allan The average odds of the selections is 3.76. I don't know what it is for the winners but I guess it would be similar
