Set & Forget Football Strategies
-
@Andy-Donnelly What time of day do you check for qualifiers or do you just go off the daily email?
-
@dave-tancock It’s weird that we all seem to be having slightly different successes in some of the members strategies. Time in the day of entry seems to be the variable.
I say that as I had a profitable month last month on Tomaz u1.5 lays and generally been pretty steady for me. However I just can’t get Martins O1.5 to be profitable. Giving in one more month before I probably shelve it, but no others on this chat have done really well with it
-
I’ve noticed that Tomas under 1.5 lay has struggled the last couple months. Just wondering if anyone else noticed this or had any tweaks that improved it at all?
-
@Andy-Donnelly said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Latest update on the amended U3.5 with 85% thresholds on home and away u3.5 goals parameters.
Very encouraging month. Had by far the most selections in month than previous months (which is likely down to the market having added expectation of goals in the final weeks of the season) and filter still stayed strong.
May results
65 trades
52 wins
80 SR
+£57.87 (to £10 stakes)Overall 2023
162 trades
130 wins
80.2 SR
+£132.07 (to £10 stakes)Very impressive that andy and to be honest it would seem at face value that less selections might be the way to go
-
@Andy-Donnelly amazing well done, shows what a tweak in the right place can do
-
@Andy-Donnelly Thanks Andy.
I used to follow the U3.5 until its big downturn so this is really interesting to me. -
@David-Baker-0
See filter I use below
filter-settings.txt.jsonMinimum odds uses is 1.3
In 5 months of testing there hasn’t been a losing month yet albeit there has been 2 months that were virtually scratch months in that time.
-
@Andy-Donnelly Hi Andy great results.Is the original U3.5 set and forget filter still around anywhere,I had in my filters but I must have deleted it.
-
Latest update on the amended U3.5 with 85% thresholds on home and away u3.5 goals parameters.
Very encouraging month. Had by far the most selections in month than previous months (which is likely down to the market having added expectation of goals in the final weeks of the season) and filter still stayed strong.
May results
65 trades
52 wins
80 SR
+£57.87 (to £10 stakes)Overall 2023
162 trades
130 wins
80.2 SR
+£132.07 (to £10 stakes) -
@dave-tancock said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@Martin just seen the video on the new lay away strategy. Couldn’t see it in the presets, is it saved somewhere else?
here you go: filter-settings (10).txt
-
@Martin just seen the video on the new lay away strategy. Couldn’t see it in the presets, is it saved somewhere else?
-
-
I think you're right in the fact that an Away team 2-0 down at '75 have little chance of coming back for a draw in most instances. But, this is where I have learned from the guys in here that data collection is paramount. If you can collect goal time data or even just say score at '75 and score at '90 for the selected games then this will give you an accurate picture of what you are (probably correctly) assuming.
If you can record the odds at '75 also this will give you a picture of how much bankroll preservation you will get by doing this. For me it would then be a balance of time and effort. If I was losing a minimal amount (I'm talking pennies) on staying in for the final '15 then I'd be thinking do I want to be stuck to my laptop/phone in case I can trade out for a few pence? Or, do I want to spend 30 minutes in a morning putting my trades on and just come back at night to check them?
Just some thoughts mate
-
Hi Joe,
I think the basic set and forget strategy already works, the testing shows that, I'm just looking to improve the results by getting out of losing trades before the full liability is lost. If the away team is 0-2 down at 75 minutes the chances of 2 away goals is remote at that point, I would think its then prudent to cash out for a smaller loss than at full time. -
@IanS I don't think anyone can really say yes that will work or no it won't. You will have to test it.
It could be that if the away team scores first you cash out for a loss to limit the overall loss as the home team would still probably be favs to get a goal back; or if the home team score you green up as they would more than likely be the favs anyway. It is impossible to say really without testing it out.
From the testing done already, we can say that Set & Forget works, but if you're looking to trade, you would have to test it before saying Yes or No to it working.
-
-
@Toyin-Butler i always add extra stats set to zero to see if they make a difference.
I will start with many stats set to zero but only manipulate 1 to begin with then repeat every hundred results or so with the next stat showing any promise -
@Jonathan-West said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Hi @Martin Thanks for posting the lay away team vid on youtube. Very interested to play around with this. Is there somewhere I can find your testing results so far?
just added it to this sheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NTpTekGxMYNfns6NmyxF9Zyvox3vQn2SCYWDOXu6hXM/edit#gid=530811471
