Set & Forget Football Strategies
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I also think its too early to discount variance, not enough selctions to say a strategy is poor, it just might need tweaking
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@dave-tancock no i think a lot of people are having a torid april, it probably due to leagues coming to an end, but because of the WC there still 8 games on ave left to play and if teams are underperformoing with 8 to go then im sorry fans need to start asking for a 30% discount on season tickets. Are we now saying that dont trade first 10 and last ten so 18 games a year? so half the year we dont trade, where the value in that? perhapos you ahve to look at going against your strategy in these poor tiomes so back u1.5 as opposed to laying it?
again im spit balling
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@nick-allan glad to know it’s not just me having issues
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@dave-tancock same dave, the strategies I follow have sadly been underperforming, and at the moment the profits made in feb and march will be gobbled up, I suppose I can look at it that I haven’t lost money in 2023 but its frustrating. I think even if they are set and forget you need to do your own analysis and even think about tweaking the starts slightly a tom U1.5 selection yesterday in isreal was 2 teams in a relegation spilt league but they wer top of the lewague so mwhat are they playing for? but even in that game ther was a 5 min goal so you expect that would go on and win but yet another loser . For transparency I currently use these strategies:
Tom U1.5
Elo lay awayWith ELO away if you had backed the away team instead of laying in the last 2 months you would be up quite significantly. Something I’m going to do analysis on for a greater level of selections to see if it might be better backing the away team than laying it. Of course that would means long losing runs but when they win it will win big as most odds are between 4.0 and 6
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@terry-heller fab results terry and just shows you that teams maybe do perform better on a saturday, i say the same thing with fav in hofrse racing on saturdays as well. Do you think you have enough selections to take it live? or are you trading this live at the moment?
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@terry-heller I’ve been doing the set and forgets:
ELO
Over I.5 backs
Under 1.5 lays
One I’m trialling which is the under 3.5 backs but I’m laying them instead
Also the over 3.5 lays which is just about in profit g for the month.
I’m sticking to the parameters. Just wondering if others are having the same bad run or if it’s just me? -
@dave-tancock Which markets do you trade?
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8th losing day in a row. Is everyone else having a rubbish month or just me??
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@nick-allan Hi Nick todays results for backing O3.5 instead of backing the unders
Hillerod Denmark Lost
Villa Real Spain Lost
Tottenham Won at 2,9
Korona Poland Lost
Betis Spain Won at 4.1
Caen France Won at 4.4+£54 using £10 stakes
To date after 142 selections £331.10 profit -
@nick-allan sorry yeah should have explained that, so one result really in the way I'm talking about it would be one data point
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@martin whats a data point? how are they collaborated?
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@dave-tancock I spoke to a data analyst who said the 2000 data points would be considered a definite trend, so keep the original filter until you have that much data.
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@martin so you don’t need to wait a few months to have a decent data set?
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@dave-tancock when you keep the original data and filter and just add filters for tweaks it doesn't really matter, as you can redo tweaks later down the line you will always have the main data from original filter to test it against.
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Just seen the video on making tweaks. Just wondering how long people leave it for before considering alterations. Ie 1-3 months or is it based on results 50-100+
Appreciate everyone will have a different opinion. Just curious how long people leave it. -
Awesome, thank you all for replying. Really helps finding my way around here.
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@marinko-jelic
Yeah, It's a back bet Marinko.
Martin Over 1.5 Goals
Set & Forget
Back the bet
Rules: Back Over 1.5 Goals at odds between 1.25-1.35 -
So I should use the filter that is posted here?
