Set & Forget Football Strategies
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@Martin LAY OVER 3.5G: Hi, I can see that the number of possible bets changes a lot during the day. In the email, there was only one selection, when I run the filter now, there are 9 selections...
Same question for @Andy-Donnelly... you said there are not many selections but when the filter is run now, I can see 17 of them. Of course, the min. odds of 1.3 may not be for all.
So.. do you use all the selections the system generates during the day? Thanks -
Been following the CJ Over 2.5 filter and been quite interesting. In 2 weeks it has been only about a 40% hit rate despite these selections picking games with teams that have had over 75% of games ending over 2.5 goals. Guess it needs a lot more time, but does anyone know returns on this strategy over a much longer time period ? Thanks
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@Nick-Allan yeah thanks. I’m still keeping track. I was trading it with small stakes but stopped when Martin said it’s had 3 bad months, maybe stop and gather more data but I don’t know when to start again. I don’t know why it had a bad run. Maybe it is variance cos there wasn’t a load of matches the last few months. Thinking of trading minimum stakes as the euro leagues have started.
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@Andrew-Dobinson im continuing to paper trade with with £10 stakes so if you ever want results let me know, hoping for a turnaround as it was doing so well
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@Andy-Donnelly yeah, thanks. Looks nice. Not overwhelming, that counts too
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Can anyone see why Tomasz U1.5 has had a bad run last few months. It looks like colombia and brazil serie B are the reason but they did ok last year. The same time of year last year did ok too. Dont know what else to look at.
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@Michal-Sebik Sure np.
Year to date figures below:
273 selections. 216 wins. SR 79.1%.
P/L (to £10 stakes) is £196.9 so just short of 20 pts up and ROI is 7.2%.
Averages around 20-30 selections a month. So not huge volumes but it has been very steady, so far they haven’t been any crazy swings or major downturns.
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@Andy-Donnelly Hi, do you have any stats on the selections of your 3.5g filter? Number of selections, ROI.. thanks
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@Jonathan-West The Over 3.5? Yes?
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@Andy-Donnelly this is great, thanks Andy. I'll have a gander
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This is a back under 3.5 set and forget that I use. I trade all matches that are odds of 1.3 and above. Been nice steady profit month on month ( although small loss last month which was the first losing month of the year). Very simple filter. Only downside is it doesn’t get a tonne of selections.
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@Greg-Mitchell is that a set and forget strategy?
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@Jonathan-West daily email says no selections on LTD at KO today, so not sure what you are looking at ?
Lay The Draw at Kick-Off - Trading Strategy
Rules: Lay the draw at kick-off, green up if a goal before 70 mins if not take a loss and red out.
None Today
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@Jonathan-West I have 4 different filters that I use for Laying Over 3.5 plus a calculation on the Football Ratings. Selection has to meet at least 2 filters + the calculation, currently running at about 87% Strike Rate
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@Greg-Mitchell copy that! This is what BTC is all about!
with this in mind, I have also been dabbling in the 'lay 3.5 goal' market with help from the football ratings and this filter filter-settings.txt. Early days but promising. has anyone else been successful in this market?