Set & Forget Football Strategies
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Looks okay to me
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https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1XhJI4h5hVtLyLHarsoGgtqMEKEZtlyZRj336reWpXcg/edit?usp=sharing
Hopefully this time I have done it right
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@terry-heller Top right hand corner theres a button. Its next to your name or initial. General access will open it or you can share with a group.
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@paul-brown said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@terry-heller You need to open the spreadsheet to anyony with a link. At the moment I think you only have it set to yourself.
Ahh could you tell me how to do that please?
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@terry-heller You need to open the spreadsheet to anyony with a link. At the moment I think you only have it set to yourself.
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I wouldnt touch any of the lower english leagues with my over 1.5
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@chris-king I have made a copy of the sheet with the calculations so it might be wise to check my calculations and useful for me to know too if I have made any errors
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@terry-heller said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@paul-brown said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@terry-heller Would 98 Saturday games be enough to assume a long term profit could be made by laying them ?
I am glad you asked because when I checked the count i have double that number so i must have messed up with the copy and pasting.
Doing it right my figure now comes out at half what i said which is still quite impressive though a touch embarrassing that i made the mistake.Half is £187.76 for 98 games? I’d say that was damn good profit
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@paul-brown said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@terry-heller Would 98 Saturday games be enough to assume a long term profit could be made by laying them ?
I am glad you asked because when I checked the count i have double that number so i must have messed up with the copy and pasting.
Doing it right my figure now comes out at half what i said which is still quite impressive though a touch embarrassing that i made the mistake. -
@sean-fitzgerald Very interesting. I have my theories about Saturdays or weekends quite often. The UK Sat 3pm too which i now avoid if only to reduce the volume.
One test I’m doing turned out to be better without weekends at all. Less trades, better ROI.
If i have a gut feeling about something relating to a strategy I try to look in to it too as it can sometimes really change things for the better as you’ve found here -
@terry-heller Would 98 Saturday games be enough to assume a long term profit could be made by laying them ?
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Using Pauls spreadsheet with Saturdays filtered into a group of their own laying with a liability of £10 would have produced a profit of £375.53
I have just used the back odds from the sheet but assume that these would be a fair comparison. -
Out of interest, is it just the Saturday games or is it certain leagues not performing well? In my goal strategies most of the English leagues haven’t performed well and as most of their games are on Saturdays that could also be a reason.
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@nick-allan
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19994KZvO8akmvJ4GYl15VYKRwYRwnzPHmfpOd8lXH_s/edit#gid=0
With Saturdays at bottom of Doc -
@paul-brown said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@sean-fitzgerald
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19994KZvO8akmvJ4GYl15VYKRwYRwnzPHmfpOd8lXH_s/edit?usp=sharingThat is a very useful analysis of how the strategy is performing without the saturday games included. I wonder if it is possible to just list the saturday games seperately and do a 'what if ' comparison of how that day would have performed by laying the unders rather than backing them.
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@sean-fitzgerald said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
I can see a bit of chatter on the U3.5 strat. I’ve been watching this one a bit over last few months and felt like Saturdays were horrid for this strat.
Thought I do a little investigating. Just did some very basic calcs on my phone using Martins results spreadsheet and it looks like it is DOWN $95.54 on Saturdays alone.
This seems to hold true both pre WC and post WC. Ironically the only period it was in profit on Saturdays was Nov/Dec during WC.
Take Saturdays out of the results and it looks a very healthy P/L.
I’ll double check this on the laptop when I get some time but seems to be a consistent trend worth consideration
very intertesting, something i will have a look at as ive been paper trading it for 4 months. Of course we could find this out in mins with the football software back testing, cant wait for that bit of kit, hope its coming soon
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@sean-fitzgerald said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@martin said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@sean-fitzgerald is it those 3pm KOs? I've always disliked those games!
That was based on all Sat games.
I thought this would interest you based on your previous comments re: 3pm Sat games.
I’ll have a look at the 3pm games specifically later
When you remove the 3pm games and just look at all other Sat games (excl 3pm) they run at a loss of $30.71
So the 3pm k/o games make up a large portion of the losses on Saturday (roughy two thirds) but even removing those Sat still runs at a loss.
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@martin said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@sean-fitzgerald is it those 3pm KOs? I've always disliked those games!
That was based on all Sat games.
I thought this would interest you based on your previous comments re: 3pm Sat games.
I’ll have a look at the 3pm games specifically later
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@sean-fitzgerald is it those 3pm KOs? I've always disliked those games!
