Set & Forget Football Strategies

[Richard Latimer]

@Martin I wasn't really expecting a reply but fair enough

This is the difference then. I've gone with a scope of 10 so for me it was 2pts.

Don't know about you but I had a food weekend. 14 wins, 2 losses across Sat/Sun

[Martin]

@Richard-Latimer you really making me do this

So I've just checked manually Lazio had played 12 games at home before Friday, won 6 (18pts) drew 3 (3pts) and lost 3 (0pts) this season.

18+3= 21pts from 12 games.
21/12= 1.75

Therefore before Friday's match Lazio averaged 1.75 point at home this season.

[Richard Latimer]

@Martin weird. Lazio had an average 2pts at home.

Maybe there's other filters you have that I don't.

[Martin]

@Richard-Latimer lay away 3.7-5.8 odds range, Lazio was not picked up in any odds range though

[Richard Latimer]

@Martin sure, I get that. Think I'm right in saying you have odds limits though.

I'll share my findings when I get to 300 selections.

[Martin]

@Richard-Latimer no idea mate, can't check every game why it doesn't qualify would take me all day!

[Richard Latimer]

@Martin Is it because of the odds? Was a low odds lay but they do have a good home record.

[Martin]

@Richard-Latimer no that didn't pop up on anything for me yesterday

[Richard Latimer]

@Martin are you on Lazio?

[Martin]

@Richard-Latimer I did something similar but it tanked, waiting for more results and will flip it when I work out leagues and odds range

[Richard Latimer]

@Martin I'm also looking at a home lay using the same idea. So far results are incredibly positive. Only problem at present is narrowing down the selections.

[Richard Latimer]

@Martin that tallys with my results then

[Martin]

@Andy-Donnelly said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

@Martin nice, thanks. How many selections were traded in total for the month? Cheers

103

[Martin]

@Richard-Latimer said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

@Martin said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

@Andy-Donnelly said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

@Martin How did your updated Lay the away filter get on this month in the end? Been away for large chunks of the month so just curious more than anything. Cheers

14.1pts Profit for Feb

@Martin curious to know, how has the 2nd half of Feb gone? As you know I am tracking a modified version of this.

Since 18/2 there's been no movement but before that 40pts for Feb.

0.98pts profit second half of feb

[Richard Latimer]

@Martin said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

@Andy-Donnelly said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

@Martin How did your updated Lay the away filter get on this month in the end? Been away for large chunks of the month so just curious more than anything. Cheers

14.1pts Profit for Feb

@Martin curious to know, how has the 2nd half of Feb gone? As you know I am tracking a modified version of this.

Since 18/2 there's been no movement but before that 40pts for Feb.

[Andy Donnelly]

@Martin nice, thanks. How many selections were traded in total for the month? Cheers

[Martin]

@Andy-Donnelly said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

@Martin How did your updated Lay the away filter get on this month in the end? Been away for large chunks of the month so just curious more than anything. Cheers

14.1pts Profit for Feb

[Andy Donnelly]

@Martin How did your updated Lay the away filter get on this month in the end? Been away for large chunks of the month so just curious more than anything. Cheers

[Richard Latimer]

Those with less h2h could probably be opposed too but that's a lot of selections and my culling them has helped make things more manageable

This is also, I should add, with only 8 losing days on the away lays since 8th Dec

[Richard Latimer]

I'm up to almost 400 lines of data now having completely excluded all matches with less than 10 h2h.

Almost 200 of these have hit at 88% with Ave odds 5.2 (max 11)

On the flip side almost all of these can be potentially opposed with a 59% s/r laying the home team at ave odds 2.5 (many many odds on with a few pushing the overall odds higher but coming in at way better than 59% obviously.

2 solid looking systems from one data set so far.