Set & Forget Football Strategies
-
Have been testing the over 3.5 goals lay strategy... when setting up the criteria do i need to look for over 3.5 or under 3.5 goals in the drop-down menu ?
-
@Adam said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@Martin said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@Adam based on games per season something like that? So if 33 games have been played in Premier League we know 5 are left. Or even maybe total games per league played %?
We need a source for that info though.... I know we just know the figure for some leagues but we cover quite a few leagues!
gets trickier too when they split off into two tiers like some of the asian (and I think maybe the swiss?) leagues do.
-
@Martin said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@Adam based on games per season something like that? So if 33 games have been played in Premier League we know 5 are left. Or even maybe total games per league played %?
We need a source for that info though.... I know we just know the figure for some leagues but we cover quite a few leagues!
-
@dave-tancock no it's still in testing, one indicator so far is to avoid odds on shots
-
@Martin with the new lay away strategy are there any guidelines? Ie don’t trade if the away team is favourite?
-
@dave-tancock yeah no reason not to at present (sods law it will turn now I said that
) -
@Martin thanks for the advice. I’ll leave the over 1.5 for now. With Tomasz lays strategy, are we still using through the summer leagues?
-
-
-
-
@Martin Perhaps it would be a good idea to change the filters to account for end of season. So instead of Overall matches played greater than 10 set it as Overall matches played between 10 and 33. I am assuming that an average amount for a league would be 38 matches in total. Someone else might have a better knowledge of a better number than 33 to end with
-
@dave-tancock think the over 1.5 needs to be scrapped. Tomasz one has been fine if following the not trading end of season rules but no one follows the rules
-
@dave-tancock Yeh I look at the start of the day or in the evening if there are overnight games.
I do also queue bets on qualifiers if they are only a few ticks away from the desired odds range and more often than not they do get matched
-
@Andy-Donnelly yeah I think I’ve had 2 out of 9 months profitable with martins over 1.5, and one was basically scratch and the other was about 2 points up. Personally I check the stats software before work as it’s really the only time I have to do so. Did have a quick look at the data I have for it and the only anomaly was 5/5 games at odds of 2.86 lost. Otherwise no obvious trends.
-
@Andy-Donnelly What time of day do you check for qualifiers or do you just go off the daily email?
-
@dave-tancock It’s weird that we all seem to be having slightly different successes in some of the members strategies. Time in the day of entry seems to be the variable.
I say that as I had a profitable month last month on Tomaz u1.5 lays and generally been pretty steady for me. However I just can’t get Martins O1.5 to be profitable. Giving in one more month before I probably shelve it, but no others on this chat have done really well with it
-
I’ve noticed that Tomas under 1.5 lay has struggled the last couple months. Just wondering if anyone else noticed this or had any tweaks that improved it at all?
-
@Andy-Donnelly said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Latest update on the amended U3.5 with 85% thresholds on home and away u3.5 goals parameters.
Very encouraging month. Had by far the most selections in month than previous months (which is likely down to the market having added expectation of goals in the final weeks of the season) and filter still stayed strong.
May results
65 trades
52 wins
80 SR
+£57.87 (to £10 stakes)Overall 2023
162 trades
130 wins
80.2 SR
+£132.07 (to £10 stakes)Very impressive that andy and to be honest it would seem at face value that less selections might be the way to go
-
@Andy-Donnelly amazing well done, shows what a tweak in the right place can do
