Set & Forget Football Strategies
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@Martin in reagrds to the lay away strat
Graph of lay stakes to £10 since 4th June. So far really steady. Brazil (B and C mainly) is the league that is down but it's a small sample.
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@Martin Do you mean the ELO strategy that's in the email? That's lost 4 out of the last 5, I think (though I've only monitored it for the past week). Good to know it's more reliable than that if so! Or is there another one that's not sent out?
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Has anyone tried testing the lay over 3.5 goals market, by adding a cash out in play. For example backing under 3.5 goals at odds of 2 then adding a lay bet in play at say odds of 5.
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@dave-tancock aces!
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@Martin £20 from £1 stakes last month hopefully it continues
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@Adam-Jones problem with this is your Wins would be much smaller, but you would still have losses!
Its currently doing well in the long term so tinkering could lose money, BUT, I look forward to your testing results. -
Hey there, with the set and forget strategies can they be done on every soccer game as they are in the required odds range? Say for the under 1.5 lays can I put that strategy on every game as long as it is under 3.5 odds? I know you guys send out selections everyday on email but there seem to be a lot more games that meet the criteria.
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@Adam-Jones said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@Martin I realise this is a set and forget thread but I’m curious. Has anyone tried trading the Tomasz Under 1.5 Goals - Lays selections? Green up after 1 goal and take the loss on 70 mins if no goal? Very quick look back over the result’s spreadsheet, the matches ending in a loss due to a single goal would be profitable and those ending in a loss because of a 0-0 result would be less of a loss.
New to this so I may well be way off but thought I’d ask.
There isn't the data that you would need to judge this in the spreadsheet. Goal times would be pretty crucial as to whether cashing out would be profitable.
One way to test this going forward would be to use an automated trading software in simulation mode. Then you could compare the theory against the actual results.
It's always good to be thinking of options though.
Good luck -
@Adam-Jones makes sense, I haven't tried it but should help the strike rate. Only thing is average profit on the winners would be lower.
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@Martin I realise this is a set and forget thread but I’m curious. Has anyone tried trading the Tomasz Under 1.5 Goals - Lays selections? Green up after 1 goal and take the loss on 70 mins if no goal? Very quick look back over the result’s spreadsheet, the matches ending in a loss due to a single goal would be profitable and those ending in a loss because of a 0-0 result would be less of a loss.
New to this so I may well be way off but thought I’d ask.
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@Martin Sorry, I thought you meant the switch from winter leagues to summer, but I think you meant the games played at the tail end of the season, where motivation, or lack of it, distorts form. I have seen on one stats site a filter whereby you can exclude games from the final 10 or 20% of the season. (Obviously the number of games varies according to how many rounds there are in each league.) That might be a useful filter to have here, if it can be done.
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@Martin You mentioned in another thread that a lot of people got stung by the Euro leagues ending. Could you clarify that a little, please? (I'm thinking that basically stats are stats, qualifiers are qualifiers, and a filter isn't going to care which league it's filtering.) Cheers.
