Set & Forget Football Strategies
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@dave-tancock said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@Martin just seen the video on the new lay away strategy. Couldn’t see it in the presets, is it saved somewhere else?
here you go: filter-settings (10).txt
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I think you're right in the fact that an Away team 2-0 down at '75 have little chance of coming back for a draw in most instances. But, this is where I have learned from the guys in here that data collection is paramount. If you can collect goal time data or even just say score at '75 and score at '90 for the selected games then this will give you an accurate picture of what you are (probably correctly) assuming.
If you can record the odds at '75 also this will give you a picture of how much bankroll preservation you will get by doing this. For me it would then be a balance of time and effort. If I was losing a minimal amount (I'm talking pennies) on staying in for the final '15 then I'd be thinking do I want to be stuck to my laptop/phone in case I can trade out for a few pence? Or, do I want to spend 30 minutes in a morning putting my trades on and just come back at night to check them?
Just some thoughts mate
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Hi Joe,
I think the basic set and forget strategy already works, the testing shows that, I'm just looking to improve the results by getting out of losing trades before the full liability is lost. If the away team is 0-2 down at 75 minutes the chances of 2 away goals is remote at that point, I would think its then prudent to cash out for a smaller loss than at full time. -
@IanS I don't think anyone can really say yes that will work or no it won't. You will have to test it.
It could be that if the away team scores first you cash out for a loss to limit the overall loss as the home team would still probably be favs to get a goal back; or if the home team score you green up as they would more than likely be the favs anyway. It is impossible to say really without testing it out.
From the testing done already, we can say that Set & Forget works, but if you're looking to trade, you would have to test it before saying Yes or No to it working.
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@Toyin-Butler i always add extra stats set to zero to see if they make a difference.
I will start with many stats set to zero but only manipulate 1 to begin with then repeat every hundred results or so with the next stat showing any promise -
@Jonathan-West said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Hi @Martin Thanks for posting the lay away team vid on youtube. Very interested to play around with this. Is there somewhere I can find your testing results so far?
just added it to this sheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NTpTekGxMYNfns6NmyxF9Zyvox3vQn2SCYWDOXu6hXM/edit#gid=530811471
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Hi @Martin Thanks for posting the lay away team vid on youtube. Very interested to play around with this. Is there somewhere I can find your testing results so far?
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@Toyin-Butler it's not my filter so I can't know why that was put in I assume it's just to see what the percentage is when exporting the results into a sheet
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Hi @Martin, I have a question on the
Martin's over 1.5 Goals - Backs
strategy. The filters have >= 0% on Overall Full Time Over 1.5 Goals etc, what is this actually filtering. If the outcome is greater or equal to 0% then I would have assumed that all outcomes would be included - am I missing something? -
@Martin @Taff-Phillips Thank you both for the info...is there a way of checking Martin's filter...just want to learn as much as i can ...
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@David-Linney
Welcome mate - yes that is correct, no selections for that filter today. You won't get selections every day for every filter. Some days there won't be any selections for any of the Profitable Member Filters. Don't be tempted to over trade. Just wait for the selections to come up and then stick to your staking plan. Patience is key
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Hi All
First day in the community...looking at testing the lay over 3.5 goals that are in the members filters...have watched the videos, but there appears to be no selections today/tomorrow....is that normal...or is there something i'm missing ?
David