Set & Forget Football Strategies
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@Matthew said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Hi Matthew
Thank you very much for sharing this. I would like to ask what tab in the resultat corresponds to the home score 1st > 68% ? and away scored > 68%.
The 3 wins and 3 losses is that set and for get lay the draw ? -
The exiting Ltd strategy is a different one to this. Here’s the filter for the exit strategy. I don’t think it’s ever had a loosing month.
As you can see it’s very complex. What I find works best with this filter is to lay the draw 24-36 hours before kick off if possible.Normally games that fall under this criteria the odds on the draw go out massively before kick off which gives you a Green straight away anyway.
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@Terry-Heller
Yeah, the sheet is the full time result. Recorded as if it’s a set and forget strategy
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@Matthew I have had a quick look at the Terrible LTD and assuming that the games that lost all ended as a draw and werent traded in any way then the ROI looks amazing at 22%
Are these all selections from one filter?
I have adjusted the J column to show 'what if' backing at the LTD price and using £1 stakes. Obviously you can multiply that by whatever stake you are comfortable with.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IwYNr7AsefMzN6JdUc6odyoNALCu7glS_6CvSM1xTc4/edit?usp=sharing
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The thing I can't get my head around is why the ltd principles work so well with winter leagues but don't work with summer leagues and why the back the draw works so well with the winter leagues but doesn't with summer leagues.
It's almost like the Betfair laws reverse with the summer leagues
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Link for sheets with 1060 games from the raw data set, includes home and away forms from the last 5 games
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Up3QiVG0ULMeBWqB0EASknhyUL4xzdLhn9H7DLnzcMU/edit?usp=sharingIncludes 429 results from good ltd selections that's league and odds filtered
£1278 up with £10 stakes since Feb 23 and includes terrible Ltd selections that are -£1535 is league and odds restrictedThe Selections I've traded daily are under the 3 wins 3 loss its up £979 ( if using £10 stakes )since January however it isn't doing so well with summer leagues
I've also included Martin's lay away with odds selection of 2.3-5.8 and league restrictions that is £1,796.80 up since it started
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@Matthew said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Need to give thanks to @Martin for posting the YouTube video about flipping strategies. Since joining btc last July I’ve paper traded thousands of games with many different strategies.
Here is a LTD filter set and forget I’ve paper traded since January with with 650 games… I guess its time to flip it and go live. I’d be willing to share if anyone is interested
I would be very interested as well 650 games followed/recorded is a lot of work.
Any chance of getting a copy of the spreadsheet so I can do some calculations -
@Matthew Me too, please.
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@Matthew yes please mate i would like a look into that
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@Matthew ok good to know thanks alot for that i am just starting to follow this strat so i will also follow that and keep an eye on that too.
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Going through the sheet Martin has posted . There’s two china games that are included and but they are in the red. When trying this filter with china games personally it always looses. Obviously going off 20 games isn’t really enough buts it’s 20 points down from what I’ve paper traded. Will continue to paper trade
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Need to give thanks to @Martin for posting the YouTube video about flipping strategies. Since joining btc last July I’ve paper traded thousands of games with many different strategies.
Here is a LTD filter set and forget I’ve paper traded since January with with 650 games… I guess its time to flip it and go live. I’d be willing to share if anyone is interested
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@Matthew just wondered what is the reasoning behind discarding china from the strat? thanks andy
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@dave-tancock @Martin ....is this under the New Lay Away or ELO Away Team Lays?
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@Matthew not restricted anything yet with this strategy, barring away odds over 2.00. But weekend was good with approx 20 points up for me as well
