Set & Forget Football Strategies
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@Matthew Your posts on your LTD strategies are great! Having contributions like yours on this forum is so helpful for others like me looking for inspo in this market.
I've got a really boring filter question regarding your 3 wins 3 losses strategy; being fairly new to it, I'm struggling to figure out how you managed to add a filter for teams winning 3 of last 5 and losing 3 of last 5. I can only find a filter for winning or losing streaks.
Also, if you have a results sheet for your LTD exit strategy (68% filters) it would be greatly appreciated.
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I'm loving this thread and reading through everyone's successes!
For me (Dad of 2 (6 and 2), Teacher, out of the house 7.30am to 6.30pm) set and forget with automation is absolutely the way to go.
One issue I've come up against is that the team names on the BTC software and on Betfair show slight discrepancies, for example, this afternoon Klubi 04 on BTC needed to be Klubi-04 for it to successfully be puled across from Google Sheets to BF BotManager....I am compiling a list of those I've found so far, happy to share once it becomes useful (still early days!) unless anyone else has a list they're working off? At present I just check how the import has gone and if it has blanks I know I need to check a team name, It's no big drama, just a extra couple of steps.
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@Gary-Wall big lay odds lower than that, the bigger lay odds don't perform that well, this isn't my filter so I'm guessing but at the end of the day this is what has been working.
Can test your way if you like and let us know if it works!
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@Fraser-cord said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@Andy-Donnelly said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Been away a week and lots of chat around this lay away team filter.
Can I ask does this relate to Martins new linked one in this forum?
Also what odds limits are people using and anyone removed leagues as yet?
Was going to ask something similar @Andy-Donnelly, yes it is related to the new lay away filter I believe. I've tracked it over the past 7 days and there were lots of away wins through the week so i must be missing a trick or 2.
Although it did do well over the weekend. @Matthew, you seem very happy with it, how are you or others using it?
I've edited op with the three top performing set and forgets that I have tracked. Obv caveat results may vary etc but the downloads are there for all to enjoy
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@Matthew looks like your LTD is flying!!
What’s the strategy behind 3 wins 3 losses? -
Hi folks.
Anyone trade the Brazil and Argentina top leagues for the O2.5 market?
There seems to be a lot of matches worth laying from what I’ve noticed of late, wondered if anyone has had much success here? -
@Matthew That's great if you can get a few winners each month at odds over 4.0. Good luck mate
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@Andy-Donnelly said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Been away a week and lots of chat around this lay away team filter.
Can I ask does this relate to Martins new linked one in this forum?
Also what odds limits are people using and anyone removed leagues as yet?
Was going to ask something similar @Andy-Donnelly, yes it is related to the new lay away filter I believe. I've tracked it over the past 7 days and there were lots of away wins through the week so i must be missing a trick or 2.
Although it did do well over the weekend. @Matthew, you seem very happy with it, how are you or others using it?
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Been away a week and lots of chat around this lay away team filter.
Can I ask does this relate to Martins new linked one in this forum?
Also what odds limits are people using and anyone removed leagues as yet?
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@Terry-Heller nice I have just had a look myself, I must of started around the same time as you so from march to may I hit between a 74 and 76% SR (surprised how it stayed so level each month) and June was poor with only a 67% SR. I didn't trade the last week in may so this may have helped my %.
Would be interesting to see how you got on combining the 2 strats think it could be a good idea. -
@Craig-vaulks
I just checked each month for SRMarch 89%
April 81%
May 75%
June 74%
July 87%May was the only losing month for me but that's only because of the increased staking around the middle of the month.(I trebled the stakes) If I hadnt done that then every month would have turned a profit.
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@Craig-vaulks My ROI is 6.8% but my average price is way lower than yours at 1.36.
Maybe I should start a new spreadsheet and try a combination of yours and my own.
Though one factor with any strategy that includes BF prices in the selection criteria is the variability of the selection when you run the strats software at varying times of day.
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@Terry-Heller that's good going are you getting a decent ROI? I do think around that time it could be wise to avoid next year. May just track the results next late may/ early June time.
Yeah I did originally split stake my selections but now just place a back bet before the match as most matches are above odds of 1.5. Occasionally will put some bets to keep in play to get better odds. -
@Craig-vaulks Hi Craig, I do have your filter saved though I follow my own strategy for FHG. My SR for late May early June dropped to 67% though overall it never dropped below 78%.
The drop coincided with deciding to increase stakes so May ended up as the only month with a loss. A third of a point based on my original staking.
I now use a minimum price which I place in the keep if it isnt over that pre kick off.
I want to get matched as early as possible because over the 350+ selections so far the first goal has been scored before 15mins in 42% of the games where there has been a winner.
As I remember you enter at 15 and 30 minutes. So your prices should be pretty good. -
Hopefully it continues to go well for you matey. I’ve got a different draw filter with odds at 4+. You need a ridiculously low strike rate to become profitable. If you get 4 or 5 draws at odds of 4.8+ it’s very hard to make a loss in that month
