Set & Forget Football Strategies

David Walsh

Martin or Adam !
I'm thinking from some earlier comments that when we get the backtesting software. We'll be able to back test the exact strategies that we've already been forward testing for the last year. Such as Tomaz'z etc.
Is that right ? If so how many years back will it go please ?
Also without pestering, is it imminent ? (sorry in advance for asking that one)

Andy Donnelly

@Martin It’s very early days, only been tracking for last 2.5 weeks. It’s still down overall (-£6 to £10 stakes), but the weekend just gone was £60 up.

Martin

@Andy-Donnelly interesting what has the profit been so far?

Andy Donnelly

Looking at home points of 2.25 or better made a decent profit over the weekend just gone, still small sample size but will keep tracking

Rene Ostenfeld

@Martin Yes - not good - but better that the weekend before

Martin

@james-everard lay away didn't do well for me not sure about others

james everard

i was away this weekend, how did the set and forgets fair this weekend ? Any improvement from the previous?

Adam

@Richard-Latimer said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

Could just be that shot stats not available in all leagues

This is the answer. We don't get event data ("attack stats" in our software) for all matches. The lower leagues in particular will be missing them. So if you create a filter with any attack stats criteria, it will automatically filter out any matches where we don't have that data.

Occasionally there are one-off matches in the bigger leagues that are missing this data as well.

Richard Latimer

@Andy-Donnelly said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

@Martin sorry you are right they are used. Was confusing with another filter. Please ignore my last comment about the workaround.

However although I’ve used a wrong example there is definitely an issue with shot stats. Just edited one of my filters that doesn’t have any shot stats and added a parameter for shots on goal, greater than or equal to 0 and the selections massively reduced.

Could just be that shot stats not available in all leagues

Andy Donnelly

@Martin sorry you are right they are used. Was confusing with another filter. Please ignore my last comment about the workaround.

However although I’ve used a wrong example there is definitely an issue with shot stats. Just edited one of my filters that doesn’t have any shot stats and added a parameter for shots on goal, greater than or equal to 0 and the selections massively reduced.

Martin

@Andy-Donnelly the shot stats are used, are you looking at the right filter?

Andy Donnelly

@Richard-Latimer I’ve raised it on the support thread but if you clone the strategy and remove any shots or goal attempt filters it will give you some selections.

The shots stats aren’t used on this filter anyway, they’ve all been set to 0 so informational only.

Andy Donnelly

@Richard-Latimer Yeh I just checked myself, when you remove the shot stats you do get selections. I’ll raise on the support thread.

Richard Latimer

@Martin said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

@Richard-Latimer yeah best to check on the day though as it's odds based

@Martin Even when I remove the odds there is nothing there?!

Martin

@Richard-Latimer yeah best to check on the day though as it's odds based

Richard Latimer

So I was thinking about starting the under 1.5 lays in here alongside my own while mine is approaching final product but still giving me issues.

The filter says 0 selections for Sat. Is this right?

Martin

@Andy-Donnelly keep doing that for us!

Andy Donnelly

Has anyone been collating the filter stats alongside the results for the lay away strategy?

Reason I ask is against my smaller sample size, it does look like by moving the home points per game average to say 2.25 or even 2.5 seems to increase profit. Interested if that works across the full data set.

Taking this weekend as an admittedly small sample, those at the bottom of the scale (2.0) were far and away the worst offenders. Close to 20% SR.

ross love

@Karl-Pick Yeh I noticed that some didn't add up and left them, also if the away team were higher in the league. There was a couple on Saturday that were top of the league and 3rd I think so I left them out as well which ended up being the right thing to do. I'm going to sit it out for a bit now and see how it plays out.

Tony Hastie

@Karl-Pick the last 2 days of the ashes test were infuriating...West of Scotland was experiencing its 3rd and 4th day of summer About to get rained off now though...