Set & Forget Football Strategies
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Been following the CJ Over 2.5 filter and been quite interesting. In 2 weeks it has been only about a 40% hit rate despite these selections picking games with teams that have had over 75% of games ending over 2.5 goals. Guess it needs a lot more time, but does anyone know returns on this strategy over a much longer time period ? Thanks
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@Nick-Allan yeah thanks. I’m still keeping track. I was trading it with small stakes but stopped when Martin said it’s had 3 bad months, maybe stop and gather more data but I don’t know when to start again. I don’t know why it had a bad run. Maybe it is variance cos there wasn’t a load of matches the last few months. Thinking of trading minimum stakes as the euro leagues have started.
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@Andrew-Dobinson im continuing to paper trade with with £10 stakes so if you ever want results let me know, hoping for a turnaround as it was doing so well
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@Andy-Donnelly yeah, thanks. Looks nice. Not overwhelming, that counts too
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@Martin what would you do if this was one of your main strategies? Obviously it’s still up long term.
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Can anyone see why Tomasz U1.5 has had a bad run last few months. It looks like colombia and brazil serie B are the reason but they did ok last year. The same time of year last year did ok too. Dont know what else to look at.
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@Michal-Sebik Sure np.
Year to date figures below:
273 selections. 216 wins. SR 79.1%.
P/L (to £10 stakes) is £196.9 so just short of 20 pts up and ROI is 7.2%.
Averages around 20-30 selections a month. So not huge volumes but it has been very steady, so far they haven’t been any crazy swings or major downturns.
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@Andy-Donnelly Hi, do you have any stats on the selections of your 3.5g filter? Number of selections, ROI.. thanks
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@Jonathan-West The Over 3.5? Yes?
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@Andy-Donnelly this is great, thanks Andy. I'll have a gander
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This is a back under 3.5 set and forget that I use. I trade all matches that are odds of 1.3 and above. Been nice steady profit month on month ( although small loss last month which was the first losing month of the year). Very simple filter. Only downside is it doesn’t get a tonne of selections.
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@Greg-Mitchell is that a set and forget strategy?
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@Jonathan-West daily email says no selections on LTD at KO today, so not sure what you are looking at ?
Lay The Draw at Kick-Off - Trading Strategy
Rules: Lay the draw at kick-off, green up if a goal before 70 mins if not take a loss and red out.
None Today
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@Jonathan-West I have 4 different filters that I use for Laying Over 3.5 plus a calculation on the Football Ratings. Selection has to meet at least 2 filters + the calculation, currently running at about 87% Strike Rate
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@Greg-Mitchell copy that! This is what BTC is all about!
with this in mind, I have also been dabbling in the 'lay 3.5 goal' market with help from the football ratings and this filter filter-settings.txt. Early days but promising. has anyone else been successful in this market?
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@Jonathan-West Like I said, don't expect that purely from this filter alone.
